Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 9, 2026

FINAL+2ATH

ATH

7-10

CIN

7-8

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

3,178 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CIN vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low
J.T. GinnATH
5.0± 2.7medium

Hits

Alika WilliamsATH
1.0± 1.0high
Edwin ArroyoCIN
1.0± 1.3high
Sal StewartCIN
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Sal StewartCIN
1.8± 1.8high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.6± 1.9high
Spencer SteerCIN
1.6± 2.0high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Jonah HeimATH
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Nick LodoloCIN
3.2± 2.9low
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

CIN

.736

OPS

◀

.718

.701

.327

OBP

◀

.319

.311

4.61

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.25

4.93

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.54

1.43

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.46

8.5

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

ATH 9 · CIN 7 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	4	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	9
CIN	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	7

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McNeil2B	.368	3	2	3	2	1	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.292	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
B. ServenC	.286	2	1	0	1	0	1	0
C. MarloweOF	.300	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
Z. Gelof3B	.500	4	0	2	1	0	0	1
L. De VriesSS	.345	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. White3B	.444	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
C. LearyRF	.143	3	1	1	1	0	2	2
D. TaylorOF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Stefanic2B	.278	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
L. Mann3B	.400	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
C. WallachC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. McGuireC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. DickeyRF	.333	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
B. BoserSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Swift3B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. Sprague-LottSS	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	1
B. McarnSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		38	9	12	9	1	6	13

Player

.368

.292

.286

.300

.500

.345

.444

.143

.000

.278

.400

.000

.000

.333

.000

1.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. PerkinsRP	2.2	4	2	2	3	2	58
J. GarlandSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	11
L. MedinaRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	20
B. KriskeRP	2.0	2	1	1	1	2	32
A. CauseySP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	30
D. RoblesSP	0.2	2	4	4	1	1	22
M. DallasRP	0.1	2	0	0	0	0	11
C. JohnsonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13
Team	9.0	12	7	7	8	7	197

Player

2.2

0.1

1.0

2.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

Team

9.0

197

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. McLain2B	.560	3	1	2	0	0	1	0
J. BledayLF	.292	4	1	1	2	1	0	1
S. SteerLF	.217	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
N. LoweDH	.261	3	1	2	0	0	0	1
T. StephensonC	.143	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
W. BensonRF	.238	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
N. MarteRF	.231	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
K. Hayes3B	.294	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
G. Hampson2B	.050	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
R. TorresSS	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
R. Ibarra1B	.500	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. AllenCF	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
R. HindsRF	.455	2	1	2	3	1	0	0
M. SmithOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. BanfieldC	.357	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
P.J. HigginsC	.231	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
C. JorgeCF	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Sanchez3B	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. PitelliSS	.250	1	1	1	0	0	1	0
Team		36	7	12	7	2	8	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. LowderSP	3.2	7	5	3	0	4	59
C. PhillipsRP	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	19
S. MollRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19
T. AntoneRP	0.2	2	3	3	2	2	28
J. LavalleeRP	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	12
Y. MarteRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	15
D. DanielSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	26
Team	9.0	12	9	7	6	13	178

Team

ATH

CIN

3 sub-models, blended.

CIN vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CIN vs ATH.