
ESPN
Developmental guard
Scoring
72
Playmaking
68
Defense
75
Shooting
71
Combine
Max vertical
38.0"p72
Lane agility
11.57sp16
¾ sprint
3.22sp47
Standing reach
100.0"p52
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental guard. Carried by perimeter defense (71st) and rebounding (71st); the question marks are passing (17th) and shot creation (29th).
Draft outlook
Projected landing

#33
Brooklyn Nets
2nd roundModel vs the field
The One
#33
Field
#26
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental guard profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 97th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 80 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 26th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Thomas 26th, our model 34th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
avg rank 26 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite BPM
BPM = 97th pct
Young for class
age 19.9 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 42th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
Wingspan
med 79.3"
78.8"
p40
Standing reach
med 99.5"
100.0"
p52
Max vertical
med 35.5"
38.0"
p72
Standing vert
med 30.0"
31.5"
p68
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.22s
p47
Lane agility
med 11.09s
11.57s
p16
Shuttle
med 3.05s
2.97s
p74
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionWingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionvia stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Arkansas RazorbacksThomas's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs guards · 2012–2025Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Thomas.
“Top X%” = closer to Thomas than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -2.2 career VORP · 174 g
College: Connecticut '23 · TS 58.4 · BPM 6.9
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.6 career VORP · 84 g
College: Oregon St. '12 · TS 56.3 · BPM 4.1
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 1.7 career VORP · 472 g
College: North Carolina '19 · TS 55.6 · BPM 6.7
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.3 career VORP · 39 g
College: Texas Tech '20 · TS 54.4 · BPM 5.3
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.1 career VORP · 50 g
College: Duke '25 · TS 58.7 · BPM 7.0
Comp outcomes · real careers
14/14 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Bradley Beal2012
Star · 3× All-Star
Floor
James Bouknight2021
Bust · -0.9 VORP
The 15 nearest blended comps (1 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Thomas.
College stats · 2025-26 season
37 games · 75% min
labeled Combo G
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.