MLB game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

MON, 9:38 PM EDT

CHW

16-18

LAA

13-22

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

Probable starters

The mound matchup

Combined ERA 2.79

D. Martin

4-1 · 1.95 ERA

J. Soriano

5-1 · 0.84 ERA

Pregame · scouting report

The matchup, end-to-end.

Probable starters, projected lineups, head-to-head this season, our model edge against the market — every angle on one surface.

Away starter

Davis Martin

SP · #65

4-1

W-L

1.95

ERA

1.08

WHIP

37.0

Last 3 starts

vsLAAW(4-1)5.2 IP1 ER7 K

@ARI-6.1 IP1 ER7 K

@ATHW(3-1)7.0 IP1 ER4 K

Home starter

Jose Soriano

SP · #59

5-1

W-L

0.84

ERA

0.94

WHIP

42.2

Last 3 starts

@CHWL(5-1)5.0 IP3 ER6 K

vsTOR-5.0 IP0 ER4 K

vsSDW(5-0)5.2 IP0 ER8 K

Vegas line

Spread-1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

Money+133 / -161

Model edge

Win prob51% / 49%

LeanTossup

ConfidenceTossup

Head to head

SeriesLAA win series 2-0

TypePreseason Series

Place a bet

Pick a side.

Even matchup per the model — pick a side and we'll send you to the book.

+133Bet CHW ML↗+133Bet CHW ML↗

-161Bet LAA ML↗-161Bet LAA ML↗

Other markets

-1.5Bet the run line↗-1.5Bet the run line↗

O/U 7.5Bet the total↗O/U 7.5Bet the total↗

21+ in most states. Lines refreshed at the moment of fetch. We may earn a referral fee on book signups — your odds and terms are unchanged.

Projected lineups

Top of the order, top of mind.

Posted by ESPN ~30 minutes before first pitch.

CHW

1.S. AntonacciLF
2.M. Murakami1B
3.M. Vargas3B
4.C. MontgomerySS
5.C. Meidroth2B
6.A. BenintendiDH
7.J. KelenicRF
8.T. PetersCF
9.D. RomoC

LAA

1.Z. NetoSS
2.M. TroutCF
3.N. Schanuel1B
4.J. SolerDH
5.Y. Moncada3B
6.J. AdellRF
7.J. LoweLF
8.T. d'ArnaudC
9.A. Frazier2B

Line movement

62 snapshots

LAA spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 7.5

open O/U 7.5

LAA implied %

61.7%

open 62.0% · -0.3

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = LAA favored. Pure CLV joins once moneyline closing-line ingest catches up across leagues.

Model vs marketLock

DraftKings · snapped 21m ago

+10.1ppon

CHW

CHWWin prob axisLAA LAA

Market 59%

Model 49%

0%50%100%

ModelCHW 51%Pre-game prob

MarketCHW 41%No-vig · 4.6% hold

Edge+10.1ppModel finds value

CHW +133/

LAA -161

+133Bet CHW ML↗+133Bet CHW ML↗

The One modelTossup

Mon, May 4

CHW★

White Sox

16-18

vs51%CHW

LAA

Angels

13-22

CHW 51%win prob49% LAA

CHW 1468 · LAA 1437Box score→

MLBMon, May 45/4 - 9:38 PM EDTSeriesLAA win series 2-0VegasLAA -161

Preview · MLB

hicago White Sox visit Los Angeles Angels Monday at 5/4 - 9:38 PM EDT. CHW is 8-4 in their last 12.

Vegas opened LAA as a 1.5-point favorite with the total at 7.5. LAA's moneyline implies a 62% break-even, CHW the inverse.

For bettors: the LAA side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 7.5 total reads defensive vs the league average.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Line just movedMoneyline ↘ 5 over 6h21m ago

Updated 0s ago

Tonight's box score

Every player. Every line.

CHW · LAA

CHW

16-18

S. Antonacci★

OPS

0.569

H-AB

13-51

RBI

M. Murakami★

OPS

0.769

H-AB

27-121

RBI

M. Vargas★

OPS

0.593

H-AB

26-118

RBI

C. Montgomery★

OPS

0.681

H-AB

27-119

RBI

C. Meidroth★

OPS

0.558

H-AB

32-120

RBI

A. Benintendi★

OPS

0.460

H-AB

20-100

RBI

J. Kelenic★

OPS

0.333

H-AB

1-6

RBI

T. Peters★

OPS

0.568

H-AB

21-74

RBI

D. Romo★

OPS

1.500

H-AB

3-10

RBI

Team total

H-AB

-----

RBI

Player	H-AB	RBI	HR	OPS
S. Antonacci★LF	13-51	7	1	0.569
M. Murakami★1B	27-121	26	13	0.769
M. Vargas★3B	26-118	17	6	0.593
C. Montgomery★SS	27-119	22	9	0.681
C. Meidroth★2B	32-120	3	1	0.558
A. Benintendi★LF	20-100	15	2	0.460
J. Kelenic★RF	1-6	0	0	0.333
T. Peters★CF	21-74	5	0	0.568
D. Romo★C	3-10	4	3	1.500
Team	-----	--	--	—

