BOS
56-26
PHI
45-37
BOS · top performer
Payton Pritchard
G · #11
32
Pts
4
Reb
5
Ast
PHI · top performer
Joel Embiid
C · #21
26
Pts
10
Reb
6
Ast
Biggest swing: 8pp · 3rd Quarter · 7:47
NBA · Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 35 | 30 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 9-9 | +25 | 7 | 11 | |
| 22 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-6 | — | +13 | 4 | 1 | |
| 17 | 9 | 3-3 | — | 3-4 | +12 | 8 | 1 | |
| 33 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | — | +11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 31 | 20 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 5-9 | +7 | 7 | 1 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | +6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | +11 | 5 | 2 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | +12 | 3 | 2 | |
| 35 | 32 | 12-21 | 6-12 | 2-2 | +20 | 4 | 5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | — | +6 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | — | +12 | 5 | 0 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | — | +13 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | — | +6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | +6 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team | 128 | 42-87 | 24-53 | 20-28 | 51 | 28 | ||
| DNP: A. Williams | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 31 | 16 | 6-13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | -13 | 4 | 1 | |
| 34 | 26 | 9-21 | 1-6 | 7-9 | -25 | 10 | 6 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -31 | 4 | 1 | |
| 40 | 22 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | -22 | 2 | 6 | |
| 36 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | -14 | 4 | 1 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 5 | 4 | 1-1 | — | 2-2 | -5 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | — | -5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | — | — | — | -17 | 2 | 2 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -16 | 1 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | -6 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2-2 | — | — | +4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 12 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | -5 | 2 | 6 | |
| Team | 96 | 33-80 | 9-30 | 21-24 | 30 | 25 | ||
| DNP: J. Broome, K. Lowry | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
48
FG %
41
28
Ast
25
Team stats
BOS
Away
Stat
PHI
Home
42-87
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
33-80
48
FG %
41
24-53
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
9-30
20-28
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
21-24
28
Assists
25
12
Turnovers
8
Playoff series
BOS leads series 3-1
PHI91@BOS123PHI111@BOS97BOS108@PHI100BOS128@PHI96todayPHI113@BOS97BOS93@PHI106PHI109@BOS100Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BOS -6.5
Half-pt below key 7
Total
212.5
Defensive · -13.5 vs avg
Moneyline
BOS-23070%PHI+19034%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 19 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
6.5
0.0 since open
Total
212.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
BOS beat PHI 128-96. P. Pritchard paced them with 32 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST. BOS outscored the other side 34-18 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHI vs BOS
Starters vs bench
production by unitBOSstarters 55% of ptsStarters(5)
71 PTS · 32 REB · 17 AST
GS 59
Bench(9)
57 PTS · 19 REB · 11 AST
GS 50
PHIstarters 75% of ptsStarters(5)
72 PTS · 24 REB · 15 AST
GS 52
Bench(8)
24 PTS · 6 REB · 10 AST
GS 23
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactTyrese Maxey · misses two point shot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 34 | 22 | 39 | 33 | 128 |
| PHI | 18 | 20 | 36 | 22 | 96 |
Period scoring
BOS won 4 · PHI won 0
Q1
Pritchard 13
Embiid 10
Q2
Brown 8
Grimes 5
Q3
Pritchard 14
Maxey 35
Q4
Tatum 12
Maxey 5
Shooting comparison
48%
42-87
FG
41%
33-80
45%
24-53
3PT
30%
9-30
71%
20-28
FT
88%
21-24
Play-by-play · 468 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·22.8
shot clock turnover
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·44.1
Ron Harper Jr. defensive rebound
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·47.4
Jabari Walker misses 24-foot three point jumper
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·52.9
Hugo Gonzalez out of bounds lost ball turnover
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·58.2
Luka Garza defensive rebound
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·59.8
Jabari Walker misses 4-foot pullup jump shot
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·1:04
Jabari Walker offensive rebound
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·1:08
Dominick Barlow misses 23-foot three point jumper
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·1:24
Max Shulga makes 23-foot three point jumper (Hugo Gonzalez assists)
·
BOS 128·PHI 96
- Q4·1:37
Luka Garza defensive rebound
BOS 125·PHI 96
- Q4·1:41
Dalen Terry misses 28-foot three point jumper
BOS 125·PHI 96
- Q4·1:51
Luka Garza makes 1-foot layup (Hugo Gonzalez assists)
·
BOS 125·PHI 96
- Q4·2:06
Jabari Walker makes driving layup (Trendon Watford assists)
·
BOS 123·PHI 96
- Q4·2:16
Max Shulga personal foul
BOS 123·PHI 94
- Q4·2:32
Ron Harper Jr. makes 24-foot three pointer (Luka Garza assists)
·
BOS 123·PHI 94
- Q4·2:48
Trendon Watford makes free throw 2 of 2
BOS 120·PHI 94
- Q4·2:48
Trendon Watford makes free throw 1 of 2
BOS 120·PHI 93
- Q4·2:48
Hugo Gonzalez enters the game for Sam Hauser
·
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·2:48
Max Shulga enters the game for Jordan Walsh
·
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·2:48
Dalano Banton enters the game for Baylor Scheierman
·
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·2:48
Ron Harper Jr. enters the game for Payton Pritchard
·
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·2:48
Celtics Full timeout
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·2:48
Sam Hauser shooting foul
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·2:50
Justin Edwards defensive rebound
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·2:54
Baylor Scheierman misses 22-foot three point jumper
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·3:15
Trendon Watford makes 7-foot running pullup jump shot (Justin Edwards assists)
·
BOS 120·PHI 92
- Q4·3:21
Justin Edwards defensive rebound
BOS 120·PHI 90
- Q4·3:26
Jordan Walsh misses 25-foot three point jumper
BOS 120·PHI 90
Betting line
BOS -6.5·O/U 212.5·BOS -230/PHI +190
Recap · NBA
oston Celtics went into Philadelphia 76ers and beat them, 128–96. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
BOS -6.5 cashed (won by 32). Total cleared the 212.5 OVER by 11.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Jaylen BrownBOS · GUSG%35.699+
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599- Joel EmbiidPHI · CUSG%34.399
Jayson TatumBOS · FTOUCHES8998
Neemias QuetaBOS · CCONT9.197
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · BOS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHI vs BOS.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Jaylen BrownBOS26.6± 6.3high
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI25.0± 6.5high
Rebounds
- Jayson TatumBOS10.4± 3.8high
- Neemias QuetaBOS8.4± 3.6high
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
Assists
- Jayson TatumBOS6.4± 2.6high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Payton PritchardBOS5.4± 2.2high
Blocks
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Derrick WhiteBOS1.1± 1.3high
- Adem BonaPHI1.1± 1.3high
Steals
- Paul GeorgePHI1.5± 1.1high
- Jayson TatumBOS1.4± 1.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI1.2± 0.9high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
BOS
league avg
PHI
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.9%
46.5%
FG%
47.0
46.0%
114.2
PPG
114.9
114.3
24.6
Assists / G
25.0
24.1
11.5
Turnovers / G
14.0
12.8