Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 2, 2026

FINAL+2MIN

CHW

32-29

MIN

29-33

Target Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota

15,358 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

MIN spread

+1.5

open PK · +1.5

Total

O/U 8.0

open O/U 8.0

MIN no-vig %

46.9%

open 48.3% · -1.4

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = MIN favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

44.1%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
47.5%
P(MIN win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
45.2%
P(MIN win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
48.7%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.45 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

90% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+2.7pp

best edge · CHW · DraftKings

CHW

★ best

-125DraftKings

edge +2.7pp · implied 53.1%

MIN

no live price

Book	CHW	MIN	Best edge
DraftKings	-125★	+104	+2.7

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

MIN vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Joe RyanMIN
6.4± 2.9medium
Davis MartinCHW
6.2± 3.1low
Sean BurkeCHW
5.8± 1.8medium

Hits

Byron BuxtonMIN
1.3± 1.1high
Josh BellMIN
1.2± 0.7high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Byron BuxtonMIN
3.0± 2.5high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
2.2± 3.0high
Brooks LeeMIN
2.2± 2.5high

RBIs

Byron BuxtonMIN
0.9± 1.4high
Josh BellMIN
0.9± 0.9high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
0.7± 1.3high

Earned runs

Zebby MatthewsMIN
3.3± 3.6low
Connor PrielippMIN
3.0± 2.3low
Taj BradleyMIN
2.9± 2.2low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

MIN

.733

OPS

.719

.735

.321

OBP

.319

.323

4.65

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.92

4.41

Team ERA

◀

4.19

4.83

1.33

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.39

8.3

K / 9

8.5

8.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIN wins

CHW 4 · MIN 6 (by 2)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked CHW +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	4
MIN	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.273	4	1	2	1	0	1	2
R. GrichukDH	.289	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. Vargas3B	.241	4	0	1	2	0	0	1
E. QueroC	.193	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. AntonacciLF	.272	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. HillRF	.221	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. BenintendiDH	.233	4	0	0	0	0	0	4
L. AcunaCF	.179	3	2	2	0	0	1	0
J. Gonzalez1B	.200	3	0	1	0	0	1	2
T. PetersCF	.293	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. MontgomerySS	.228	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. RomoC	.177	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	4	8	3	0	3	14

Player

.273

.289

.241

.193

.272

.221

.233

.179

.200

.293

.228

.177

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. MartinSP	4.2	10	6	6	3	2	92
S. NewcombRP	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	24
T. RichardsRP	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	22
Team	8.0	10	6	6	3	4	138

Player

D. MartinSP

4.2

S. NewcombRP

1.2

T. RichardsRP

1.2

Team

8.0

138

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BuxtonCF	.258	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. LeeSS	.257	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
K. Clemens1B	.229	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. BellDH	.228	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
T. LarnachLF	.265	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
A. MartinRF	.257	3	1	0	0	0	1	0
L. Keaschall2B	.249	4	1	2	2	0	0	0
T. GraySS	.248	4	2	2	2	0	0	0
A. JacksonC	.294	4	0	2	1	0	0	1
R. KreidlerCF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	6	10	6	0	3	4

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. PrielippSP	6.0	6	4	4	2	7	94
A. MorrisRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	18
A. BandaRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	20
Y. GomezRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	15
Team	9.0	8	4	4	3	14	147

Team

CHW

MIN

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

MIN vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIN vs CHW.

3 sub-models, blended.