NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+49NY

35-20

13889

PHI

30-24

NBAWed, Feb 11FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasNY -2.5

NY · top performer

Jose Alvarado

G · #5

25.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHI · top performer

Tyrese Maxey

G · #0

20.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowNY ↔ PHI

Biggest swing: 7pp · 1st Quarter · 9:28

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. TownsC · #32	26	21	8-13	1-1	4-4	+29	11	5
J. HartG · #3	29	6	2-9	1-3	1-1	+32	7	9
M. BridgesG · #25	29	22	9-15	1-5	3-3	+20	5	6
L. ShametG · #44	24	9	4-6	1-3	—	+26	1	5
J. BrunsonG · #11	30	8	3-6	2-3	—	+21	4	4
Bench
D. JonesF · #1	7	4	0-2	0-1	4-4	+4	2	2
M. DiawaraF · #51	20	14	5-10	4-8	—	+19	5	2
M. RobinsonC · #23	15	11	3-3	—	5-8	+15	6	0
A. HukportiC · #55	10	2	1-1	—	—	+10	4	1
J. ClarksonG · #00	13	8	2-5	1-3	3-4	+14	0	0
J. AlvaradoG · #5	19	26	8-13	8-13	2-3	+35	3	4
K. McCullar Jr.G · #9	10	4	2-4	0-1	—	+10	1	0
T. KolekG · #13	10	3	1-4	1-3	—	+10	2	3
Team		138	48-91	20-44	22-27		51	41

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. BarlowF · #25	31	13	6-10	1-2	—	-31	4	1
A. BonaC · #30	23	6	2-4	—	2-2	-24	5	0
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	30	2	0-6	0-5	2-4	-30	7	4
T. MaxeyG · #0	32	32	9-21	3-8	11-13	-26	2	2
V. EdgecombeG · #77	32	14	6-16	0-5	2-2	-29	4	2
Bench
T. WatfordF · #12	25	6	3-10	0-2	—	-27	4	4
M. BeauchampF · #16	16	8	3-7	2-5	—	-27	3	1
D. TerryF · #14	7	0	0-2	0-1	—	-4	1	1
J. BroomeF · #22	7	0	0-2	0-1	—	-4	1	0
J. EdwardsF · #11	22	4	2-7	0-3	—	-26	3	1
A. DrummondC · #1	11	2	1-2	—	—	-10	4	0
C. BasseyC · #28	5	2	1-1	—	—	-7	0	0
Team		89	33-88	6-32	17-21		38	16
DNP: K. Lowry, P. Baldwin Jr.

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

48-91

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

33-88

FG %

20-44

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

6-32

22-27

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

17-21

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

NY wins series 4-0

May 5

PHI98@

NY137

May 6

PHI102@

NY108

May 8

NY108@

PHI94

May 10

NY144@

PHI114

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -2.5

Between — and 5

Total

224.5

Standard · -1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NY-13557%

PHI+11447%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -2.5↗SpreadBet NY -2.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

2.5

0.0 since open

Total

224.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat PHI 138-89. J. Alvarado paced them with 26 PTS, 3 REB, 4 AST. NY outscored the other side 36-19 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHI vs NY

Starters vs bench

production by unit

NYstarters 48% of pts

Starters(5)

66 PTS · 28 REB · 29 AST

GS 68

Bench(8)

72 PTS · 23 REB · 12 AST

GS 68

PHIstarters 75% of pts

Starters(5)

67 PTS · 22 REB · 9 AST

GS 44

Bench(7)

22 PTS · 16 REB · 7 AST

GS 11

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHI1st Quarter · 9:28 · 11-4

+7pp→ 21% WP

Tyrese Maxey · out of bounds lost ball turnover

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
NY	36	36	32	34	138
PHI	23	19	29	18	89

Period scoring

NY won 4 · PHI won 0

Bridges 18

Maxey 11

Alvarado 9

Maxey 8

Clarkson 7

Maxey 13

Alvarado 12

Beauchamp 8

PHI

Shooting comparison

PHI

53%

48-91

38%

33-88

45%

20-44

3PT

19%

6-32

81%

22-27

81%

17-21

Play-by-play · 479 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 138·PHI 89
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 138·PHI 89
Q4·15.3
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
NY 138·PHI 89
Q4·18.4
Trendon Watford misses 28-foot three point jumper
NY 138·PHI 89
Q4·33.0
Mohamed Diawara makes 27-foot three point jumper (Dillon Jones assists)
·
NY 138·PHI 89
Q4·44.7
Knicks defensive team rebound
NY 135·PHI 89
Q4·47.4
MarJon Beauchamp misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 135·PHI 89
Q4·58.6
Ariel Hukporti makes dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 135·PHI 89
Q4·1:05
Trendon Watford lost ball turnover (Dillon Jones steals)
·
NY 133·PHI 89
Q4·1:15
Dillon Jones makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 133·PHI 89
Q4·1:15
Dillon Jones makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 132·PHI 89
Q4·1:15
Justin Edwards shooting foul
NY 131·PHI 89
Q4·1:22
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
NY 131·PHI 89
Q4·1:25
Johni Broome misses 25-foot three point jumper
NY 131·PHI 89
Q4·1:31
MarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound
NY 131·PHI 89
Q4·1:34
Kevin McCullar Jr. misses 20-foot step back jumpshot
NY 131·PHI 89
Q4·1:54
MarJon Beauchamp makes 24-foot three point jumper (Dalen Terry assists)
·
NY 131·PHI 89
Q4·2:03
Dillon Jones personal foul
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:06
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:08
Mohamed Diawara misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:15
Dillon Jones offensive rebound
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:19
Johni Broome blocks Dillon Jones 's 27-foot three point jumper
·
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:32
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:32
Johni Broome misses 10-foot two point shot
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:34
Johni Broome offensive rebound
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:40
Justin Edwards misses 25-foot three point jumper
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:53
Knicks Full timeout
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:53
Ariel Hukporti offensive foul turnover
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·2:53
Ariel Hukporti offensive foul
NY 131·PHI 86
Q4·3:14
MarJon Beauchamp makes 26-foot three point jumper (Trendon Watford assists)
·
NY 131·PHI 86

Betting line

NY -2.5·O/U 224.5·NY -135/PHI +114

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks went into Philadelphia 76ers and beat them, 138–89. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -2.5 cashed (won by 49). Total cleared the 224.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI · G
DEFL3.194
Karl-Anthony TownsNY · C
CONT7.693

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHI vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

165

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
25.0± 6.5high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high

Assists

Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Paul GeorgePHI
1.5± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

PHI

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.9%

48.0%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.0%

116.4

PPG

◀

114.9

114.3

27.0

Assists / G

◀

25.0

24.1

12.7

Turnovers / G

14.0

12.8

Data via ESPN · hoopR