Matchup orbital

TOR

3

TOR

TOR

15-17

Top 8th

Win prob

57/43

AWAY · HOME

MIN

4

MIN

MIN

14-19

The One modelLean
Sat, May 2
TOR

TOR★

Blue Jays

15-17

vs57%TOR

MIN

Twins

14-19

MIN
TOR 57%win prob43% MIN
TOR 1523 · MIN 1451Box score→
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MLBGame · Sat, May 2Top 8th
TOR

TOR15-17

TOR

@

14-19MIN

MIN

MIN
SeriesSeries tied 1-1VegasTOR -143
● LIVETop 8th
Updated 0s ago
TOR
TOR15-173
0:00
MIN
MIN14-194

Current series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 30TORTOR1@MINMIN7
May 2TORTOR7@MINMIN3
May 2TORTOR@MINMINtoday
May 3TORTOR@MINMINupcoming

Season series

MIN leads series 3-2

Apr 10MINMIN4@TORTOR10
Apr 11MINMIN7@TORTOR4
Apr 12MINMIN8@TORTOR2
Apr 30TORTOR1@MINMIN7
May 2TORTOR7@MINMIN3
May 2TORTOR@MINMINtoday
May 3TORTOR@MINMINupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

TOR -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

0.5pt· 6h

Moneyline

TORTOR-14359%
MINMIN+11946%

10· 6h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet TOR -1.5↗SpreadBet TOR -1.5↗

Line movement · 44 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+1.5 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats
TORTORSP
D. Cease

D. Cease

#84 · 1-1

ERA

2.87

K

49

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/27vsBOSBOS5.2 IP · 4 ER · 5 KL(1-1)
4/21@LAALAA5.0 IP · 2 ER · 12 KW(1-0)
4/15@MILMIL6.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K-
MINMINSP
C. Prielipp

C. Prielipp

#61 · 1-0

ERA

4.00

K

11

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/27vsSEASEA5.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 KW(1-0)
4/22@NYMNYM4.0 IP · 2 ER · 6 K-

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order
TORTOR1L · 7R · 1S
  1. 1

    G. Springer

    DH · #4

    R
  2. 2

    E. Clement

    SS · #22

    R
  3. 3

    V. Guerrero Jr.

    1B · #27

    R
  4. 4

    K. Okamoto

    3B · #7

    R
  5. 5

    L. Sosa

    2B · #50

    R
  6. 6

    D. Varsho

    CF · #5

    L
  7. 7

    M. Straw

    RF · #3

    R
  8. 8

    D. Schneider

    LF · #36

    R
  9. 9

    B. Valenzuela

    C · #59

    B
MINMIN4L · 3R · 2S
  1. 1

    B. Buxton

    CF · #25

    R
  2. 2

    T. Larnach

    LF · #9

    L
  3. 3

    J. Bell

    DH · #56

    B
  4. 4

    R. Jeffers

    C · #27

    R
  5. 5

    K. Clemens

    1B · #2

    L
  6. 6

    L. Keaschall

    2B · #15

    R
  7. 7

    M. Wallner

    RF · #38

    L
  8. 8

    B. Lee

    SS · #22

    B
  9. 9

    T. Gray

    3B · #4

    L

Live · top performers so far

Top 8th
Game flowTOR ↔ MIN

Recent swing: 11pp · Top 6th Inning

Just happened

Luis Garcia · pitches to Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TORTOR
M. Straw

M. Straw

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.667 OPS

D. Cease

D. Cease

SP

Starting pitcher

7.0 IP · 7 K · 3 ER · 7 H · 1 BB

MINMIN
T. Larnach

T. Larnach

LF

Batter of the game

2-for-3 · 1.333 OPS

C. Prielipp

C. Prielipp

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 3 H · 2 BB

On pace: 7 IP · 6 K · 3 ER

How it's going

MIN lead TOR 4-3 (Top 8th).

Win probability

MIN vs TOR

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8

Score progression

1 lead change

TOR3
MIN4

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
MINBottom 1st Inning · 0-1
+12pp→ 61% WP

Buxton · homered to right (363 feet).

MINBottom 2nd Inning · 2-3
+14pp→ 63% WP

Lee · reached on infield single to first, Clemens scored on error and Keaschall scored on throwing error by first baseman Guerrero Jr..

MINTop 5th Inning · 2-3
+12pp→ 69% WP

Sánchez grounded into double play, third to shortstop to first, Valenzuela out at second.

Linescore (innings)

Team12345678R
TOR020001003
MIN1200100—4

Period scoring

TOR won 1 · MIN won 2

0
1

Inn 1

Buxton 1

2
2

Inn 2

Sosa 1

Lee 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
1

Inn 5

Larnach 1

1
0

Inn 6

Okamoto 1

0
0

Inn 7

0

Inn 8

TOR
MIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. T5

    Sánchez grounded into double play, third to shortstop to first, Valenzuela out at second.

    TOR 2·MIN 3

    +12pp

  2. B3

    Larnach doubled to center.

    TOR 2·MIN 3

    +11pp

  3. B2

    Lee reached on infield single to first, Clemens scored on error and Keaschall scored on throwing error by first baseman Guerrero Jr..

    TOR 2·MIN 3

    +14pp

  4. T2

    Straw homered to left (392 feet).

    TOR 2·MIN 1

    −11pp

  5. T2

    Sosa homered to left center (415 feet).

    TOR 1·MIN 1

    −11pp

  6. B1

    Buxton homered to right (363 feet).

    TOR 0·MIN 1

    +12pp

Team stats

TOR

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

5

Hits

7

1

Errors

0

3

Runs

4

Player box score

TOR

TOR

15-17

3
G. Springer

G. Springer★

DH

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

E. Clement

E. Clement★

2B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

V. Guerrero Jr.

V. Guerrero Jr.★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

K. Okamoto

K. Okamoto★

3B

OPS

1.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

L. Sosa

L. Sosa★

2B

OPS

1.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

D. Varsho

D. Varsho★

CF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Straw

M. Straw★

RF

OPS

2.667

H-AB

1-2

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

D. Schneider

D. Schneider★

LF

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Valenzuela

B. Valenzuela★

C

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Sanchez

J. Sanchez

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

5-25

R

3

RBI

3

HR

3

D. Cease

D. Cease★

SP

IP

7.0

H

7

ER

3

K

7

Team total

IP

7.0

H

7

ER

3

K

7

Betting line

TOR -1.5·O/U 8·TOR -143/MIN +119

DraftKings · via ESPN