Aug 15, 25sim 94
697
3(H)96
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+7GS
GS
14-13
7366
CHI
7-20
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
olden State Valkyries went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 73–66.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
GS · top performer
Veronica Burton
G · #22
20.7Game score
18
Pts
4
Reb
7
Ast
CHI · top performer
Elizabeth Williams
C · #1
14.7Game score
15
Pts
8
Reb
3
Ast
WNBA · Golden State Valkyries at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
GS14-13
7366
CHI7-20
GS14-13CHI7-20
GS
14-13
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 35 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7 | |
| 18 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8 | |
| 21 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | |
| 31 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +19 | |
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -11 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 24 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | |
| 17 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8 | |
| 24 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3 | |
| Team | 73 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 9 | ||
| DNP: K. Thornton, M. Billings, C. Zandalasini, T. Hayes | ||||||||
CHI
7-20
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 30 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 35 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | |
| 28 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | |
| 30 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -14 | |
| 32 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | |
| 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | |
| Team | 66 | 36 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 10 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot, A. Atkins, H. Van Lith | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
37
FG %
42
19
Ast
21
Season series
GS wins series 3-0
Jun 28CHI78@GS83
CHI78@GS83Aug 1GS73@CHI66today
GS73@CHI66todayAug 15GS90@CHI59
GS90@CHI59Headlines · top performers
Game flowGS ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 16pp · 4th Quarter · 3:41
GSV. Burton
GGame leader · 31 min
18 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST
CHIE. Williams
CGame leader · 30 min
15 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
GS beat CHI 73-66. V. Burton led with 18 PTS, 4 REB, 7 AST. GS outscored the other side 21-12 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs GS
Starters vs bench
production by unitGSstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
52 PTS · 22 REB · 14 AST
GS 40
Bench(4)
21 PTS · 10 REB · 5 AST
GS 14
CHIstarters 85% of ptsStarters(5)
56 PTS · 31 REB · 20 AST
GS 46
Bench(3)
10 PTS · 5 REB · 1 AST
GS 3
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactGS4th Quarter · 3:41 · 64-60
+16pp→ 78% WP
Kia Nurse · misses 19-foot pullup jump shot
GS4th Quarter · 3:13 · 67-62
+13pp→ 80% WP
Iliana Rupert · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Veronica Burton assists)
GS4th Quarter · 2:13 · 69-66
+16pp→ 83% WP
Kia Nurse · shooting foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 14 | 23 | 15 | 21 | 73 |
| CHI | 15 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 66 |
Period scoring
GS won 2 · CHI won 2
14
15
Q1
Leite 5
Williams 4
23
22
Q2
Burton 5
Banham 5
15
17
Q3
Salaun 5
Banham 5
21
12
Q4
Rupert 9
Cardoso 4
GS
CHI
Shooting comparison
GS
CHI
37%
24-65
FG
42%
27-64
33%
10-30
3PT
27%
6-22
94%
15-16
FT
60%
6-10
Play-by-play · 357 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
GS 73·CHI 66
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
GS 73·CHI 66
- Q4·8.4
Rachel Banham bad pass (Veronica Burton steals)
·
GS 73·CHI 66
−0.6pp
- Q4·16.2
Sky timeout
GS 73·CHI 66
- Q4·16.2
Veronica Burton makes free throw 2 of 2
GS 73·CHI 66
- Q4·16.2
Veronica Burton makes free throw 1 of 2
GS 72·CHI 66
- Q4·16.2
Elizabeth Williams personal foul
GS 71·CHI 66
−2pp
- Q4·19.2
Veronica Burton defensive rebound
GS 71·CHI 66
−0.7pp
- Q4·19.2
Rebecca Allen misses 23-foot three point jumper
GS 71·CHI 66
−2pp
- Q4·20.7
Kamilla Cardoso offensive rebound
GS 71·CHI 66
+2pp
- Q4·22.8
Rachel Banham misses 14-foot pullup jump shot
GS 71·CHI 66
−5pp
- Q4·34.6
Sky Full timeout
GS 71·CHI 66
- Q4·34.6
Veronica Burton makes free throw 2 of 2
GS 71·CHI 66
+3pp
- Q4·34.6
Veronica Burton makes free throw 1 of 2
GS 70·CHI 66
−0.9pp
- Q4·34.6
Rachel Banham personal foulBIG MOMENT
GS 69·CHI 66
−8pp
- Q4·44.3
Kia Nurse bad pass (Iliana Rupert steals)BIG MOMENT
·
GS 69·CHI 66
−11pp
- Q4·48.5
Rebecca Allen defensive rebound
GS 69·CHI 66
+2pp
- Q4·51.3
Rebecca Allen blocks Veronica Burton 's 2-foot driving layupBIG MOMENT
·
GS 69·CHI 66
+6pp
- Q4·1:01
Temi Fagbenle defensive rebound
GS 69·CHI 66
−3pp
- Q4·1:07
Rachel Banham misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
GS 69·CHI 66
−8pp
- Q4·1:27
Sky defensive team rebound
GS 69·CHI 66
+2pp
- Q4·1:27
Janelle Salaun misses 7-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
GS 69·CHI 66
+5pp
- Q4·1:43
Kaila Charles defensive rebound
GS 69·CHI 66
−2pp
- Q4·1:45
Rachel Banham misses driving layupBIG MOMENT
GS 69·CHI 66
−6pp
- Q4·1:53
Iliana Rupert vs. Elizabeth Williams (Rebecca Allen gains possession)
· ·
GS 69·CHI 66
−0.6pp
- Q4·2:10
Elizabeth Williams defensive rebound
GS 69·CHI 66
- Q4·2:13
Janelle Salaun misses free throw 1 of 1BIG MOMENT
GS 69·CHI 66
+13pp
- Q4·2:13
Kia Nurse shooting foulBIG MOMENT
GS 69·CHI 66
−16pp
- Q4·2:13
Janelle Salaun makes driving layup (Veronica Burton assists)BIG MOMENT
·
GS 69·CHI 66
+9pp
- Q4·2:23
Temi Fagbenle enters the game for Kate Martin
·
GS 67·CHI 66
Team stats
GS
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
24-65
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
27-64
37
FG %
42
10-30
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
6-22
15-16
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
6-10
19
Assists
21
9
Turnovers
10
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · GS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs GS.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
95
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Veronica BurtonGS15.6± 5.8low
- Gabby WilliamsGS14.3± 7.5low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Kaila CharlesGS6.3± 2.4low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI4.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Veronica BurtonGS5.5± 4.2low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
Blocks
- Kiah StokesGS1.8± 2.7low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- Gabby WilliamsGS1.9± 2.4low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
GS
league avg
CHI
41.3%
FG%
44.7
41.1%
36.1%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
86.4
PPG
◀
85.4
82.8
19.1
Assists / G
18.0
19.3
10.1
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
11.0