Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 9, 2026

FINAL+1LAD

LAD

11-6

MIL

8-8

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

8,181 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs LAD.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 93 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium

Hits

Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.2± 1.2high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.1± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.6high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Teoscar HernandezLAD
0.8± 1.9high
Kyle TuckerLAD
0.7± 1.5high

Earned runs

Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium
Roki SasakiLAD
2.7± 2.6low
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAD

league avg

MIL

.784

OPS

◀

.718

.729

.345

OBP

◀

.319

.337

5.27

Runs / G

◀

4.50

5.10

3.43

Team ERA

4.17

3.42

1.11

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.19

9.0

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

LAD 4 · MIL 3 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAD	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	4
MIL	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. Freeland2B	.148	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. HernándezLF	.440	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.375	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
N. Senzel3B	.318	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
D. RushingC	.200	3	0	1	1	0	0	2
Z. EhrhardOF	.324	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.281	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. MillerSS	.310	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. SianiCF	.158	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
R. Fitzgerald3B	.294	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
Z. HopeCF	.240	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Nevin3B	.200	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
E. MoralesSS	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
S. ZavalaC	.167	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
C. DavalanOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. QuinteroCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. GauthierSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. McLainSS	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	4	8	3	0	4	9

Player

.148

.440

.375

.318

.200

.324

.281

.310

.158

.294

.240

.200

1.000

.167

.000

.000

.000

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. SheehanSP	2.1	2	1	1	3	2	49
C. MorseRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	13
Ri. RyanSP	2.2	1	1	1	1	3	42
T. ScottRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	3
A. KellyRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	8
Ry. RyanRP	2.0	2	1	1	0	3	26
Team	9.0	6	3	3	5	10	141

Player

2.1

0.2

2.2

0.1

1.0

2.0

Team

9.0

141

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. FrelickRF	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Rengifo3B	.250	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. YelichDH	.250	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
J. Bauers1B	.529	1	1	1	1	1	2	0
G. SanchezC	.208	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. BaddooLF	.300	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. LockridgeLF	.353	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Hamilton3B	.280	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
G. JonesLF	.286	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
L. LaraCF	.276	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. Boeve2B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. WoodC	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jon Adams3B	.133	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. DingesC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. CastilloRF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. RagsdaleOF	.250	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
B. EbelSS	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. MurraySS	.286	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		32	3	6	3	1	5	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AshbyRP	2.2	4	1	1	2	4	50
J. WaguespackRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	13
S. DrohanRP	3.2	4	3	3	1	3	63
B. HolubRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	11
B. FitzpatrickRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16
Team	9.0	8	4	4	4	9	153

Team

LAD

MIL

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs LAD.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs LAD.