D. Martin★

--.--

Team total

--.--

Player	IP	H	ER	K
D. Martin★SP	--.--	--	--	--
Team	--.--	--	--	--

LAA

13-22

Z. Neto★

OPS

0.540

H-AB

30-139

RBI

M. Trout★

OPS

0.767

H-AB

31-120

RBI

N. Schanuel★

OPS

0.568

H-AB

31-125

RBI

J. Soler★

OPS

0.664

H-AB

27-113

RBI

Y. Moncada★

OPS

0.466

H-AB

16-88

RBI

J. Adell★

OPS

0.620

H-AB

38-142

RBI

J. Lowe★

OPS

0.455

H-AB

14-88

RBI

T. d'Arnaud★

OPS

0.267

H-AB

4-30

RBI

A. Frazier★

OPS

0.564

H-AB

14-55

RBI

Team total

H-AB

-----

RBI

Player	H-AB	RBI	HR	OPS
Z. Neto★SS	30-139	15	5	0.540
M. Trout★CF	31-120	21	10	0.767
N. Schanuel★1B	31-125	19	3	0.568
J. Soler★RF	27-113	26	7	0.664
Y. Moncada★3B	16-88	9	3	0.466
J. Adell★RF	38-142	20	4	0.620
J. Lowe★LF	14-88	10	4	0.455
T. d'Arnaud★C	4-30	0	0	0.267
A. Frazier★2B	14-55	5	1	0.564
Team	-----	--	--	—

J. Soriano★

--.--

Team total

--.--

Player	IP	H	ER	K
J. Soriano★SP	--.--	--	--	--
Team	--.--	--	--	--

Season series

CHW lead series 3-0

Apr 27

LAA7@

CHW8

Apr 28

LAA2@

CHW5

Apr 29

LAA2@

CHW3

May 5

CHW@

LAAtoday

May 6

CHW@

LAAupcoming

May 6

CHW@

LAAupcoming

Season series

LAA win series 2-0

Mar 11

LAA8@

CHW4

Mar 20

CHW3@

LAA4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LAA -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHW+13343%

LAA-16162%

5· 6h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LAA -1.5↗SpreadBet LAA -1.5↗

Line movement · 62 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats

CHWSP

D. Martin

#65 · 4-1

ERA

1.95

—

Last 3 starts

4/28vs

LAA5.2 IP · 1 ER · 7 KW(4-1)

4/23@

ARI6.1 IP · 1 ER · 7 K-

4/18@

ATH7.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 KW(3-1)

LAASP

J. Soriano

#59 · 5-1

ERA

0.84

—

Last 3 starts

4/28@

CHW5.0 IP · 3 ER · 6 KL(5-1)

4/22vs

TOR5.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K-

4/18vs

SD5.2 IP · 0 ER · 8 KW(5-0)

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order

CHW6L · 2R · 1S

1
S. Antonacci
LF
L
2
M. Murakami
1B
L
3
M. Vargas
3B
R
4
C. Montgomery
SS
L
5
C. Meidroth
2B
R
6
A. Benintendi
DH
L
7
J. Kelenic
RF
L
8
T. Peters
CF
L
9
D. Romo
C
B

LAA3L · 5R · 1S

1
Z. Neto
SS
R
2
M. Trout
CF
R
3
N. Schanuel
1B
L
4
J. Soler
DH
R
5
Y. Moncada
3B
B
6
J. Adell
RF
R
7
J. Lowe
LF
L
8
T. d'Arnaud
C
R
9
A. Frazier
2B
L

Scouting report

CHW @ LAA

5/4 - 9:38 PM EDT

Rest going in

CHWStandard

1 day

last game May 3

LAAStandard

1 day

last game May 3

Model edge vs market

Lean only

Spread

Market

LAA -1.5

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Total

Market

7.5

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Moneyline

Market

LAA -161

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Model spread derived from 21-day power-rank delta · not a true point-spread model. Total + ML model wires roadmap. Bet responsibly · 21+

Tale of the tape

CHWmetricLAA

16-18

Record

13-22

Conf rank

#15

-0.5

Pt diff

-0.4

Streak

7-3

Last 10

2-8

Bullpen used yesterday

CHW

3.0 bullpen IP · heavy

J. Leasure1.0 IP10 P
T. Davis1.0 IP18 P
B. Hudson1.0 IP26 P

L 4-3 · May 3

LAA

2.7 bullpen IP

T. Saucedo0.2 IP11 P
N. Sandlin1.0 IP23 P
D. Pomeranz1.0 IP9 P

L 5-1 · May 3

Composite signals from ESPN standings + 21-day power rolling. NBA pace / ORtg / DRtg from ESPN core team-stats; NFL yards-per-game from nflverse aggregation. Park factors, weather, KenPom-class metrics still on the roadmap.

Team stats

CHW

Away

Stat

LAA

Home

252

Hits

274

Errors

144

Runs

158

Betting line

LAA -1.5·O/U 7.5·CHW +133/LAA -161

DraftKings · via ESPN