NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+15DET

DET

41-13

126111

35-21

NBAThu, Feb 19FinalSeriesDET wins series 3-0VegasNY -3.5

DET · top performer

Cade Cunningham

G · #2

34.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Jalen Brunson

G · #11

25.6Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowDET ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 9pp · 3rd Quarter · 8:02

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
T. HarrisF · #12	32	11	4-16	1-5	2-4	+17	10	5
D. RobinsonF · #55	21	9	3-6	3-6	—	+3	1	0
P. ReedF · #7	29	18	7-9	0-1	4-4	+14	7	2
C. CunninghamG · #2	38	42	17-34	5-11	3-3	+12	8	13
A. ThompsonG · #9	31	10	4-8	—	2-2	+10	5	4
Bench
T. SmithF · #35	18	4	2-3	—	—	+1	2	0
R. Holland IIF · #5	12	7	3-3	1-1	—	-1	2	1
J. GreenG · #31	20	9	2-4	1-3	4-5	+4	5	0
C. LeVertG · #8	20	8	3-6	2-3	—	+10	2	3
D. JenkinsG · #24	18	8	3-4	—	2-2	+5	2	2
Team		126	48-93	13-30	17-20		44	30
DNP: I. Stewart, J. Duren, K. Huerter, M. Sasser, C. Lanier

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	32	8	3-13	1-8	1-2	+1	0	0
K. TownsC · #32	31	21	7-14	1-4	6-6	0	11	4
J. HartG · #3	28	11	5-8	—	1-2	-13	4	3
M. BridgesG · #25	25	8	4-9	0-3	—	-6	3	0
J. BrunsonG · #11	38	33	12-20	3-7	6-6	-9	6	8
Bench
J. SochanF · #20	10	2	1-1	—	—	-2	0	1
M. DiawaraF · #51	9	0	—	—	—	-6	2	1
M. RobinsonC · #23	19	7	2-4	—	3-6	-15	6	0
L. ShametG · #44	28	15	4-10	3-8	4-6	-13	2	2
J. AlvaradoG · #5	21	6	3-8	0-5	—	-12	4	5
Team		111	41-87	8-35	21-28		38	24
DNP: A. Hukporti, J. Clarkson, T. Kolek

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

Home

48-93

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

41-87

FG %

13-30

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

8-35

17-20

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

21-28

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

DET wins series 3-0

Jan 6

NY90@

DET121

Feb 7

NY80@

DET118

Feb 20

DET126@

NY111today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -3.5

Between — and 5

Total

218.5

Defensive · -7.5 vs avg

Moneyline

DET+13642%

NY-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -3.5↗SpreadBet NY -3.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

3.5

0.0 since open

Total

218.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat NY 126-111. C. Cunningham led the way with 42 points and 13 assists. DET outscored the other side 30-22 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs DET

Starters vs bench

production by unit

DETstarters 71% of pts

Starters(5)

90 PTS · 31 REB · 24 AST

GS 80

Bench(5)

36 PTS · 13 REB · 6 AST

GS 31

NYstarters 73% of pts

Starters(5)

81 PTS · 24 REB · 15 AST

GS 58

Bench(5)

30 PTS · 14 REB · 9 AST

GS 31

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

DET3rd Quarter · 8:32 · 65-60

+7pp→ 62% WP

Duncan Robinson · makes 24-foot running jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)

DET3rd Quarter · 8:02 · 65-60

+9pp→ 65% WP

Karl-Anthony Towns · misses 24-foot three point step back jumpshot

DET3rd Quarter · 6:34 · 68-64

+8pp→ 69% WP

Jalen Brunson · shooting foul

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
DET	28	30	32	36	126
NY	26	22	31	32	111

Period scoring

DET won 4 · NY won 0

Cunningham 14

Brunson 9

Cunningham 10

Alvarado 4

Cunningham 11

Towns 12

Reed 9

Brunson 9

DET

Shooting comparison

DET

52%

48-93

47%

41-87

43%

13-30

3PT

23%

8-35

85%

17-20

75%

21-28

Play-by-play · 482 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
DET 126·NY 111
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DET 126·NY 111
Q4·12.0
Javonte Green offensive rebound
DET 126·NY 111
Q4·13.7
Ausar Thompson misses running layup
DET 126·NY 111
Q4·17.9
Jose Alvarado bad pass turnover (Ausar Thompson steals)
·
DET 126·NY 111
Q4·32.6
Ausar Thompson makes running layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
·
DET 126·NY 111
Q4·36.3
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
DET 124·NY 111
Q4·38.2
OG Anunoby misses 22-foot three point jumper
DET 124·NY 111
Q4·46.6
Paul Reed makes free throw 2 of 2
DET 124·NY 111
Q4·46.6
Javonte Green enters the game for Tobias Harris
·
DET 123·NY 111
Q4·46.6
Jose Alvarado enters the game for Jalen Brunson
·
DET 123·NY 111
Q4·46.6
Paul Reed makes free throw 1 of 2
DET 123·NY 111
Q4·46.6
Karl-Anthony Towns personal take foul
DET 122·NY 111
Q4·47.5
Karl-Anthony Towns makes two point shot
DET 122·NY 111
Q4·47.5
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
DET 122·NY 109
Q4·48.3
Cade Cunningham blocks Karl-Anthony Towns's driving layup
·
DET 122·NY 109
Q4·54.2
Paul Reed makes 1-foot layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
·
DET 122·NY 109
Q4·1:03
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:03
Tobias Harris misses tip in dunk
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:03
Tobias Harris offensive rebound
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:07
Cade Cunningham misses running layup
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:12
Paul Reed defensive rebound
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:12
Karl-Anthony Towns misses tip shot
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:12
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:14
Jalen Brunson misses 23-foot running jump shot
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:18
Cade Cunningham lost ball turnover (Jalen Brunson steals)
·
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:33
Jalen Brunson makes 26-foot running pullup jump shot
DET 120·NY 109
Q4·1:37
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
DET 120·NY 106
Q4·1:39
Paul Reed misses 12-foot jumper
DET 120·NY 106
Q4·2:08
OG Anunoby makes 25-foot three point jumper (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)
·
DET 120·NY 106

Betting line

NY -3.5·O/U 218.5·DET +136/NY -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

etroit Pistons went into New York Knicks and beat them, 126–111.

DET +3.5 cashed (NY lost outright). Total cleared the 218.5 OVER by 18.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Cade CunninghamDET · G
TOUCHES9799+
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Ausar ThompsonDET · G
DEFL3.596
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs DET.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Cade CunninghamDET
26.1± 9.6high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high

Rebounds

Jalen DurenDET
9.1± 3.9high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Mitchell RobinsonNY
6.7± 2.5high

Assists

Cade CunninghamDET
8.2± 2.8high
Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Jalen DurenDET
1.0± 1.1high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high
Paul ReedDET
0.9± 1.3high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Cade CunninghamDET
1.4± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

DET

league avg

54.2%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

48.0%

FG%

47.0

48.0%

115.9

PPG

114.9

116.4

27.0

Assists / G

25.0

27.0

14.3

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.7

Data via ESPN · hoopR