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FINAL+1NJ
NJ

NJ

20-14-1

21
UTA

UTA

17-17-3

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLFri, Dec 19FinalSeriesNJ leads series 1-0VegasUTAH -142

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 2–1.

NJ +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · New Jersey Devils at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
1
NJ20-14-1UTA17-17-3
NJ

NJ

20-14-1

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

17-17-3

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

10

Season series

NJ leads series 1-0

Dec 20NJNJ2@UTAUTA1today
Jan 3UTAUTA1@NJNJ4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJNJ+12045%
UTAUTA-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat UTA 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NJ0112
UTA1001

Period scoring

NJ won 2 · UTA won 1

0
1

1

1
0

2

1
0

3

NJ
UTA

Play-by-play · 295 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Luke Glendening

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  4. 3rd·19:56

    JJ Peterka Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  5. 3rd·19:53

    JJ Peterka Backhand saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  6. 3rd·19:49

    Luke Glendening faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  7. 3rd·19:49

    Off-side

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  8. 3rd·19:37

    Takeaway by Connor Brown

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  9. 3rd·19:25

    Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Brett Pesce

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  10. 3rd·19:20

    JJ Peterka shot blocked by Nico Hischier

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  11. 3rd·19:18

    Clayton Keller Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  12. 3rd·18:39

    Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Nico Hischier

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  13. 3rd·18:39

    Timeout - Visitor

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  14. 3rd·18:39

    Dawson Mercer Tripping against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  15. 3rd·18:20

    Nico Hischier faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  16. 3rd·18:20

    Icing

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  17. 3rd·18:08

    Clayton Keller shot blocked by Luke Hughes

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  18. 3rd·17:57

    Dylan Guenther Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  19. 3rd·17:34

    Ondrej Palat Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  20. 3rd·16:52

    Nico Hischier faceoff won against Jack McBain

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  21. 3rd·16:52

    Icing

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  22. 3rd·16:37

    Dougie Hamilton Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  23. 3rd·15:56

    Jesper Bratt Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  24. 3rd·15:18

    Sean Durzi Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  25. 3rd·15:12

    Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Juho Lammikko

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  26. 3rd·15:12

    Icing

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  27. 3rd·15:04

    Ian Cole shot blocked by Michael Carcone

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  28. 3rd·15:00

    Jack McBain hit Brenden Dillon

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  29. 3rd·14:16

    Brenden Dillon Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

  30. 3rd·14:01

    Barrett Hayton hit Connor Brown

    ·

    NJ 2·UTA 1

Team stats

NJ

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

22

Shots

33

20.0

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

10

25

Faceoffs W

29

26

Blocks

16

13

Giveaways

9

5

Takeaways

2

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ +120/UTA -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 1 skaters with EDGE
  • Luke GlendeningPHI · C
    SKATE MPH22.582

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR