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ESPN

PG/SG#25 of 40 guards in 2026

Peter Suder

Lead playmaker

Miami (Ohio)·6'4" · 213lb·6'8" wing·8'4" reach·8.5" hand·22.9 yo at draft

Undrafted/honor mention

ATH composite

NCAA dominance

Scoring

Playmaking

Defense

Shooting

Combine

Max vertical

30.5"p5

Lane agility

11.23sp38

¾ sprint

3.20sp56

Standing reach

99.5"p46

Data completeness

grade A · 93/100

7/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 2 mock boards · birthdate known

measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking

Skill signature · earned from the data

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

Efficient ScorerSynergy offense 90thSharpshootereFG 86th · classPlus Length6'8" wing · 85thGlass CleanerORB 83rd · classRim ProtectorBLK 80th · class

The read · from the percentiles

auto-derived · 2026 class

Lead playmaker. Carried by scoring efficiency (90th) and rebounding (83rd); no glaring statistical hole.

StrengthsScoring efficiency90Rebounding83

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Projected landing

Outside the top 60

THE ONE has them at #62, below the two-round projection window.

Model vs the field

The One

#62

Field

#75

In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.

across 2 mock boards

Scouting summary

Lead playmaker profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 94th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 90 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 75th across 2 boards.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

Our board over time

Where we've had him since May 30

now#62▲ Riser · up 13

May 30 · #75Jul 27 · #62

How the score is built

deterministic · auditable

31.4draft scoreboard #62

Market 62% · consensus 75th / 2 boardsModel 38% · ranked 12th

Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Suder 75th, our model 12th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.

Draft score breakdown

How the 31-point composite stacks up

chip delta · +14

Athletic compositeweight 40%32

NCAA dominanceweight 40%90

Mock consensusweight 20%25

avg rank 75 across 2 boards

Deterministic signals · v1 rules

Elite BPM
BPM = 94th pct
+6
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
+5
Elite playmaker (G)
AST% = 96th pct
+4
Heavy-legged
max vertical = 2th pct
-3
Consensus risers
latest consensus improved by 12 spots
+2

Skill radar · the shape of his game

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

Avg axis 63th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.

Combine radar · vs. G-bucket

7 of 7 drills measured

cohort n=724 · 2000–2025

Wingspan
med 79.3"
80.0"
p57
Standing reach
med 99.5"
99.5"
p46
Max vertical
med 35.5"
30.5"
p5
Standing vert
med 30.0"
28.5"
p29
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.20s
p56
Lane agility
med 11.09s
11.23s
p38
Shuttle
med 3.05s
3.14s
p30

Frame & hands · the tape

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

Height

6'3.8"80

Wingspan diff

+4.3"55

Hand length

8.50"50

Hand width

9.00"30

Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.

Combine drills · controlled setting

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

Shooting & agility at the combine

Spot-up 3PT

13/25 · 52%26

Off-dribble 3PT

15/30 · 50%5

On-move 3PT

6/25 · 24%0

Modified agility

3.14s5

via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)

Two-way profile · how they play

Synergy · per possession · Miami (OH) RedHawks

63 / 100 two-way score

Offense

1.23 PPP90

Defense

0.93 allow44

Shot dieteFG 60%3PT rate 29%FT rate 5%

Suder's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.

NBA comps · measurables + production

vs guards · 2010–2025

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Suder.

