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PG#16 of 40 guards in 2026· Projected R2
Jaden Bradley
Developmental guard
Arizona·6'3" · 205lb·6'6" wing·8'0" reach·8.0" hand·22.8 yo at draft
Early 2nd
ATH composite
43
NCAA dominance
81
Scoring
72
Playmaking
95
Defense
62
Shooting
75
Combine
Max vertical
36.0"p51
Lane agility
10.75sp83
¾ sprint
3.20sp56
Standing reach
96.0"p14
Draft score 48 out of 100, overall rank 42.
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionLockdownSynergy defense 83rd
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental guard. Carried by perimeter defense (83rd); the question marks are scoring efficiency (10th) and rim protection (14th).
StrengthsPerimeter defense83
WatchScoring efficiency10Rim protection14
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#42
San Antonio Spurs
2nd roundModel vs the field
The One
#42
Field
#40
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental guard profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 81 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 40th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#42▲ Riser · up 5
May 30 · #47Jul 27 · #42
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable48.5draft scoreboard #42
Market 62% · consensus 40th / 3 boardsModel 38% · ranked 47th
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Bradley 40th, our model 47th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 48-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%43
NCAA dominanceweight 40%81
Mock consensusweight 20%60
avg rank 40 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
- +4
Elite playmaker (G)
AST% = 97th pct
- -2
Consensus fallers
latest consensus slipped by 6 spots
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 35th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 79.3"
78.3"
p34
Standing reach
med 99.5"
96.0"
p14
Max vertical
med 35.5"
36.0"
p51
Standing vert
med 30.0"
30.5"
p55
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.20s
p56
Lane agility
med 11.09s
10.75s
p83
Shuttle
med 3.05s
3.13s
p33
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionHeight
6'2.5"45
Wingspan diff
+3.8"35
Hand length
8.00"0
Hand width
9.25"55
Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionShooting & agility at the combine
Spot-up 3PT
10/25 · 40%0
Off-dribble 3PT
19/30 · 63%11
On-move 3PT
12/25 · 48%16
Modified agility
3.13s16
via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Arizona Wildcats42 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.01 PPP10
Defense
0.83 allow83
Shot dieteFG 50%3PT rate 18%FT rate 3%
Bradley's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs guards · 2014–2025Closest NBA comparisons
Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Bradley.
“Top X%” = closer to Bradley than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Andrew Nembhard2022top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -0.2 career VORP · 265 g
College: Gonzaga '22 · TS 56.4 · BPM 7.1
Wing78.3"vs77.8"Ht6'3"vs6'3"Max vert36.0"vs35.0"Shuttle3.13svs3.02s¾ sprint3.20svs3.26sWeight205 lbvs196 lbAgility10.75svs10.46sReach96.0"vs99.0"Std vert30.5"vs26.5"TS%56.8vs56.4PORPAG3.8vs3.9BPM7.6vs7.1Age22.8vs22.4AST%23.2vs26.3USG%21.1vs19.6 - 2Grayson Allen2018top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 6.6 career VORP · 454 g
College: Duke '18 · TS 58.0 · BPM 7.9
Ht6'3"vs6'3"Reach96.0"vs97.0"Shuttle3.13svs3.04sWing78.3"vs79.3"¾ sprint3.20svs3.15sWeight205 lbvs198 lbStd vert30.5"vs32.5"Agility10.75svs10.31sMax vert36.0"vs40.5"Age22.8vs22.7BPM7.6vs7.9USG%21.1vs20.3AST%23.2vs21.2TS%56.8vs58.0PORPAG3.8vs4.9 - 3Max Shulga2025top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.1 career VORP · 11 g
College: VCU '25 · TS 59.4 · BPM 8.5
¾ sprint3.20svs3.20sWeight205 lbvs206 lbShuttle3.13svs3.10sWing78.3"vs77.8"Ht6'3"vs6'4"Std vert30.5"vs29.5"Max vert36.0"vs34.5"Reach96.0"vs99.0"Agility10.75svs11.40sAST%23.2vs23.2USG%21.1vs22.5BPM7.6vs8.5TS%56.8vs59.4PORPAG3.8vs4.8 - 4Joe Harris2014top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 4.1 career VORP · 504 g
College: Virginia '14 · TS 56.5 · BPM 8.3
Wing78.3"vs78.0"Weight205 lbvs215 lbHt6'3"vs6'5"Std vert30.5"vs28.5"Max vert36.0"vs33.5"Shuttle3.13svs2.92sAgility10.75svs11.11s¾ sprint3.20svs3.31sReach96.0"vs100.0"Age22.8vs22.8TS%56.8vs56.5USG%21.1vs22.1BPM7.6vs8.3PORPAG3.8vs3.4AST%23.2vs18.1 - 5Donte DiVincenzo2018top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 10.1 career VORP · 498 g
College: Villanova '18 · TS 60.8 · BPM 8.8
Ht6'3"vs6'4"Shuttle3.13svs3.12sAgility10.75svs10.72sWing78.3"vs78.0"Weight205 lbvs201 lbReach96.0"vs97.5"¾ sprint3.20svs3.11sStd vert30.5"vs34.5"Max vert36.0"vs42.0"AST%23.2vs20.0USG%21.1vs22.8PORPAG3.8vs4.3BPM7.6vs8.8TS%56.8vs60.8
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
9/11 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
4 Starter3 Rotation2 Fringe2 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Donte DiVincenzo2018
Starter · 10.1 VORP
Floor
David Lighty2011
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (4 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Bradley.
College teamArizonaB12#2 T-Rank36-3SOS elite schedule · top 4%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Arizona· B12
39 games · 76% min
labeled Scoring PG
Efficiency
- TS%56.8%81
- eFG%49.9%65
- USG%21.1%65
- ORTG119.392
- AdjOE128.295
- RIM%51.6%46
Playmaking
- AST%23.2%74
- TO%15.1%74
Defense
- STL%2.6%68
- BLK%0.3%50
- DRTG91.794
- DBPM+3.496
Rebounding
- ORB%1.8%50
- DRB%9.5%61
Composite
- BPM+7.697
- OBPM+4.292
- PORPAG3.895
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position39 games· 30.6 mpg
Points
13.385
Rebounds
3.484
Assists
4.492
Steals
1.488
Blocks
0.166
ShootingFG 46.3%3PT 39.4%FT 80.9%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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