
ESPN
Developmental big
Scoring
81
Playmaking
38
Defense
49
Shooting
85
Combine
Max vertical
45.5"p100
Lane agility
11.15sp86
¾ sprint
3.16sp91
Standing reach
104.5"p8
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental big. Carried by rebounding (75th) and scoring efficiency (66th); the question marks are perimeter defense (0th) and passing (6th).
Draft outlook
Projected landing
Outside the top 60
THE ONE has them at #71, below the two-round projection window.
Model vs the field
The One
#71
Field
#53
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental big profile. The loudest scout signal: elite vertical (max vertical = 100th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 67 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 53rd across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Lawal 53rd, our model 81st. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
avg rank 53 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite vertical
max vertical = 100th pct
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
Short wingspan for position
wingspan = 6th pct
Plus BPM
BPM = 77th pct
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 37th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. B-bucket
Wingspan
med 85.8"
82.5"
p7
Standing reach
med 108.0"
104.5"
p8
Max vertical
med 32.5"
45.5"
p100
Standing vert
med 28.5"
40.0"
p100
¾ sprint
med 3.33s
3.16s
p91
Lane agility
med 11.65s
11.15s
p86
Shuttle
med 3.10s
3.08s
p54
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionWingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionvia stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
No Synergy two-way data for Lawal — typically an overseas or G League Elite prospect outside Synergy's college coverage, not a low-efficiency read.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs bigs · 2010–2024Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Lawal.
“Top X%” = closer to Lawal than (100−X)% of all drafted bigs on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 4 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.4 career VORP · 145 g
College: Marquette '23 · TS 61.7 · BPM 3.5
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.4 career VORP · 151 g
College: Colorado '24 · TS 60.6 · BPM 6.3
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Kansas '16 · TS 60.7 · BPM 6.8
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 0.8 career VORP · 143 g
College: Marquette '24 · TS 59.0 · BPM 8.4
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 6.2 career VORP · 722 g
College: North Carolina '10 · TS 60.7 · BPM 7.5
Comp outcomes · real careers
12/13 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Jalen Johnson2021
Star · 1× All-Star
Floor
Perry Ellis2016
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Lawal.
College stats · 2025-26 season
23 games · 51% min
labeled PF/C
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.