Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — May 6, 2026

FINAL+5TEX

TEX

17-19

NYY

25-12

Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York

40,269 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

NYY spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 8.5

open O/U 8.0 · +0.5

NYY no-vig %

63.0%

open 63.6% · -0.6

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = NYY favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

65.8%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
64.3%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
65.2%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
64.6%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.37 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs TEX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.8± 3.2medium
Jacob deGromTEX
6.4± 2.5medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.2± 3.6low

Hits

Wyatt LangfordTEX
1.4± 1.1high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.2± 0.9high
Ben RiceNYY
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Wyatt LangfordTEX
2.6± 2.3high
Ben RiceNYY
2.3± 2.2high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
2.3± 2.0high

RBIs

Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.9± 1.1high
Ben RiceNYY
0.8± 1.1high
Jose CaballeroNYY
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Nathan EovaldiTEX
2.9± 2.3medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 3.1low
Jacob deGromTEX
2.5± 3.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

TEX

league avg

NYY

.705

OPS

.719

▶

.771

.318

OBP

.319

▶

.332

4.01

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.12

3.94

Team ERA

4.19

▶

3.35

1.25

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TEX wins

TEX 6 · NYY 1 (by 5)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked NYY +14pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TEX	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	6
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. NimmoRF	.293	3	1	0	0	0	2	1
E. Duran2B	.303	3	1	1	2	0	1	1
C. SeagerSS	.214	5	1	2	2	1	0	2
J. Jung3B	.323	5	0	0	0	0	0	3
E. CarterCF	.178	4	1	1	2	1	0	2
K. HigashiokaC	.204	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. Burger1B	.218	4	1	2	0	0	0	0
A. OsunaLF	.238	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
A. McCutchenDH	.235	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
Team		34	6	8	6	2	5	14

Player

.293

.303

.214

.323

.178

.204

.218

.238

.235

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. EovaldiSP	8.0	3	1	1	0	8	101
J. LatzRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21
Team	9.0	3	1	1	1	9	122

Player

N. EovaldiSP

8.0

101

J. LatzRP

1.0

Team

9.0

122

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.164	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. JudgeRF	.273	4	1	1	1	1	0	2
C. BellingerLF	.285	3	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. DominguezDH	.200	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.209	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. Goldschmidt1B	.196	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. WellsC	.195	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. McMahon3B	.209	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CaballeroSS	.256	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		29	1	3	1	1	1	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. WarrenSP	4.0	7	6	6	3	7	90
Y. De los SantosRP	3.1	1	0	0	1	5	54
R. YarbroughRP	1.2	0	0	0	1	2	29
Team	9.0	8	6	6	5	14	173

Team

TEX

NYY

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs TEX.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs TEX.

3 sub-models, blended.