NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2SEA

SEA

13-14-6

17-16-3

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 20FinalSeriesSEA wins series 2-1VegasSJ -130

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken went into San Jose Sharks and beat them, 4–2.

SEA +1.5 cashed (SJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

Chandler Stephenson

C · #9

2Points

—

SOG

SJ · top performer

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

SEA13-14-6

SJ17-16-3

SEA13-14-6SJ17-16-3

SEA

13-14-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

17-16-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SEA wins series 2-1

Nov 6

SJ6@

SEA1

Nov 16

SJ1@

SEA4

Dec 21

SEA4@

SJ2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEA+11048%

SJ-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SJ -1.5↗SpreadBet SJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat SJ 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
SEA	0	1	3	4
SJ	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

SEA won 1 · SJ won 0

SEA

Play-by-play · 309 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:48
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Ty Dellandrea
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:48
Goalie Stopped
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:46
Igor Chernyshov Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:45
Ty Dellandrea faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:45
Jordan Eberle Holding against Jeff Skinner
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:30
Tyler Toffoli Snap Shot Wide Left
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:29
Jeff Skinner Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·19:10
Jeff Skinner Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·18:36
Matty Beniers faceoff won against Alexander Wennberg
·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·18:36
Chandler Stephenson Goal (9) Backhand, assists: Eeli Tolvanen (14), Joey Daccord (2)
· ·
SEA 4·SJ 2
3rd·18:18
John Klingberg shot blocked by Adam Larsson
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·18:12
Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·18:12
Goalie Stopped
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·18:11
William Eklund Deflected saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·17:19
Ben Meyers shot blocked by Ty Dellandrea
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·17:13
Ty Dellandrea faceoff won against Ben Meyers
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·17:13
Goalie Stopped
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·17:11
Kaapo Kakko Snap Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:52
Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:28
Sam Dickinson shot blocked by Vince Dunn
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:25
Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:25
Puck in Netting
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:23
Sam Dickinson shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:18
Macklin Celebrini faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:18
Goalie Stopped
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:18
William Eklund Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:14
William Eklund Backhand Wide Right
·
SEA 3·SJ 2
3rd·16:13
William Eklund Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 3·SJ 2

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

SJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +110/SJ -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Jordan EberleSEA · RW
DIST MI236.192
Ryker EvansSEA · D
SKATE MPH23.092
Adam LarssonSEA · D
SHOT MPH98.491
Vince DunnSEA · D
DIST MI248.391

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

SJ vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 138 high confidence

Shots on goal

Macklin CelebriniSJ
3.4± 1.1high
Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high
Brandon MontourSEA
3.0± 1.3high

Goals

Macklin CelebriniSJ
0.6± 0.8high
Bobby McMannSEA
0.3± 0.5high
Jared McCannSEA
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Macklin CelebriniSJ
1.4± 1.4high
William EklundSJ
0.9± 1.1high
Alexander WennbergSJ
0.8± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands