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FINAL+3NJ
UTA

UTA

19-20-3

14
NJ

NJ

22-17-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 3FinalSeriesNJ wins series 2-0VegasNJ -118

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils held off Utah Mammoth, 4–1.

NJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

UTA
Michael Carcone

Michael Carcone

LW · #53

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

NJ
Jesper Bratt

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Utah Mammoth at New Jersey Devils · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
4
UTA19-20-3NJ22-17-2
UTA

UTA

19-20-3

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NJ

NJ

22-17-2

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

4

Season series

NJ wins series 2-0

Dec 20NJNJ2@UTAUTA1
Jan 3UTAUTA1@NJNJ4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTAUTA-10250%
NJNJ-11854%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat UTA 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
UTA0011
NJ2204

Period scoring

UTA won 1 · NJ won 2

0
2

1

0
2

2

1
0

3

UTA
NJ

Play-by-play · 311 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  3. 3rd·19:59

    Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Timo Meier

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  4. 3rd·19:56

    Sean Durzi shot blocked by Arseny Gritsyuk

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  5. 3rd·19:47

    Giveaway by Clayton Keller

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  6. 3rd·19:30

    Dylan Guenther hit Dawson Mercer

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  7. 3rd·19:28

    Giveaway by Dawson Mercer

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  8. 3rd·19:24

    Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  9. 3rd·19:24

    Clayton Keller Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  10. 3rd·19:23

    Nick Schmaltz Backhand saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  11. 3rd·19:22

    Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  12. 3rd·19:12

    Clayton Keller Backhand saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  13. 3rd·18:57

    Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Dawson Mercer

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  14. 3rd·18:57

    Goalie Stopped

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  15. 3rd·18:55

    Nick Schmaltz Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  16. 3rd·18:44

    Takeaway by Dylan Guenther

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  17. 3rd·18:16

    Giveaway by Daniil But

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  18. 3rd·18:05

    Brett Pesce Slap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  19. 3rd·17:59

    Ondrej Palat Snap Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  20. 3rd·17:18

    Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Ian Cole

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  21. 3rd·17:17

    Timo Meier Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  22. 3rd·16:57

    Timo Meier hit Ian Cole

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  23. 3rd·16:48

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Timo Meier

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  24. 3rd·16:48

    Puck in Benches

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  25. 3rd·16:44

    Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Stefan Noesen

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  26. 3rd·16:17

    Jack McBain faceoff won against Luke Glendening

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  27. 3rd·16:17

    Goalie Stopped

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  28. 3rd·16:16

    Lawson Crouse Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  29. 3rd·16:12

    Alexander Kerfoot Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

  30. 3rd·16:11

    Lawson Crouse hit Jonas Siegenthaler

    ·

    UTA 1·NJ 4

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

NJ

Home

31

Shots

30

0.0

PCT

33.3

6

PIM

4

26

Faceoffs W

28

8

Blocks

14

12

Giveaways

17

4

Takeaways

5

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·UTA -102/NJ -118

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 1 skaters with EDGE
  • Luke GlendeningPHI · C
    SKATE MPH22.582

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · NJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-118

Close price

-118

Open no-vig

51.7%

Close no-vig

51.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR