Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
ESPN
SG#34 of 40 guards in 2026
Kashie Natt
Developmental guard
Sam Houston
Undrafted/honor mention
ATH composite
—
NCAA dominance
85
Scoring
68
Playmaking
72
Defense
98
Shooting
72
Draft score 6 out of 100, overall rank 95.
Data completeness
grade D · 37/1000/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 1 mock board · birthdate unknown
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionGlass CleanerDRB 97th · classRim ProtectorBLK 91st · classBall HawkSTL 91st · class
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental guard. Carried by rebounding (97th) and rim protection (91st); the question marks are shot creation (14th) and scoring efficiency (17th).
StrengthsRebounding97Rim protection91
WatchShot creation14Scoring efficiency17
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
Outside the top 60
THE ONE has them at #95, below the two-round projection window.
Model vs the field
The One
#95
Field
#100
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 1 mock board
Scouting summary
Developmental guard profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 85 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 100th across 1 board.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#95▲ Riser · up 14
May 30 · #109Jul 27 · #95
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable6.4draft scoreboard #95
Market 62% · consensus 100th / 1 boardModel 38% · ranked 26th
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Natt 100th, our model 26th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 6-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%—
no 2026 combine row yet
NCAA dominanceweight 40%85
Mock consensusweight 20%0
avg rank 100 across 1 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
- +3
Defensive impact
STL% + BLK% = 98th pct
- -1
Limited consensus coverage
fewer than two mock-board sources
- 0
No combine
athleticism held at neutral fallback
- 0
Age unknown
birthdate unavailable; no age tilt applied
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 51th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
No combine on file
Wingspan
med 79.3"
—
—
Standing reach
med 99.5"
—
—
Max vertical
med 35.5"
—
—
Standing vert
med 30.0"
—
—
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
—
—
Lane agility
med 11.09s
—
—
Shuttle
med 3.05s
—
—
No combine testing on file for this prospect · the rings show the position-group distribution (2000–2025).
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Sam Houston State Bearkats42 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.00 PPP17
Defense
0.86 allow62
Shot dieteFG 49%3PT rate 30%FT rate 3%
Natt's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · college production
vs guards · 2014–2019Closest NBA comparisons
College production only · Natt didn't test at the combine, so these comps are matched on college box-score production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists) vs the position cohort — not measurables.
Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Natt.
“Top X%” = closer to Natt than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Jordan Poole2019top 1%
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.4 career VORP · 451 g
College: Michigan '19 · TS 57.3 · BPM 7.3
USG%20.4vs20.0BPM7.8vs7.3TS%56.1vs57.3AST%15.6vs13.0PORPAG2.8vs3.2 - 2Joe Harris2014top 1%
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 4.1 career VORP · 504 g
College: Virginia '14 · TS 56.5 · BPM 8.3
TS%56.1vs56.5BPM7.8vs8.3AST%15.6vs18.1USG%20.4vs22.1PORPAG2.8vs3.4 - 3Kadeem Allen2017top 1%
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · 0.1 career VORP · 47 g
College: Arizona '17 · TS 57.0 · BPM 7.7
BPM7.8vs7.7TS%56.1vs57.0AST%15.6vs17.8PORPAG2.8vs2.4USG%20.4vs18.4 - 4Wayne Selden2016top 1%
production only · matched on 4 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Kansas '16 · TS 57.0 · BPM 6.8
AST%15.6vs15.7TS%56.1vs57.0BPM7.8vs6.8USG%20.4vs22.0 - 5Patrick McCaw2016top 2%
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -0.6 career VORP · 199 g
College: UNLV '16 · TS 57.9 · BPM 7.2
USG%20.4vs20.3BPM7.8vs7.2PORPAG2.8vs3.1TS%56.1vs57.9AST%15.6vs23.0
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
10/13 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
7 Rotation3 Fringe3 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Joe Harris2014
Rotation · 4.1 VORP
Floor
Zach Norvell Jr.2019
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Natt.
College teamSam Houston St.CUSA#109 T-Rank22-12SOS average schedule · top 42%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Sam Houston St.· CUSA
31 games · 68% min
labeled Wing G
Name match to Sam Houston St., prospect card says Sam Houston — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.
Efficiency
- TS%56.1%78
- eFG%49.8%64
- USG%20.4%60
- ORTG121.694
- AdjOE122.092
- RIM%49.2%35
Playmaking
- AST%15.6%43
- TO%12.7%83
Defense
- STL%4.2%92
- BLK%1.9%95
- DRTG99.476
- DBPM+3.897
Rebounding
- ORB%9.3%99
- DRB%23.6%99
Composite
- BPM+7.897
- OBPM+4.090
- PORPAG2.888
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position31 games· 26.5 mpg
Points
10.875
Rebounds
8.299
Assists
2.465
Steals
2.097
Blocks
0.597
ShootingFG 43.8%3PT 39.5%FT 78.1%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Get the 2027 big board the day it drops
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.