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ESPN
PG/SG#28 of 40 guards in 2026
Seth Trimble
Developmental guard
North Carolina·21.9 yo at draft
Undrafted/honor mention
ATH composite
—
NCAA dominance
77
Scoring
66
Playmaking
80
Defense
62
Shooting
63
Draft score 17 out of 100, overall rank 81.
Data completeness
grade C · 53/1000/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 2 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionTop tool · Rebounding74th · class
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental guard. Carried by rebounding (74th); the question marks are perimeter defense (10th) and shot creation (26th).
StrengthsRebounding74
WatchPerimeter defense10Shot creation26
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
Outside the top 60
THE ONE has them at #81, below the two-round projection window.
Model vs the field
The One
#81
Field
#73
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 2 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental guard profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 95th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 77 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 73rd across 2 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#81▲ Riser · up 20
May 30 · #101Jul 27 · #81
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable16.6draft scoreboard #81
Market 62% · consensus 73rd / 2 boardsModel 38% · ranked 70th
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Trimble 73rd, our model 70th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 17-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%—
no 2026 combine row yet
NCAA dominanceweight 40%77
Mock consensusweight 20%28
avg rank 73 across 2 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 95th pct
- 0
No combine
athleticism held at neutral fallback
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 35th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
No combine on file
Wingspan
med 79.3"
—
—
Standing reach
med 99.5"
—
—
Max vertical
med 35.5"
—
—
Standing vert
med 30.0"
—
—
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
—
—
Lane agility
med 11.09s
—
—
Shuttle
med 3.05s
—
—
No combine testing on file for this prospect · the rings show the position-group distribution (2000–2025).
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · North Carolina Tar Heels38 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.04 PPP33
Defense
1.06 allow10
Shot dieteFG 50%3PT rate 26%FT rate 4%
Trimble's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · college production
vs guards · 2012–2020Closest NBA comparisons
College production only · Trimble didn't test at the combine, so these comps are matched on college box-score production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists) vs the position cohort — not measurables.
Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Trimble.
“Top X%” = closer to Trimble than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Norman Powell2015top 1%
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Star · 1× All-Star · 9.2 career VORP · 675 g
College: UCLA '15 · TS 54.0 · BPM 4.9
PORPAG3.4vs3.4BPM5.0vs4.9Age21.9vs22.1TS%54.8vs54.0AST%16.6vs12.8USG%21.7vs24.0 - 2Tim Hardaway Jr.2013top 1%
production only · matched on 4 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 5.2 career VORP · 893 g
College: Michigan '13 · TS 52.7 · BPM 4.4
USG%21.7vs22.3BPM5.0vs4.4AST%16.6vs12.9TS%54.8vs52.7 - 3Terrence Ross2012top 1%
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 4.5 career VORP · 733 g
College: Washington '12 · TS 55.8 · BPM 5.7
PORPAG3.4vs3.6TS%54.8vs55.8BPM5.0vs5.7Age21.9vs21.4USG%21.7vs23.3AST%16.6vs9.2 - 4Michael Qualls2015top 1%
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Arkansas '15 · TS 56.2 · BPM 5.0
BPM5.0vs5.0Age21.9vs21.4PORPAG3.4vs3.8TS%54.8vs56.2USG%21.7vs24.1AST%16.6vs10.9 - 5Trent Forrest2020top 1%
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Florida St. '20 · TS 54.4 · BPM 5.6
TS%54.8vs54.4Age21.9vs22.0BPM5.0vs5.6USG%21.7vs23.0PORPAG3.4vs2.8AST%16.6vs24.1
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
8/13 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
1 Star2 Starter3 Rotation2 Fringe5 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Fringe — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Norman Powell2015
Star · 1× All-Star
Floor
Wayne Selden2016
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Trimble.
College teamNorth CarolinaACC#27 T-Rank24-9SOS tough schedule · top 13%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
North Carolina· ACC
24 games · 59% min
labeled Combo G
Efficiency
- TS%54.8%72
- eFG%50.8%71
- USG%21.7%68
- ORTG113.486
- AdjOE123.293
- RIM%64.2%89
Playmaking
- AST%16.6%48
- TO%11.3%86
Defense
- STL%2.3%58
- BLK%0.6%69
- DRTG97.981
- DBPM+2.091
Rebounding
- ORB%3.6%86
- DRB%9.1%56
Composite
- BPM+5.092
- OBPM+3.085
- PORPAG3.493
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position24 games· 32.5 mpg
Points
14.088
Rebounds
3.890
Assists
3.076
Steals
1.384
Blocks
0.285
ShootingFG 47.1%3PT 28.6%FT 66.7%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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