NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+3STRIPES

WORLD

4548

STRIPES

NBASun, Feb 15Final

WORLD · top performer

Victor Wembanyama

F · #1

15.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

STRIPES · top performer

Kawhi Leonard

F · #2

28.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
P. SiakamF · #43	10	6	3-3	—	—	-5	3	1
D. AvdijaF · #8	7	0	0-1	0-1	—	+7	1	2
V. WembanyamaF · #1	10	19	6-8	2-3	5-5	+6	2	0
K. TownsC · #32	10	6	2-2	2-2	—	-3	2	0
J. MurrayG · #27	10	8	3-7	2-3	—	-3	2	4
Bench
A. SengunC · #28	6	1	0-2	0-1	1-2	-7	1	2
N. PowellG · #24	7	5	2-4	0-2	1-2	-10	2	1
Team		45	16-27	6-12	7-9		13	10
DNP: G. Antetokounmpo, N. Jokic, L. Doncic, S. Gilgeous-Alexander

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
L. JamesF · #23	8	2	1-3	0-1	—	-6	2	4
K. DurantF · #7	12	7	3-7	1-4	—	+3	1	1
K. LeonardF · #2	12	31	11-13	6-7	3-3	+3	3	0
J. BrownG · #7	8	0	0-3	0-1	—	-6	0	1
J. BrunsonG · #11	8	8	3-5	2-3	—	-5	1	2
Bench
B. IngramF · #3	4	0	—	—	—	+9	1	0
D. MitchellG · #45	4	0	—	—	—	+9	0	0
D. FoxG · #4	4	0	—	—	—	+8	0	0
Team		48	18-31	9-16	3-3		8	8
DNP: S. Curry

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

WORLD

Away

Stat

STRIPES

Home

16-27

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

18-31

FG %

6-12

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

9-16

7-9

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

3-3

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Feb 15

WORLD45@

STRIPES48today

How it ended

STRIPES beat WORLD 48-45. K. Leonard paced them with 31 PTS, 3 REB, 0 AST.

Last play

End of the 1st Quarter

Starters vs bench

production by unit

WORLDstarters 87% of pts

Starters(5)

39 PTS · 10 REB · 7 AST

GS 34

Bench(2)

6 PTS · 3 REB · 3 AST

GS 5

STRIPESstarters 100% of pts

Starters(5)

48 PTS · 7 REB · 8 AST

GS 44

Bench(3)

0 PTS · 1 REB · 0 AST

GS 1

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	T
WORLD	45	45
STRIPES	48	48

Shooting comparison

WORLD

STRIPES

59%

16-27

58%

18-31

50%

6-12

3PT

56%

9-16

78%

7-9

100%

3-3

Play-by-play · 130 plays

event

player

Q1·0.0
End of the 1st Quarter
WORLD 45·STRIPES 48
Q1·0.9
World offensive team rebound
WORLD 45·STRIPES 48
Q1·0.9
Victor Wembanyama misses 28-foot three point jumper
WORLD 45·STRIPES 48
Q1·3.5
Brandon Ingram enters the game for Jalen Brunson
·
WORLD 45·STRIPES 48
Q1·3.5
World Full timeout
WORLD 45·STRIPES 48
Q1·3.5
Kawhi Leonard makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
WORLD 45·STRIPES 48
Q1·25.8
Victor Wembanyama makes free throw 2 of 2
WORLD 45·STRIPES 45
Q1·25.8
Victor Wembanyama makes free throw 1 of 2
WORLD 44·STRIPES 45
Q1·25.8
LeBron James shooting foul
WORLD 43·STRIPES 45
Q1·31.2
LeBron James makes tip in dunk
WORLD 43·STRIPES 45
Q1·31.2
LeBron James offensive rebound
WORLD 43·STRIPES 43
Q1·32.9
Jalen Brunson misses running layup
WORLD 43·STRIPES 43
Q1·34.1
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
WORLD 43·STRIPES 43
Q1·38.4
Jaylen Brown blocks Jamal Murray 's 18-foot turnaround jump shot
·
WORLD 43·STRIPES 43
Q1·52.5
Kawhi Leonard makes free throw 1 of 1
WORLD 43·STRIPES 43
Q1·52.5
Pascal Siakam enters the game for Alperen Sengun
·
WORLD 43·STRIPES 42
Q1·52.5
Alperen Sengun shooting foul
WORLD 43·STRIPES 42
Q1·52.5
Kawhi Leonard makes 3-foot two point shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
·
WORLD 43·STRIPES 42
Q1·55.6
Norman Powell makes two point shot
WORLD 43·STRIPES 40
Q1·55.9
Norman Powell offensive rebound
WORLD 41·STRIPES 40
Q1·56.7
Jaylen Brown blocks Jamal Murray 's 27-foot running pullup jump shot
·
WORLD 41·STRIPES 40
Q1·59.6
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
WORLD 41·STRIPES 40
Q1·1:03
Jaylen Brown misses driving layup
WORLD 41·STRIPES 40
Q1·1:10
Victor Wembanyama makes 23-foot three point jumper (Norman Powell assists)
·
WORLD 41·STRIPES 40
Q1·1:25
Kawhi Leonard makes 3-foot driving dunk (Kevin Durant assists)
·
WORLD 38·STRIPES 40
Q1·1:35
Alperen Sengun makes free throw 2 of 2
WORLD 38·STRIPES 38
Q1·1:35
World offensive team rebound
WORLD 37·STRIPES 38
Q1·1:35
Alperen Sengun misses free throw 1 of 2
WORLD 37·STRIPES 38
Q1·1:35
Jaylen Brown personal foul
WORLD 37·STRIPES 38
Q1·1:35
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
WORLD 37·STRIPES 38

Recap · NBA

eam Stripes held off World, 48–45. Decided by 3.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Deni AvdijaPOR · F
DRIVES20.899+
Victor WembanyamaSA · F
CONT11.999+
Jaylen BrownBOS · G
USG%35.699+
Kawhi LeonardTOR · F
USG%33.399
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · WORLD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STRIPES win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STRIPES win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STRIPES win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · hoopR