Lamar Wilkerson

Developmental wing. Carried by perimeter defense (75th) and scoring efficiency (72nd); the question marks are rim protection (0th) and rebounding (7th).

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Scouting summary

Developmental wing profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 97th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 78 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 80th across 1 board.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

65 / 100 two-way score

Wilkerson's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Wilkerson.

“Top X%” = closer to Wilkerson than (100−X)% of all drafted wings on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1. 1Marial Shayok2019

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Fringe NBA · -0.1 career VORP · 4 g

   College: Iowa St. '19 · TS 61.1 · BPM 4.3

   TS%60.9vs61.1USG%27.2vs26.9PORPAG5.0vs4.7BPM6.1vs4.3AST%15.9vs12.2
2. 2Miles Bridges2018

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Starter · 8.2 career VORP · 501 g

   College: Michigan St. '18 · TS 57.3 · BPM 7.4

   AST%15.9vs16.6BPM6.1vs7.4PORPAG5.0vs4.4USG%27.2vs25.0TS%60.9vs57.3
3. 3Baylor Scheierman2024

   top 2%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · 1.0 career VORP · 108 g

   College: Creighton '24 · TS 59.6 · BPM 8.3

   PORPAG5.0vs5.2TS%60.9vs59.6USG%27.2vs24.9Age24.6vs23.8BPM6.1vs8.3AST%15.9vs19.9
4. 4Dalton Knecht2024

   top 3%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · -0.2 career VORP · 132 g

   College: Tennessee '24 · TS 57.7 · BPM 6.0

   BPM6.1vs6.0PORPAG5.0vs4.8AST%15.9vs13.4USG%27.2vs29.8TS%60.9vs57.7Age24.6vs23.2
5. 5Terrence Shannon Jr.2024

   top 4%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · -0.2 career VORP · 75 g

   College: Illinois '24 · TS 62.1 · BPM 8.9

   USG%27.2vs27.9TS%60.9vs62.1AST%15.9vs13.2Age24.6vs23.9BPM6.1vs8.9

How the closest comps turned out

Median outcome: Fringe — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

The 15 nearest blended comps (6 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Wilkerson.

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs W-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

32 games· 34.0 mpg

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.