
CAR
53-22-7

MTL
48-24-10
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
arolina Hurricanes went into Montreal Canadiens and beat them, 3–2 in overtime.
MTL +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CAR · top performer

Jackson Blake
RW · #53
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
MTL · top performer

Cole Caufield
RW · #13
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


CAR
53-22-7
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
MTL
48-24-10
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
8
Playoff series
CAR leads series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CAR beat MTL 3-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| MTL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
CAR won 2 · MTL won 1
1
2
3
OT
Play-by-play · 399 plays
- 1st OT·14:06
Game End
CAR 3·MTL 2
- 1st OT·14:06
End of OT
CAR 3·MTL 2
- 1st OT·14:06
Andrei Svechnikov Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (4)
·
CAR 3·MTL 2
- 1st OT·13:54
Giveaway by Lane Hutson
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·13:33
Mark Jankowski hit Noah Dobson
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·13:31
William Carrier hit Lane Hutson
· ·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·13:20
Eric Robinson Snap Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·13:13
Josh Anderson Snap Shot Short
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·13:06
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Phillip Danault
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·13:06
Icing
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·12:44
Jackson Blake hit Alexandre Carrier
· ·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·12:40
Zachary Bolduc hit Sean Walker
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·12:15
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Logan Stankoven
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·12:15
On-Ice Official
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·11:23
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·11:07
Giveaway by Jordan Martinook
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·11:01
Jaccob Slavin hit Alex Newhook
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·10:55
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·10:55
Icing
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·10:49
Jake Evans faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·10:49
Icing
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·10:46
Taylor Hall hit Ivan Demidov
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·9:28
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·9:28
Puck in Netting
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·9:26
Jalen Chatfield Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·8:42
Takeaway by Shayne Gostisbehere
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·8:37
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Seth Jarvis
· ·
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·8:34
Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·8:02
Takeaway by Jayden Struble
CAR 2·MTL 2
- 1st OT·7:58
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Josh Anderson
·
CAR 2·MTL 2
Team stats
CAR
Away
Stat
MTL
Home
39
Shots
13
0.0
PCT
50.0
6
PIM
8
35
Faceoffs W
32
18
Blocks
33
18
Giveaways
21
13
Takeaways
3
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·CAR -155/MTL +130
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Lane HutsonMTL · DDIST MI71.899+
Josh AndersonMTL · RWBURSTS7699+
Mike MathesonMTL · DDIST MI62.999
Cole CaufieldMTL · RWDIST MI56.699
Ivan DemidovMTL · RWDIST MI49.298
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.2%
ensemble · MTL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+114
Close price
+114
Open no-vig
44.9%
Close no-vig
44.9%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss