
ESPN
Skilled big
Scoring
87
Playmaking
89
Defense
55
Shooting
80
Data completeness
grade C · 53/1000/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 2 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classSkilled big. Carried by shot creation (94th); the question marks are scoring efficiency (20th) and rim protection (22nd).
Draft outlook
Projected landing
Outside the top 60
THE ONE has them at #91, below the two-round projection window.
Model vs the field
The One
#91
Field
#79
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 2 mock boards
Scouting summary
Skilled big profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 91th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 79 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 79th across 2 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Reneau 79th, our model 80th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
no 2026 combine row yet
avg rank 79 across 2 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite BPM
BPM = 91th pct
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
Consensus fallers
latest consensus slipped by 6 spots
No combine
athleticism held at neutral fallback
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 45th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. B-bucket
Wingspan
med 85.8"
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Standing reach
med 108.0"
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Max vertical
med 32.5"
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Standing vert
med 28.5"
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¾ sprint
med 3.33s
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Lane agility
med 11.65s
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Shuttle
med 3.10s
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No combine testing on file for this prospect · the rings show the position-group distribution (2000–2025).
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Miami (FL) HurricanesReneau's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · college production
vs bigs · 2012–2024College production only · Reneau didn't test at the combine, so these comps are matched on college box-score production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists) vs the position cohort — not measurables.
Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Reneau.
“Top X%” = closer to Reneau than (100−X)% of all drafted bigs on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.6 career VORP · 555 g
College: Virginia '12 · TS 62.0 · BPM 5.9
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.3 career VORP · 36 g
College: New Mexico '14 · TS 61.1 · BPM 6.0
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -1.4 career VORP · 107 g
College: Michigan St. '14 · TS 60.7 · BPM 5.1
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.2 career VORP · 26 g
College: Akron '24 · TS 64.5 · BPM 6.1
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 0 g
College: Clemson '24 · TS 57.9 · BPM 6.8
Comp outcomes · real careers
10/12 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Fringe — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Pascal Siakam2016
Star · 4× All-Star
Floor
Kyle Wiltjer2016
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (3 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Reneau.
College stats · 2025-26 season
35 games · 73% min
labeled PF/C
Name match to Miami FL, prospect card says Miami — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.