New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 27, 2026

FINAL+3NYY

NYY

2-0

0-2

Oracle Park · San Francisco, California

40,273 attended

Line movement

50 snapshots

SF spread

+1.5

open +1.5

Total

O/U 8.5

open O/U 8.5

SF no-vig %

44.9%

open 44.9%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SF favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

41.9%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
43.9%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
41.7%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
45.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.36 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

91% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs NYY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

124

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.1± 2.9medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Luis ArraezSF
1.2± 0.9high
Jung Hoo LeeSF
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Rafael DeversSF
2.4± 2.7high
Casey SchmittSF
2.0± 2.3high
Jung Hoo LeeSF
2.0± 2.0high

RBIs

Rafael DeversSF
0.8± 1.1high
Ben RiceNYY
0.5± 1.0high
Jose CaballeroNYY
0.5± 0.7high

Earned runs

Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low
Trevor McDonaldSF
2.8± 2.5low
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYY

league avg

.753

OPS

◀

.718

.725

.324

OBP

◀

.319

.308

4.88

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

3.33

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.31

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.36

8.8

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

NYY 3 · SF 0 (by 3)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked NYY +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. Goldschmidt1B	.200	5	1	1	0	0	0	0
A. JudgeRF	.111	4	1	1	2	1	0	2
C. BellingerLF	.250	3	0	1	0	0	1	0
G. StantonDH	.500	4	1	2	1	1	0	1
A. Rosario3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.286	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. CaballeroSS	.375	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
R. GrichukDH	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. WellsC	.286	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. McMahon3B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
T. GrishamCF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		34	3	8	3	2	3	7

Player

.200

.111

.250

.500

.000

.286

.375

.000

.286

.250

.167

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. SchlittlerSP	5.1	1	0	0	0	8	68
F. CruzRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	10
T. HillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12
C. DovalRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12
D. BednarRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19
Team	9.0	1	0	0	2	13	121

Player

5.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

121

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. Arraez2B	.143	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Chapman3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	2	1
R. Devers1B	.125	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
W. AdamesSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. LeeRF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
H. RamosLF	.286	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
C. SchmittLF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. BaileyC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
H. BaderCF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		28	0	1	0	0	2	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. RaySP	5.1	5	2	2	0	4	89
J. ButtoRP	0.2	2	1	1	0	2	17
E. MillerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10
R. WalkerRP	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	12
R. BoruckiRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	12
M. GageRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	14
Team	9.0	8	3	3	3	7	154

Team

NYY

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs NYY.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs NYY.

3 sub-models, blended.