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SG#33 of 40 guards in 2026
Jaylin Sellers
Combo scorer
Providence·23.1 yo at draft
Undrafted/honor mention
ATH composite
—
NCAA dominance
74
Scoring
90
Playmaking
38
Defense
50
Shooting
90
Draft score 8 out of 100, overall rank 93.
Data completeness
grade C · 47/1000/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 1 mock board · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionEfficient ScorerTS 80th · classFloor Spacer44% 3PT rate · 57% eFG
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classCombo scorer. Carried by rebounding (77th) and scoring efficiency (65th); the question marks are passing (9th) and perimeter defense (30th).
StrengthsRebounding77Scoring efficiency65
WatchPassing9Perimeter defense30
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
Outside the top 60
THE ONE has them at #93, below the two-round projection window.
Model vs the field
The One
#93
Field
#93
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 1 mock board
Scouting summary
Combo scorer profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 90th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 74 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 93rd across 1 board.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#93▲ Riser · up 20
May 30 · #113Jul 27 · #93
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable7.8draft scoreboard #93
Market 62% · consensus 93rd / 1 boardModel 38% · ranked 69th
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Sellers 93rd, our model 69th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 8-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%—
no 2026 combine row yet
NCAA dominanceweight 40%74
Mock consensusweight 20%7
avg rank 93 across 1 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 90th pct
- +5
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
- +2
Consensus risers
latest consensus improved by 6 spots
- -1
Limited consensus coverage
fewer than two mock-board sources
- 0
No combine
athleticism held at neutral fallback
- 0
Age unknown
birthdate unavailable; no age tilt applied
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 48th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
No combine on file
Wingspan
med 79.3"
—
—
Standing reach
med 99.5"
—
—
Max vertical
med 35.5"
—
—
Standing vert
med 30.0"
—
—
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
—
—
Lane agility
med 11.09s
—
—
Shuttle
med 3.05s
—
—
No combine testing on file for this prospect · the rings show the position-group distribution (2000–2025).
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Providence Friars52 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.16 PPP65
Defense
0.97 allow30
Shot dieteFG 57%3PT rate 44%FT rate 3%
Sellers's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · college production
vs guards · 2015–2025Closest NBA comparisons
College production only · Sellers didn't test at the combine, so these comps are matched on college box-score production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists) vs the position cohort — not measurables.
Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Sellers.
“Top X%” = closer to Sellers than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Mike Miles Jr.2023top 1%
production only · matched on 4 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: TCU '23 · TS 60.4 · BPM 3.4
USG%25.2vs25.3BPM3.5vs3.4TS%61.5vs60.4AST%10.6vs16.6 - 2Antonio Reeves2024top 1%
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.1 career VORP · 54 g
College: Kentucky '24 · TS 64.0 · BPM 3.8
BPM3.5vs3.8AST%10.6vs9.2Age23.1vs23.6USG%25.2vs23.6TS%61.5vs64.0PORPAG4.4vs5.2 - 3Jerome Robinson2018top 1%
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Bust · -1.2 career VORP · 135 g
College: Boston College '18 · TS 60.7 · BPM 2.8
TS%61.5vs60.7BPM3.5vs2.8USG%25.2vs26.3PORPAG4.4vs5.1AST%10.6vs19.5 - 4Tyler Harvey2015top 1%
production only · matched on 5 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Eastern Washington '15 · TS 62.5 · BPM 2.0
TS%61.5vs62.5USG%25.2vs26.2AST%10.6vs13.2BPM3.5vs2.0PORPAG4.4vs5.2 - 5Chaz Lanier2025top 2%
production only · matched on 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.2 career VORP · 34 g
College: Tennessee '25 · TS 56.0 · BPM 4.5
USG%25.2vs24.9PORPAG4.4vs4.3AST%10.6vs7.8Age23.1vs23.5BPM3.5vs4.5TS%61.5vs56.0
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
5/10 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
1 Rotation3 Fringe1 Bust5 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Never reached NBA — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Ben Sheppard2023
Rotation · -0.7 VORP
Floor
Nah'Shon Hyland2021
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (5 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Sellers.
College teamProvidenceBE#70 T-Rank15-18SOS tough schedule · top 13%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Providence· BE
33 games · 73% min
labeled Wing G
Efficiency
- TS%61.5%92
- eFG%56.7%90
- USG%25.2%85
- ORTG121.093
- AdjOE135.897
- RIM%56.2%65
Playmaking
- AST%10.6%21
- TO%12.9%82
Defense
- STL%1.7%34
- BLK%0.8%78
- DRTG109.831
- DBPM-1.348
Rebounding
- ORB%3.7%87
- DRB%11.1%78
Composite
- BPM+3.587
- OBPM+4.894
- PORPAG4.497
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position33 games· 30.0 mpg
Points
18.397
Rebounds
4.293
Assists
1.649
Steals
0.963
Blocks
0.288
ShootingFG 47.3%3PT 42.9%FT 85.9%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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