Matchup orbital

2
COL
COL
2-4
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

1
TOR
TOR
4-2
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
COL wins
COL 2 · TOR 1 (by 1)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked TOR +25pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 10th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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COL2-4
COL
4-2TOR
TOR

Recap · MLB
olorado Rockies went into Toronto Blue Jays and beat them, 2–1. It came down to the final possession.
COL +1.5 cashed (TOR lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
COL wins series 2-1
COL14@
TOR5
COL1@
TOR5
COL2@
TOR1todaySeason series
COL wins series 2-1
COL14@
TOR5
COL1@
TOR5
COL2@
TOR1todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
COL+22431%
TOR-28074%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement
0 snapshots on file
Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 22pp · Top 8th Inning
COL
T. Freeman
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

K. Freeland
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 5 H · 1 BB
TOR
M. Straw
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-2 · 1 R · 2.000 OPS

K. Gausman
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.0 IP · 10 K · 0 ER · 2 H
How it ended
COL beat TOR 2-1. Johnston's play in the top 8th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (22pp).
Last play
End of the 10th inning
Win probability
TOR vs COL
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJohnston · singled to left, McCarthy scored.
Freeman · singled to center, Doyle scored.
Guerrero Jr. · lined out to center.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
COL won 2 · TOR won 1
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Schneider 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Johnston 1
Inn 9
Inn 10
Freeman 1
Game flow · key plays
Guerrero Jr. lined out to center.
COL 2·TOR 1
−19pp
Lukes grounded out to shortstop, Giménez to third.
COL 2·TOR 1
−12pp
Springer fouled out to catcher.
COL 2·TOR 1
−18pp
Freeman singled to center, Doyle scored.
COL 2·TOR 1
−20pp
Tovar struck out swinging.
COL 1·TOR 1
+15pp
Johnston singled to left, McCarthy scored.
COL 1·TOR 1
−22pp
Team stats
COL
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
6
Hits
7
0
Errors
1
2
Runs
1
Player box score

COL
2-4

T. Johnston★
RF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

H. Goodman★
C
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Castro★
2B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Tovar★
SS
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Rumfield★
1B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Beck★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Sullivan★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Doyle★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Karros★
3B
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Ritter
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Julien
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Freeman
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
6-36
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() T. Johnston★RF | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() H. Goodman★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() W. Castro★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() E. Tovar★SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() T. Rumfield★1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() J. Beck★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() B. Sullivan★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() B. Doyle★CF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() K. Karros★3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() R. Ritter2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() E. Julien2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. FreemanRF | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 6-36 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |

K. Freeland★
SP
IP
5.0
H
5
ER
1
K
6

A. Senzatela
RP
IP
2.0
H
1
ER
0
K
3

V. Vodnik
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0

B. Bernardino
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

J. Herget
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
10.0
H
7
ER
1
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() K. Freeland★SP | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
![]() A. SenzatelaRP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
![]() V. VodnikRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() B. BernardinoRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() J. HergetRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 10.0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |

TOR
4-2

G. Springer★
DH
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Schneider★
LF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Kirk★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Clement★
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Straw★
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
2-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Lukes
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Barger
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Heineman
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-36
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() G. Springer★DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() D. Schneider★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() K. Okamoto★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() A. Kirk★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() E. Clement★2B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Sanchez★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Straw★RF | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() A. Gimenez★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() N. LukesRF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. BargerRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. HeinemanC | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 7-36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |

K. Gausman★
SP
IP
6.0
H
2
ER
0
K
10

T. Rogers
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
0
K
0

T. Nance
RP
IP
0.1
H
1
ER
1
K
1

M. Fluharty
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
2

J. Hoffman
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
3

B. Little
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
IP
10.0
H
6
ER
1
K
17
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() K. Gausman★SP | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
![]() T. RogersRP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() T. NanceRP | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() M. FluhartyRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() J. HoffmanRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
![]() B. LittleRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 10.0 | 6 | 1 | 17 |
Betting line
TOR -1.5·O/U 7.5·COL +224/TOR -280