“Top X%” = closer to Suder than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1Otega Oweh2025
top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 0 g
College: Kentucky '25 · TS 57.7 · BPM 5.8
¾ sprint3.20svs3.20sWeight213 lbvs213 lbWing80.0"vs80.5"Ht6'4"vs6'4"Std vert28.5"vs27.5"Reach99.5"vs101.5"Agility11.23svs10.90sShuttle3.14svs2.90sMax vert30.5"vs35.0"PORPAG3.5vs3.9BPM4.7vs5.8USG%23.0vs25.4Age22.9vs22.0TS%62.1vs57.7AST%22.7vs11.3
2Mikhail Torrance2010
top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Alabama '10 · TS 59.4 · BPM 5.2
Wing80.0"vs79.5"¾ sprint3.20svs3.17sWeight213 lbvs209 lbHt6'4"vs6'4"Agility11.23svs11.43sMax vert30.5"vs32.0"Reach99.5"vs103.0"Std vert28.5"vs23.0"BPM4.7vs5.2USG%23.0vs25.5TS%62.1vs59.4PORPAG3.5vs4.7AST%22.7vs33.6
3Devon Hall2018
top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.1 career VORP · 11 g
College: Virginia '18 · TS 59.9 · BPM 8.6
Shuttle3.14svs3.16sWing80.0"vs79.8"Max vert30.5"vs31.0"Ht6'4"vs6'4"Weight213 lbvs206 lb¾ sprint3.20svs3.27sAgility11.23svs10.95sReach99.5"vs102.0"Std vert28.5"vs25.0"Age22.9vs23.0AST%22.7vs19.6TS%62.1vs59.9PORPAG3.5vs4.4USG%23.0vs19.4BPM4.7vs8.6
4Pelle Larsson2024
top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 0.2 career VORP · 125 g
College: Arizona '24 · TS 62.2 · BPM 7.1
Weight213 lbvs212 lbWing80.0"vs79.5"Agility11.23svs11.15sHt6'4"vs6'5"Std vert28.5"vs30.5"Reach99.5"vs102.0"Shuttle3.14svs2.91s¾ sprint3.20svs3.06sMax vert30.5"vs38.0"TS%62.1vs62.2PORPAG3.5vs3.8AST%22.7vs20.1Age22.9vs23.3BPM4.7vs7.1USG%23.0vs19.1
5Joe Harris2014
top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 4.1 career VORP · 504 g
College: Virginia '14 · TS 56.5 · BPM 8.3
Ht6'4"vs6'5"Std vert28.5"vs28.5"Weight213 lbvs215 lbReach99.5"vs100.0"Agility11.23svs11.11sWing80.0"vs78.0"Shuttle3.14svs2.92sMax vert30.5"vs33.5"¾ sprint3.20svs3.31sAge22.9vs22.8PORPAG3.5vs3.4USG%23.0vs22.1AST%22.7vs18.1BPM4.7vs8.3TS%62.1vs56.5

Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)

Comp outcomes · real careers

8/11 reached the NBA

How the closest comps turned out

1 Starter4 Rotation3 Fringe3 Never reached NBA

Median outcome: Fringe — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

Ceiling

Spencer Dinwiddie2014

Starter · 8.1 VORP

Floor

Peter Jok2017

Never reached NBA

The 15 nearest blended comps (4 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Suder.

College teamMiami OHMAC#87 T-Rank32-2SOS softer schedule · top 72%via BartTorvik

College stats · 2025-26 season

Miami OH· MAC

30 games · 77% min

labeled Combo G

Name match to Miami OH, prospect card says Miami (Ohio) — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.

Efficiency

TS%
62.1%93
eFG%
59.3%93
USG%
23.0%75
ORTG
122.994
AdjOE
124.494
RIM%
67.6%95

Playmaking

AST%
22.7%73
TO%
14.5%76

Defense

STL%
2.3%58
BLK%
1.3%90
DRTG
107.442
DBPM
+1.183

Rebounding

ORB%
5.2%95
DRB%
11.6%82

Composite

BPM
+4.791
OBPM
+3.689
PORPAG
3.593

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

Per-game production · 2025-26

percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position

30 games· 31.1 mpg

Points

14.890

Rebounds

4.696

Assists

4.090

Steals

1.384

Blocks

0.496

ShootingFG 53.7%3PT 39.1%FT 73.3%

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.

X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit

Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.

Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026

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