Matchup orbital

ARI

0

ARI

ARI

16-15

Bot 7th

Win prob

39/61

AWAY · HOME

CHC

1

CHC

CHC

20-12

The One modelEdge
Sat, May 2
ARI

ARI

Diamondbacks

16-15

vs61%CHC

CHC★

Cubs

20-12

CHC
ARI 39%win prob61% CHC
CHC 1554 · ARI 1500Box score→
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MLBGame · Sat, May 2Bot 7th
ARI

ARI16-15

ARI

@

20-12CHC

CHC

CHC
SeriesCHC lead series 1-0VegasCHC -171
Line just movedTotal ↘ 0.5pt over 6.2hjust now
● LIVEBottom 7th
Updated 0s ago
ARI
ARI16-150
0:00
CHC
CHC20-121

Current series

CHC lead series 1-0

May 1ARIARI5@CHCCHC6
May 2ARIARI@CHCCHCtoday
May 3ARIARI@CHCCHCupcoming

Season series

CHC lead series 1-0

May 1ARIARI5@CHCCHC6
May 2ARIARI@CHCCHCtoday
May 3ARIARI@CHCCHCupcoming
Aug 25CHCCHC@ARIARIupcoming
Aug 26CHCCHC@ARIARIupcoming
Aug 26CHCCHC@ARIARIupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHC -1.5

Total

7.0

Defensive · -1.5 vs avg

0.5pt· 6.2h

Moneyline

ARIARI+14141%
CHCCHC-17163%

4· 6.2h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHC -1.5↗SpreadBet CHC -1.5↗

Line movement · 51 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+1.5 since open

Total

7.0

+7.0 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats
ARIARISP
R. Nelson

R. Nelson

#19 · 1-2

ERA

7.71

K

24

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/26vsSDSD5.0 IP · 6 ER · 4 K-
4/19vsTORTOR0.1 IP · 8 ER · 1 KL(1-2)
4/13@BALBAL5.1 IP · 1 ER · 7 K-
CHCCHCSP
S. Imanaga

S. Imanaga

#18 · 2-2

ERA

3.15

K

38

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/26@LADLAD5.1 IP · 4 ER · 6 KL(2-2)
4/21vsPHIPHI7.0 IP · 1 ER · 1 KW(2-1)
4/15@PHIPHI6.0 IP · 1 ER · 11 KW(1-1)

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order
ARIARI1L · 4R · 4S
  1. 1

    K. Marte

    2B · #4

    B
  2. 2

    G. Perdomo

    SS · #2

    B
  3. 3

    C. Carroll

    RF · #7

    L
  4. 4

    I. Vargas

    1B · #6

    B
  5. 5

    L. Gurriel Jr.

    LF · #12

    R
  6. 6

    N. Arenado

    DH · #28

    R
  7. 7

    J. Fernandez

    3B · #11

    R
  8. 8

    J. McCann

    C · #8

    R
  9. 9

    J. Barrosa

    CF · #1

    B
CHCCHC3L · 5R · 1S
  1. 1

    M. Busch

    1B · #29

    L
  2. 2

    M. Ballesteros

    DH · #25

    L
  3. 3

    A. Bregman

    3B · #3

    R
  4. 4

    I. Happ

    LF · #8

    B
  5. 5

    S. Suzuki

    RF · #27

    R
  6. 6

    P. Crow-Armstrong

    CF · #4

    L
  7. 7

    D. Swanson

    SS · #7

    R
  8. 8

    M. Shaw

    2B · #6

    R
  9. 9

    M. Amaya

    C · #9

    R

Live · top performers so far

Bot 7th
Game flowARI ↔ CHC

Recent swing: 7pp · Top 7th Inning

Just happened

Taylor Clarke · pitches to Matt Shaw

ARIARI
G. Perdomo

G. Perdomo

SS

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 0.667 OPS

R. Nelson

R. Nelson

SP

Starting pitcher

5.2 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 2 BB

On pace: 7 IP · 5 K · 1 ER

CHCCHC
I. Happ

I. Happ

LF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-2 · 1 HR · 3.500 OPS

S. Imanaga

S. Imanaga

SP

Starting pitcherGem

7.0 IP · 5 K · 0 ER · 4 H · 1 BB

How it's going

CHC lead ARI 1-0 (Bot 7th).

Win probability

CHC vs ARI

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7

Score progression

0 lead changes

ARI0
CHC1

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
CHCBottom 2nd Inning · 0-1
+9pp→ 76% WP

Happ · homered to right (399 feet).

CHCBottom 3rd Inning · 0-1
+7pp→ 86% WP

Busch · doubled to right, Amaya to third.

ARITop 7th Inning · 0-1
+7pp→ 28% WP

Gurriel Jr. · doubled to left.

Linescore (innings)

Team1234567R
ARI00000000
CHC01000001

Period scoring

ARI won 0 · CHC won 1

0
0

Inn 1

0
1

Inn 2

Happ 1

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

ARI
CHC

Game flow · key plays

  1. T7

    Arenado grounded out to shortstop.

    ARI 0·CHC 1

    +6pp

  2. T7

    Gurriel Jr. doubled to left.

    ARI 0·CHC 1

    −7pp

  3. T5

    Arenado singled to center.

    ARI 0·CHC 1

    −5pp

  4. B3

    Bregman flied out to center.

    ARI 0·CHC 1

    −6pp

  5. B3

    Busch doubled to right, Amaya to third.

    ARI 0·CHC 1

    +7pp

  6. B2

    Happ homered to right (399 feet).

    ARI 0·CHC 1

    +9pp

Team stats

ARI

Away

Stat

CHC

Home

4

Hits

4

0

Errors

0

0

Runs

1

Player box score

ARI

ARI

16-15

0
K. Marte

K. Marte★

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

G. Perdomo

G. Perdomo★

SS

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Carroll

C. Carroll★

RF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

I. Vargas

I. Vargas★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Gurriel Jr.

L. Gurriel Jr.★

LF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Arenado

N. Arenado★

3B

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Fernandez

J. Fernandez★

1B

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. McCann

J. McCann★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Barrosa

J. Barrosa★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

4-25

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Nelson

R. Nelson★

SP

IP

5.2

H

4

ER

1

K

4

K. Ginkel

K. Ginkel

RP

IP

0.1

H

0

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

6.0

H

4

ER

1

K

4

Betting line

CHC -1.5·O/U 7·ARI +141/CHC -171

DraftKings · via ESPN