Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — May 6, 2026

FINAL+6LAA

CHW

17-20

LAA

15-23

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

23,338 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

LAA spread

+1.5

open +1.5

Total

O/U 9.0

open O/U 9.0

LAA no-vig %

48.9%

open 48.9%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = LAA favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.4%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
49.0%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
53.1%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
50.4%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.68 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

89% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 75 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Davis MartinCHW
6.0± 2.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
5.8± 1.8medium

Hits

Denzer GuzmanLAA
1.2± 0.9low
Donovan WaltonLAA
1.2± 1.2high
Jo AdellLAA
1.2± 1.4high

Total bases

Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.2± 2.1low
Donovan WaltonLAA
2.2± 2.0high
Zach NetoLAA
2.2± 2.5high

RBIs

Denzer GuzmanLAA
1.0± 1.7low
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.8± 1.1high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
0.7± 1.3high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.8± 3.2low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.6± 2.1medium
Reid DetmersLAA
2.5± 2.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

LAA

.729

OPS

◀

.719

.721

.319

OBP

.319

.320

4.64

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.57

4.41

Team ERA

◀

4.19

4.65

1.34

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.43

8.3

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

CHW 2 · LAA 8 (by 6)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked CHW +1pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2
LAA	0	5	0	2	0	0	0	1	8

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AntonacciLF	.262	3	0	0	1	0	0	0
M. Murakami1B	.237	4	0	0	0	0	0	4
M. Vargas3B	.215	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. MontgomerySS	.227	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
C. Meidroth2B	.278	3	1	2	0	0	1	1
A. BenintendiDH	.234	2	0	0	1	0	1	1
J. KelenicRF	.286	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. PetersCF	.263	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. RomoC	.188	2	0	0	0	0	2	0
R. GrichukDH	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. HillRF	.233	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. AcunaCF	.175	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		29	2	4	2	0	5	10

Player

.262

.237

.215

.227

.278

.234

.286

.263

.188

.200

.233

.175

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. SchultzSP	3.2	7	7	7	4	3	79
O. BidoRP	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	27
J. HicksRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	11
G. TaylorRP	1.0	1	1	0	1	1	20
Team	8.0	8	8	7	6	5	137

Player

3.2

2.1

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

137

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.221	2	2	1	2	0	2	0
M. TroutCF	.260	5	0	1	1	0	0	1
V. Grissom2B	.264	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. SolerDH	.238	1	1	1	1	0	2	0
J. AdellRF	.258	3	0	0	1	0	0	3
O. Peraza2B	.278	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. Schanuel1B	.255	4	2	1	0	0	0	0
T. d'ArnaudC	.200	2	1	1	3	1	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.278	3	2	2	0	0	1	0
S. RiveroC	.273	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		29	8	8	8	1	6	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. UrenaSP	6.0	2	1	1	3	5	90
B. SuterRP	0.2	1	1	1	2	0	20
D. PomeranzRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	11
C. SilsethRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	4	28
Team	9.0	4	2	2	5	10	149

Team

CHW

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs CHW.

3 sub-models, blended.