Matchup orbital

CIN

6

CIN

CIN

15-8

Final

Win prob

49/51

AWAY · HOME

TB

1

TB

TB

12-10

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CIN wins

CIN 6 · TB 1 (by 5)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked TB +1pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CIN2010021006
TB1000000001

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Mon, Apr 20Final
CIN

CIN15-8

CIN

@

12-10TB

TB

TB
SeriesCIN wins series 2-1VegasTB -126

Recap · MLB

incinnati Reds went into Tampa Bay Rays and beat them, 6–1.

CIN -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 1.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
CIN
CINWIN15-86
FINAL
TB
TB12-101

Current series

CIN wins series 2-1

Apr 20CINCIN6@TBTB1today
Apr 21CINCIN12@TBTB6
Apr 22CINCIN1@TBTB6

Season series

CIN leads series 1-0

Apr 20CINCIN6@TBTB1today
Apr 21CINCIN12@TBTB6
Apr 22CINCIN1@TBTB6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CIN -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CINCIN+10449%
TBTB-12656%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CIN -1.5↗SpreadBet CIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCIN ↔ TB

Biggest swing: 18pp · Top 1st Inning

CINCIN
S. Stewart

S. Stewart

1B

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

R. Lowder

R. Lowder

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 3 K · 1 ER · 5 H · 2 BB

TBTB
J. Aranda

J. Aranda

1B

Batter of the game

1-for-2 · 1.250 OPS

J. Scholtens

J. Scholtens

RP

Starting pitcher

5.2 IP · 6 K · 5 ER · 8 H

How it ended

CIN beat TB 6-1. Stewart's play in the top 1st inning drove the biggest swing of the night (18pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

TB vs CIN

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

CIN6
TB1

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
CINTop 1st Inning · 2-0
+18pp→ 51% WP

Stewart · homered to center (424 feet), McLain scored.

TBBottom 4th Inning · 3-1
+10pp→ 44% WP

Fraley · doubled to left.

CINTop 6th Inning · 5-1
+14pp→ 91% WP

Hinds · doubled to left, Steer scored and Suárez scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CIN2010021006
TB1000000001

Period scoring

CIN won 4 · TB won 0

2
1

Inn 1

Stewart 2

0
0

Inn 2

1
0

Inn 3

Cruz 1

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

2
0

Inn 6

Hinds 2

1
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

0
0

Inn 9

CIN
TB

Game flow · key plays

  1. T6

    Hinds doubled to left, Steer scored and Suárez scored.

    CIN 5·TB 1

    −14pp

  2. B4

    Fortes struck out swinging.

    CIN 3·TB 1

    −8pp

  3. B4

    Fraley doubled to left.

    CIN 3·TB 1

    +10pp

  4. B3

    Díaz grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Aranda out at second.

    CIN 3·TB 1

    −8pp

  5. B1

    Díaz walked, Simpson scored, Aranda to second, Caminero to third.

    CIN 2·TB 1

    +8pp

  6. T1

    Stewart homered to center (424 feet), McLain scored.

    CIN 2·TB 0

    −18pp

Team stats

CIN

Away

Stat

TB

Home

10

Hits

6

0

Errors

0

6

Runs

1

Player box score

CIN

CIN

15-8

6
T. Friedl

T. Friedl★

CF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. McLain

M. McLain★

2B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

E. De La Cruz

E. De La Cruz★

SS

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

S. Stewart

S. Stewart★

1B

OPS

1.750

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

2

HR

1

E. Suarez

E. Suarez★

3B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Steer

S. Steer★

LF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Stephenson

T. Stephenson★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Hinds

R. Hinds★

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

2

HR

0

K. Hayes

K. Hayes★

3B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

10-37

R

6

RBI

5

HR

1

R. Lowder

R. Lowder★

SP

IP

6.0

H

5

ER

1

K

3

B. Burke

B. Burke

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

P. Johnson

P. Johnson

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

C. Phillips

C. Phillips

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

9.0

H

6

ER

1

K

5

Betting line

CIN -1.5·O/U 8·CIN +104/TB -126

DraftKings · via ESPN