Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — May 7, 2026

FINAL+7NYY

TEX

17-20

NYY

26-12

Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York

42,729 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

NYY spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 8.0

open O/U 8.5 · -0.5

NYY no-vig %

55.9%

open 63.1% · -7.1

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = NYY favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

63.2%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
61.8%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
63.2%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
62.2%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.58 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

96% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs TEX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.8± 3.2medium
Jacob deGromTEX
6.4± 2.5medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.2± 3.6low

Hits

Wyatt LangfordTEX
1.4± 1.1high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.2± 0.9high
Ben RiceNYY
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Wyatt LangfordTEX
2.6± 2.3high
Ben RiceNYY
2.3± 2.2high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
2.3± 2.0high

RBIs

Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.9± 1.1high
Ben RiceNYY
0.8± 1.1high
Jose CaballeroNYY
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Nathan EovaldiTEX
2.9± 2.3medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 3.1low
Jacob deGromTEX
2.5± 3.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

TEX

league avg

NYY

.705

OPS

.719

▶

.771

.318

OBP

.319

▶

.332

4.01

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.12

3.94

Team ERA

4.19

▶

3.35

1.25

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

TEX 2 · NYY 9 (by 7)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked NYY +12pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TEX	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
NYY	1	0	0	0	0	6	1	1	9

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. NimmoRF	.297	5	0	2	0	0	0	0
E. Duran2B	.304	3	1	1	2	1	2	1
C. SeagerSS	.209	3	0	0	0	0	2	1
J. Jung3B	.315	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PedersonDH	.207	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Burger1B	.212	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. CarterCF	.180	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. JansenC	.203	3	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. Foscue2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. McCutchenDH	.231	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. OsunaLF	.238	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. HaggertyLF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	2	6	2	1	7	4

Player

.297

.304

.209

.315

.207

.212

.180

.203

.000

.231

.238

.167

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. GoreSP	5.1	6	5	5	3	3	96
J. BeeksRP	0.1	1	2	2	1	1	12
C. WinnRP	0.1	2	0	0	0	0	7
T. AlexanderRP	0.2	3	1	1	1	1	18
P. GrayRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	33
G. CollyerRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
Team	8.0	14	9	9	6	6	170

Player

5.1

0.1

0.1

0.2

1.0

0.1

Team

8.0

170

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. Goldschmidt1B	.204	3	2	1	0	0	2	1
A. JudgeRF	.270	5	0	1	1	0	0	1
C. BellingerLF	.299	4	2	3	2	0	1	0
A. Rosario3B	.266	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.209	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. DominguezDH	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. GrishamCF	.182	5	2	3	3	0	0	0
M. SchuemannSS	.200	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.211	3	1	1	1	0	1	0
J. CaballeroSS	.254	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. McMahon3B	.223	3	1	2	1	0	2	1
Team		37	9	14	9	0	6	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. BlackburnRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	24
B. BeckSP	3.0	2	2	2	3	1	52
T. HillRP	1.2	2	0	0	0	1	17
B. HeadrickRP	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	18
J. BirdRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	15
C. DovalRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	23
Team	9.0	6	2	2	7	4	149

Team

TEX

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs TEX.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs TEX.

3 sub-models, blended.