Donovan Atwell

3-and-D guard. Carried by scoring efficiency (98th); the question marks are shot creation (0th) and passing (0th).

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Scouting summary

3-and-D guard profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 61 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 94th across 1 board.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

61 / 100 two-way score

Atwell's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Atwell.

“Top X%” = closer to Atwell than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1. 1Jon Diebler2011

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g

   College: Ohio St. '11 · TS 72.3 · BPM 10.8

   USG%13.1vs13.5PORPAG5.3vs5.9BPM8.7vs10.8AST%3.9vs11.6TS%68.3vs72.3
2. 2Kim English2012

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Fringe NBA · -0.2 career VORP · 41 g

   College: Missouri '12 · TS 65.8 · BPM 7.1

   AST%3.9vs8.6TS%68.3vs65.8BPM8.7vs7.1PORPAG5.3vs4.3USG%13.1vs18.9
3. 3Pat Connaughton2015

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Starter · 4.5 career VORP · 637 g

   College: Notre Dame '15 · TS 61.5 · BPM 7.5

   AST%3.9vs7.6BPM8.7vs7.5USG%13.1vs16.7PORPAG5.3vs4.0TS%68.3vs61.5
4. 4Koby Brea2025

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · 0.0 career VORP · 12 g

   College: Kentucky '25 · TS 63.6 · BPM 6.1

   USG%13.1vs14.9AST%3.9vs8.0BPM8.7vs6.1TS%68.3vs63.6PORPAG5.3vs3.7
5. 5Keon Ellis2022

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g

   College: Alabama '22 · TS 61.4 · BPM 9.3

   BPM8.7vs9.3AST%3.9vs10.2USG%13.1vs16.8PORPAG5.3vs4.1TS%68.3vs61.4

How the closest comps turned out

Median outcome: Fringe — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

The 15 nearest blended comps (4 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Atwell.

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

34 games· 34.6 mpg

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.