Horse Racing·Model edges
Tonight's slate ranked by the gap between the model's home-team win probability and the moneyline's de-juiced implied probability. The list runs largest gap first. Edges under 3 percentage points sit inside model noise; sharps tend to live at five or higher on the same side.
Model edges currently ship for the four leagues with live Elo: MLB · NBA · WNBA · NHL. Horse Racing edges activate once a per-team rating system lands for this league.
See the roadmap →Horse Racing betting markets
Horse racing is pari-mutuel — your odds are not fixed at bet time, they shift as the pool fills. Late money matters; the take-rate (track + state cut) is meaningfully larger than fixed-odds sports.
What the Horse Racing model will weight
When Horse Racing model edges ship, the rating engine will weight the factors below. The shape mirrors the MLB model that's live today, which back-tested at 55% on 2,932 games. The full methodology is at /methodology.
Sharp angles · Horse Racing
These are the recurring patterns sharp Horse Racing bettors actually work. Each one has shown up in the post-mortem of multiple winning weeks. Treat them as a starting point for handicapping, not a substitute for it.
What you can use right now