Jaxon Kohler

Skilled big. Carried by scoring efficiency (78th) and perimeter defense (78th); the question marks are rim protection (16th) and shot creation (31st).

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Scouting summary

Skilled big profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 98th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 79 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 91st across 1 board.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

65 / 100 two-way score

Kohler's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Kohler.

“Top X%” = closer to Kohler than (100−X)% of all drafted bigs on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1. 1Keshad Johnson2024

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · 0 g

   College: Arizona '24 · TS 61.6 · BPM 8.6

   Age23.0vs23.0TS%61.5vs61.6BPM9.6vs8.6AST%9.0vs10.8PORPAG3.7vs3.2USG%20.1vs18.3
2. 2Jeff Withey2013

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Rotation player · 1.3 career VORP · 207 g

   College: Kansas '13 · TS 62.1 · BPM 11.1

   PORPAG3.7vs3.6TS%61.5vs62.1Age23.0vs23.3USG%20.1vs21.0BPM9.6vs11.1AST%9.0vs6.2
3. 3Erik Murphy2013

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Fringe NBA · -0.1 career VORP · 24 g

   College: Florida '13 · TS 64.3 · BPM 10.1

   BPM9.6vs10.1Age23.0vs22.7USG%20.1vs21.3PORPAG3.7vs4.2AST%9.0vs11.0TS%61.5vs64.3
4. 4Jarvis Varnado2010

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Fringe NBA · -0.1 career VORP · 37 g

   College: Mississippi St. '10 · TS 59.6 · BPM 9.5

   BPM9.6vs9.5PORPAG3.7vs3.5TS%61.5vs59.6Age23.0vs22.3USG%20.1vs22.1AST%9.0vs6.2
5. 5Ryan Kelly2013

   top 2%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Rotation player · -0.5 career VORP · 163 g

   College: Duke '13 · TS 58.6 · BPM 10.0

   BPM9.6vs10.0USG%20.1vs20.8AST%9.0vs11.0PORPAG3.7vs4.4Age23.0vs22.2TS%61.5vs58.6

How the closest comps turned out

Median outcome: Never reached NBA — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

The 15 nearest blended comps (3 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Kohler.

Name match to Michigan St., prospect card says Michigan State — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

35 games· 27.7 mpg

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.