Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 9, 2026

FINAL+9CHW

COL

8-7-1

312

CHW

11-7

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

2,767 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium
Kyle FreelandCOL
4.3± 2.0medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.9low
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

CHW

.740

OPS

.718

.739

.325

OBP

.319

.323

4.59

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.80

5.48

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.23

1.51

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.33

7.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

COL 3 · CHW 12 (by 9)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
CHW	0	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	12

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. Ritter2B	.400	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Amador2B	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DoyleCF	.364	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. BeckLF	.310	2	0	2	0	0	1	0
B. FulfordDH	.294	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. JohnstonRF	.290	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
C. CondonOF	.409	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Stevens2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. Lopez2B	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Brito2B	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
R. Riggio2B	.333	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
D. AvansLF	.115	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
Z. VeenLF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. McCannC	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Rumfield1B	.318	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
R. CalazOF	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0
V. MachinSS	.227	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. PerezSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	3	7	3	1	5	7

Player

.400

.222

.364

.310

.294

.290

.409

.250

.250

.500

.333

.115

.250

.143

.318

.000

.227

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. FreelandSP	2.0	3	1	1	3	2	43
V. BellozoRP	3.0	7	6	6	1	2	58
E. ShawverRP	1.0	4	5	5	1	0	31
P. MushinskiRP	2.0	2	0	0	0	3	30
Team	8.0	16	12	12	5	7	162

Player

2.0

3.0

1.0

2.0

Team

8.0

162

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.240	3	1	1	2	0	1	1
E. PereiraRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. BenintendiDH	.375	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
A. HaysLF	.310	4	1	2	1	0	0	1
L. Wade Jr.1B	.292	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
T. PetersCF	.188	3	1	0	1	0	1	1
O. Dunn3B	.300	4	3	3	2	1	0	1
D. RomoC	.417	2	2	2	4	0	1	0
W. Bergolla Jr.2B	.429	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
J. Gonzalez1B	.231	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. MontgomeryRF	.400	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
Da. Baker2B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. HoganCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ConnorOF	.364	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Matthews2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. NishidaRF	.167	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. BreauxC	.222	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. Weber2B	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		39	12	16	12	1	5	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. PaezSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	33
M. VasilRP	3.0	1	0	0	2	1	37
B. EisertRP	2.0	2	0	0	1	1	26
B. PeoplesRP	1.0	2	2	2	2	2	39
T. SchweitzerRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17
Team	9.0	7	3	3	5	7	152

Team

COL

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs COL.