
MIL
7-7

LAA
5-10
Matchup · 2026
MLB Stats API
MIL
league avg
LAA
.735
OPS
.719
.714
.338
OBP
.319
.318
5.18
Runs / G
4.50
4.49
3.38
Team ERA
4.18
4.63
1.18
WHIP
1.31
1.41
9.9
K / 9
8.5
9.0
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
MIL wins
MIL 7 · LAA 1 (by 6)
Model verdict
No projection
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
MIL · top performer

Andrew Vaughn
1B
3-1
AB-H
1
R
1
RBI
LAA · top performer

Raudi Rodriguez
CF
1-1
AB-H
0
R
0
RBI
Biggest swing: 9pp · Top 2nd Inning
MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .190 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .333 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .350 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| .238 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| .294 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| .400 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| .143 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| .278 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| .320 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .273 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .267 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| .269 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .400 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 30 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Player | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32 | |
| 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | |
| 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | |
| 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | |
| 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | |
| 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | |
| 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 154 |
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .333 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| .278 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| .357 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| .227 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .333 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .176 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| .231 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| .095 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .375 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .357 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .438 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| .300 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .143 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| .000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 36 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| Player | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 71 | |
| 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 36 | |
| 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | |
| 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 171 |
Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail
Statcast · via Baseball SavantMIL
LAA
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
8
Hits
9
7
Runs
1
1
Errors
1
Team stats
MIL
Away
Stat
LAA
Home
7
Runs
1
8
Hits
9
1
Errors
1
11
TB
11
1
HR
0
6
BB
4
6
K
15
14
LOB
23
Season series
MIL leads series 1-0
How it ended
MIL beat LAA 7-1. A. Vaughn led the way — 1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.667 OPS.
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactPratt · singled to right, Rengifo scored, Jon Adams to third.
Vaughn · homered to center (426 feet).
Neto · doubled to left, Taylor scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Recap · MLB
ilwaukee Brewers went into Los Angeles Angels and beat them, 7–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Win probability
LAA vs MIL
Period scoring
MIL won 4 · LAA won 1
Inn 1
Inn 2
Adams 1
Inn 3
Vaughn 1
Inn 4
Neto 1
Inn 5
Perkins 1
Inn 6
Made 2
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Play-by-play · 638 plays
End of the 9th inning
MIL 7·LAA 1
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
S. Rivero struck out swinging.
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 5 : Ball 3
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 4 : Ball 2
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Foul
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 1 : Ball 1
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Bryan Rivera pitches to Sebastian Rivero
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Munroe walked.
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 5 : Ball 4
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 4 : Ball 3
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 3 : Ball 2
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Swinging
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 1 : Ball 1
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Bryan Rivera pitches to Jake Munroe
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Alford grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Coll out at second, E. Rodriguez to third.
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
−1pp
Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Bryan Rivera pitches to Slate Alford
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Coll singled to left, E. Rodriguez to second.
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
+0.8pp
Pitch 3 : Ball In Play
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 2 : Ball 1
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Bryan Rivera pitches to Harold Coll
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
·
MIL 7·LAA 1
E. Rodriguez hit by pitch.
· ·
MIL 7·LAA 1
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
49.2%
ensemble · MIL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
128
projections · 96 high confidence
Strikeouts
Hits
Total bases
RBIs
Earned runs
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands