NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+14BKN

WSH

14-37

113127

BKN

14-37

NBASat, Feb 7FinalSeriesBKN leads series 2-1VegasBKN -8.5

WSH · top performer

Justin Champagnie

F · #9

21.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

BKN · top performer

Day'Ron Sharpe

C · #20

19.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowWSH ↔ BKN

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. ChampagnieF · #9	22	21	5-8	1-2	10-10	+4	9	2
T. VukcevicF · #00	20	14	6-12	1-4	1-1	-2	2	2
J. WatkinsG · #5	45	13	4-12	1-6	4-4	-12	1	1
B. CarringtonG · #7	22	11	4-10	2-5	1-1	+4	2	4
W. RileyG · #27	45	27	10-19	4-6	3-4	-12	3	2
Bench
A. GillF · #16	28	9	3-8	0-3	3-4	-12	5	2
S. CooperG · #13	29	14	5-8	2-3	2-2	-20	5	3
K. GilbertG · #55	29	4	0-2	0-1	4-4	-20	3	2
Team		113	37-79	11-30	28-30		30	18
DNP: K. George, A. Sarr, B. Coulibaly, T. Johnson

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Porter Jr.F · #17	31	23	8-16	3-10	4-4	-8	6	3
N. ClowneyF · #21	27	18	5-10	4-8	4-6	-14	3	2
N. ClaxtonC · #33	28	11	4-6	—	3-6	-12	5	4
E. DeminG · #8	26	4	2-8	0-5	—	-10	2	2
N. TraoreG · #88	24	15	6-7	2-3	1-1	-18	3	4
Bench
D. WolfF · #2	20	16	7-11	2-4	—	+24	7	6
D. SharpeC · #20	20	19	9-11	—	1-1	+26	9	4
T. MannG · #14	19	6	3-5	0-1	—	+26	4	5
D. PowellG · #4	22	5	2-7	1-4	—	+24	2	2
B. SarafG · #77	24	10	4-10	1-3	1-1	+32	4	4
Team		127	50-91	13-38	14-19		45	36
DNP: J. Wilson, Z. Williams, J. Minott, O. Agbaji

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

37-79

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

50-91

FG %

11-30

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

13-38

28-30

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

14-19

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

BKN leads series 2-1

Nov 16

BKN129@

WSH106

Jan 3

BKN99@

WSH119

Feb 7

WSH113@

BKN127today

Apr 5

WSH115@

BKN121

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BKN -8.5

Between 7 and 10

Total

216.5

Defensive · -9.5 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+24029%

BKN-29875%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BKN -8.5↗SpreadBet BKN -8.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

8.5

0.0 since open

Total

216.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BKN beat WSH 127-113. D. Sharpe led with 19 PTS, 9 REB, 4 AST. BKN outscored the other side 46-20 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs WSH

Starters vs bench

production by unit

WSHstarters 76% of pts

Starters(5)

86 PTS · 17 REB · 11 AST

GS 63

Bench(3)

27 PTS · 13 REB · 7 AST

GS 21

BKNstarters 56% of pts

Starters(5)

71 PTS · 19 REB · 15 AST

GS 57

Bench(5)

56 PTS · 26 REB · 21 AST

GS 57

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
WSH	20	27	35	31	113
BKN	46	34	21	26	127

Period scoring

WSH won 2 · BKN won 2

Champagnie 6

Sharpe 8

Champagnie 11

Jr. 13

Watkins 7

Traore 37

Riley 16

Clowney 7

WSH

BKN

Shooting comparison

WSH

BKN

47%

37-79

55%

50-91

37%

11-30

3PT

34%

13-38

93%

28-30

74%

14-19

Play-by-play · 440 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 113·BKN 127
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 113·BKN 127
Q4·8.0
Will Riley makes dunk (Anthony Gill assists)
·
WSH 113·BKN 127
Q4·24.7
Michael Porter Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Egor Demin assists)
·
WSH 111·BKN 127
Q4·44.9
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
WSH 111·BKN 124
Q4·47.9
Egor Demin blocks Sharife Cooper 's 6-foot fade away jump shot
·
WSH 111·BKN 124
Q4·1:03
Noah Clowney makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 111·BKN 124
Q4·1:03
Nets offensive team rebound
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·1:03
Noah Clowney misses free throw 1 of 2
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·1:03
Wizards Full timeout
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·1:03
Will Riley shooting foul
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·1:22
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·1:25
Anthony Gill misses layup
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·1:46
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·1:49
Egor Demin misses 23-foot three point jumper
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·2:10
Sharife Cooper makes 23-foot three point jumper (Will Riley assists)
·
WSH 111·BKN 123
Q4·2:18
Nic Claxton bad pass turnover (Will Riley steals)
·
WSH 108·BKN 123
Q4·2:35
Sharife Cooper makes running layup
WSH 108·BKN 123
Q4·2:40
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
WSH 106·BKN 123
Q4·2:45
Nolan Traore misses 27-foot three point jumper
WSH 106·BKN 123
Q4·3:03
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
WSH 106·BKN 123
Q4·3:06
Will Riley misses 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 106·BKN 123
Q4·3:13
Keshon Gilbert defensive rebound
WSH 106·BKN 123
Q4·3:16
Michael Porter Jr. misses 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 106·BKN 123
Q4·3:33
Jamir Watkins makes driving dunk (Keshon Gilbert assists)
·
WSH 106·BKN 123
Q4·4:00
Noah Clowney makes 24-foot three point jumper (Nic Claxton assists)
·
WSH 104·BKN 123
Q4·4:12
Jamir Watkins offensive foul turnover
WSH 104·BKN 120
Q4·4:12
Jamir Watkins offensive foul
WSH 104·BKN 120
Q4·4:17
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
WSH 104·BKN 120
Q4·4:18
Will Riley misses driving layup
WSH 104·BKN 120

Betting line

BKN -8.5·O/U 216.5·WSH +240/BKN -298

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

rooklyn Nets held off Washington Wizards, 127–113.

BKN -8.5 cashed (won by 14). Total cleared the 216.5 OVER by 23.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Anthony GillWSH · F
TS%68.297
Michael Porter Jr.BKN · F
USG%29.995
Nic ClaxtonCHI · C
CONT7.392
Tristan VukcevicWSH · F
USG%26.991
Day'Ron SharpeBKN · C
TS%63.890

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 135 high confidence

Points

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
Anthony DavisWSH
20.5± 9.2high
Julius RandleBKN
17.3± 6.4high

Rebounds

Anthony DavisWSH
11.3± 4.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
10.5± 6.4low
Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high

Assists

Bub CarringtonWSH
5.1± 1.9high
Sharife CooperWSH
3.8± 2.0high
Ben SarafBKN
3.7± 1.9high

Blocks

Anthony DavisWSH
1.7± 1.5high
Alex SarrWSH
1.6± 1.4high
Bilal CoulibalyWSH
1.0± 1.1high

Steals

Julian ReeseWSH
1.4± 1.7low
Leaky BlackWSH
1.4± 1.7medium
Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

WSH

league avg

BKN

53.5%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.0%

46.3%

FG%

◀

47.0

44.3%

112.9

PPG

◀

114.9

105.9

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

15.1

Turnovers / G

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR