NY
41-23
DEN
39-25
NY · top performer
OG Anunoby
F · #8
34
Pts
7
Reb
5
Ast
DEN · top performer
Nikola Jokic
C · #15
38
Pts
8
Reb
5
Ast
Biggest swing: 12pp · 2nd Quarter · 3:16
NBA · New York Knicks at Denver Nuggets · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 32 | 34 | 11-17 | 6-11 | 6-6 | +17 | 7 | 5 | |
| 27 | 17 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | +19 | 13 | 2 | |
| 25 | 18 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | +10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 25 | 9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | — | +12 | 2 | 4 | |
| 34 | 9 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | +19 | 3 | 15 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 9 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +13 | 3 | 2 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | — | +13 | 2 | 0 | |
| 13 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | — | +7 | 1 | 2 | |
| 14 | 13 | 6-7 | — | 1-2 | +12 | 5 | 1 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +13 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | +13 | 3 | 0 | |
| 19 | 10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | +21 | 3 | 0 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +13 | 1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1-2 | — | — | +13 | 2 | 8 | |
| Team | 142 | 55-95 | 16-34 | 16-21 | 50 | 44 | ||
| DNP: K. McCullar Jr. | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | -7 | 3 | 3 | |
| 22 | 10 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | -6 | 3 | 5 | |
| 31 | 38 | 14-21 | 1-7 | 9-10 | -18 | 8 | 5 | |
| 18 | 12 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | -4 | 1 | 3 | |
| 31 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | -18 | 4 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -13 | 3 | 1 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | -9 | 1 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | — | -15 | 2 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -13 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | -4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 6 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-5 | -24 | 1 | 1 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | — | -14 | 1 | 1 | |
| 22 | 7 | 3-3 | — | 1-1 | -22 | 2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | — | -13 | 0 | 1 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | — | -15 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 103 | 37-83 | 8-40 | 21-30 | 31 | 30 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
58
FG %
45
44
Ast
30
Team stats
NY
Away
Stat
DEN
Home
55-95
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
37-83
58
FG %
45
16-34
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
8-40
16-21
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
21-30
44
Assists
30
10
Turnovers
15
Season series
NY wins series 2-0
DEN127@NY134NY142@DEN103todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
DEN -1.5
Between — and 5
Total
229.5
Standard · +3.5 vs avg
Moneyline
NY-10551%DEN-11553%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
229.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NY beat DEN 142-103. O. Anunoby paced them with 34 PTS, 7 REB, 5 AST. NY outscored the other side 38-23 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
DEN vs NY
Starters vs bench
production by unitNYstarters 61% of ptsStarters(5)
87 PTS · 30 REB · 28 AST
GS 86
Bench(9)
55 PTS · 20 REB · 16 AST
GS 55
DENstarters 68% of ptsStarters(5)
70 PTS · 19 REB · 21 AST
GS 59
Bench(10)
33 PTS · 12 REB · 9 AST
GS 15
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactOG Anunoby · shooting foul
Josh Hart · bad pass turnover (Nikola Jokic steals)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 27 | 38 | 40 | 37 | 142 |
| DEN | 29 | 23 | 28 | 23 | 103 |
Period scoring
NY won 3 · DEN won 1
Q1
Robinson 9
Jokic 10
Q2
Anunoby 12
Jokic 11
Q3
Anunoby 14
Jokic 17
Q4
Dadiet 11
II 11
Shooting comparison
58%
55-95
FG
45%
37-83
47%
16-34
3PT
20%
8-40
76%
16-21
FT
70%
21-30
Play-by-play · 472 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 142·DEN 103
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 142·DEN 103
- Q4·16.1
shot clock turnover
NY 142·DEN 103
- Q4·41.0
DaRon Holmes II makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jalen Pickett assists)
·
NY 142·DEN 103
- Q4·49.2
Jordan Clarkson makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot
NY 142·DEN 100
- Q4·58.8
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
NY 140·DEN 100
- Q4·1:02
Zeke Nnaji misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 140·DEN 100
- Q4·1:03
DaRon Holmes II offensive rebound
NY 140·DEN 100
- Q4·1:06
David Roddy misses 27-foot three point jumper
NY 140·DEN 100
- Q4·1:11
Jeremy Sochan makes 1-foot dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 140·DEN 100
- Q4·1:18
DaRon Holmes II makes free throw 1 of 1
NY 138·DEN 100
- Q4·1:18
Ariel Hukporti shooting foul
NY 138·DEN 99
- Q4·1:18
DaRon Holmes II makes layup (David Roddy assists)
·
NY 138·DEN 99
- Q4·1:29
Tyler Kolek makes two point shot
NY 138·DEN 97
- Q4·1:29
Tyler Kolek offensive rebound
NY 136·DEN 97
- Q4·1:30
Jordan Clarkson misses running pullup jump shot
NY 136·DEN 97
- Q4·1:32
DaRon Holmes II lost ball turnover (Jeremy Sochan steals)
·
NY 136·DEN 97
- Q4·1:32
Jeremy Sochan vs. DaRon Holmes II (Jordan Clarkson gains possession)
· ·
NY 136·DEN 97
- Q4·1:52
Jordan Clarkson makes 1-foot dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 136·DEN 97
- Q4·1:54
Tyus Jones lost ball turnover (Ariel Hukporti steals)
· ·
NY 134·DEN 97
- Q4·2:15
Pacome Dadiet steps out of bounds turnover
NY 134·DEN 97
- Q4·2:20
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
NY 134·DEN 97
- Q4·2:23
Tyus Jones misses 31-foot three point jumper
·
NY 134·DEN 97
- Q4·2:51
Pacome Dadiet makes running dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 134·DEN 97
- Q4·2:54
Pacome Dadiet defensive rebound
NY 132·DEN 97
- Q4·2:57
DaRon Holmes II misses 22-foot three point jumper
NY 132·DEN 97
- Q4·3:10
Ariel Hukporti lost ball turnover (David Roddy steals)
·
NY 132·DEN 97
- Q4·3:17
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
NY 132·DEN 97
- Q4·3:21
David Roddy misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 132·DEN 97
- Q4·3:38
Ariel Hukporti makes 1-foot running dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 132·DEN 97
Betting line
DEN -1.5·O/U 229.5·NY -105/DEN -115
Recap · NBA
ew York Knicks went into Denver Nuggets and beat them, 142–103. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
NY +1.5 cashed (DEN lost outright). Total cleared the 229.5 OVER by 15.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort- Nikola JokicDEN · CTOUCHES12399+
Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · GDEFL4.198
Jamal MurrayDEN · GTOUCHES82.297- OG AnunobyNY · FCONT8.496
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DEN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DEN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DEN win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
DEN vs NY.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
160
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- Nikola JokicDEN26.6± 7.0high
- Jamal MurrayDEN24.2± 8.1high
Rebounds
- Nikola JokicDEN12.5± 3.1high
- Josh HartNY8.4± 3.0high
- Mitchell RobinsonNY6.7± 2.5high
Assists
- Nikola JokicDEN9.7± 4.5high
- Jamal MurrayDEN6.4± 1.9high
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
Blocks
- Nikola JokicDEN1.0± 1.0high
- OG AnunobyNY1.0± 1.0high
- Spencer JonesDEN0.7± 1.0high
Steals
- Josh HartNY1.5± 1.4high
- OG AnunobyNY1.5± 1.3high
- Bruce BrownDEN1.3± 1.5high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
NY
league avg
DEN
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶57.2%
48.0%
FG%
47.0
▶49.2%
116.4
PPG
114.9
▶121.1
27.0
Assists / G
25.0
▶28.7
12.7
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶12.1