Matchup orbital

7
CHW
CHW
8-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

4
ATH
ATH
11-11
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHW wins
CHW 7 · ATH 4 (by 3)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked ATH +13pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| ATH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
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CHW8-14
CHW
11-11ATH
ATH

Recap · MLB
hicago White Sox went into Athletics and beat them, 7–4.
CHW +1.5 cashed (ATH lost outright). Total cleared the 9.5 OVER by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
CHW win series 2-1
CHW9@
ATH2
CHW6@
ATH7
CHW7@
ATH4todaySeason series
CHW lead series 2-1
CHW9@
ATH2
CHW6@
ATH7
CHW7@
ATH4today
ATH@
CHWupcoming
ATH@
CHWupcoming
ATH@
CHWupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ATH -1.5
Total
9.5
High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
CHW+13543%
ATH-16362%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 2nd Inning
CHW
M. Vargas
3BBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.467 OPS

N. Schultz
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 1 H · 1 BB
ATH
D. Hernaiz
3BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.750 OPS

J. Springs
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 7 K · 7 ER · 9 H · 1 BB
How it ended
CHW beat ATH 7-4. Vargas's play in the top 2nd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
ATH vs CHW
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactHill · homered to left center (415 feet).
Vargas · homered to left (390 feet), Meidroth scored.
Murakami · homered to right (425 feet), Vargas scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| ATH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Period scoring
CHW won 3 · ATH won 1
Inn 1
Quero 1
Inn 2
Vargas 2
Hernaiz 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Murakami 2
Inn 6
Inn 7
Gelof 2
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Murakami homered to right (425 feet), Vargas scored.
CHW 6·ATH 1
−12pp
Vargas singled to left.
CHW 4·ATH 1
−8pp
Pereira doubled to left.
CHW 4·ATH 1
−5pp
Hernaiz homered to left (396 feet).
CHW 4·ATH 1
+10pp
Vargas homered to left (390 feet), Meidroth scored.
CHW 4·ATH 0
−19pp
Hill homered to left center (415 feet).
CHW 2·ATH 0
−11pp
Team stats
CHW
Away
Stat
ATH
Home
10
Hits
5
1
Errors
0
7
Runs
4
Player box score

CHW
8-14

C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
2.467
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

E. Pereira★
RF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Quero★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

T. Murray★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hill★
RF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

L. Acuna★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Antonacci
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Benintendi
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
10-36
R
7
RBI
7
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Meidroth★2B | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.467 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.000 |
![]() E. Pereira★RF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() E. Quero★C | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
![]() T. Murray★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Hill★RF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() L. Acuna★CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() S. AntonacciLF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() A. BenintendiLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 10-36 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — |

N. Schultz★
SP
IP
5.0
H
1
ER
1
K
6

G. Taylor
RP
IP
1.2
H
3
ER
3
K
3

J. Leasure
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
0

B. Hudson
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1

S. Dominguez
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
5
ER
4
K
11
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Schultz★SP | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
![]() G. TaylorRP | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
![]() J. LeasureRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() B. HudsonRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() S. DominguezRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 5 | 4 | 11 |

ATH
11-11

J. Wilson★
SS
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Langeliers★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Kurtz★
1B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Ibanez★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Muncy★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Soderstrom★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hernaiz★
3B
OPS
2.750
H-AB
1-2
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

D. Clarke★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

Z. Gelof★
CF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
2
HR
0

C. Cortes
RF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Butler
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
5-33
R
4
RBI
3
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Wilson★SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() S. Langeliers★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() N. Kurtz★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() A. Ibanez★2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Muncy★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. Soderstrom★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() D. Hernaiz★3B | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.750 |
![]() D. Clarke★CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() Z. Gelof★CF | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() C. CortesRF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() L. ButlerRF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 5-33 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — |

J. Springs★
SP
IP
5.0
H
9
ER
7
K
7

M. Barnett
SP
IP
2.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1

L. Medina
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

S. Barlow
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
7
K
11
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Springs★SP | 5.0 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
![]() M. BarnettSP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() L. MedinaRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() S. BarlowRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
Betting line
ATH -1.5·O/U 9.5·CHW +135/ATH -163