
ESPN
Developmental big
Scoring
60
Playmaking
59
Defense
45
Shooting
54
Combine
Max vertical
37.0"p86
Lane agility
10.76sp97
¾ sprint
3.27sp68
Standing reach
108.5"p57
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental big. Carried by rebounding (88th); the question marks are scoring efficiency (6th) and rim protection (9th).
Why this rank
Our scouting call slots Jr. at #18 — the deterministic model alone had Jr. at #33.
Draft outlook
Projected landing

#18
Charlotte Hornets
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#18
Field
#19
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental big profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 92th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 69 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 19th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Jr. 19th, our model 62nd. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
avg rank 19 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite BPM
BPM = 92th pct
Elite agility
lane agility = 95th pct
Plus wingspan
wingspan 89 = 89th pct
Plus vertical
max vertical = 75th pct
Young for class
age 19.4 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 31th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. B-bucket
Wingspan
med 85.8"
89.0"
p89
Standing reach
med 108.0"
108.5"
p57
Max vertical
med 32.5"
37.0"
p86
Standing vert
med 28.5"
33.0"
p91
¾ sprint
med 3.33s
3.27s
p68
Lane agility
med 11.65s
10.76s
p97
Shuttle
med 3.10s
2.84s
p92
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionWingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionvia stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Houston CougarsJr.'s offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs bigs · 2010–2024Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Jr..
“Top X%” = closer to Jr. than (100−X)% of all drafted bigs on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 13.5 career VORP · 713 g
College: Texas '15 · TS 55.6 · BPM 7.1
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 2.4 career VORP · 141 g
College: Indiana '24 · TS 62.3 · BPM 7.4
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · 0.1 career VORP · 65 g
College: Tulsa '10 · TS 59.7 · BPM 5.4
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 1.0 career VORP · 279 g
College: Vanderbilt '16 · TS 58.5 · BPM 5.4
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 12.9 career VORP · 796 g
College: Pittsburgh '13 · TS 55.5 · BPM 9.7
Comp outcomes · real careers
12/13 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Jaren Jackson2018
Star · 2× All-Star
Floor
Robert Upshaw2015
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Jr..
College stats · 2025-26 season
37 games · 62% min
labeled PF/C
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.