
ESPN
Lead playmaker
Scoring
89
Playmaking
96
Defense
56
Shooting
96
Combine
Max vertical
35.5"p45
Lane agility
11.55sp17
¾ sprint
3.25sp38
Standing reach
96.5"p18
Data completeness
grade A · 93/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 2 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classLead playmaker. Carried by scoring efficiency (94th) and rebounding (89th); no glaring statistical hole.
Draft outlook
Projected landing

#35
San Antonio Spurs
2nd roundModel vs the field
The One
#35
Field
#48
across 2 mock boards
Scouting summary
Lead playmaker profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 90 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 48th across 2 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Thornton 48th, our model 6th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
avg rank 48 across 2 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
Short wingspan for position
wingspan = 14th pct
Elite playmaker (G)
AST% = 94th pct
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 65th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
Wingspan
med 79.3"
77.0"
p21
Standing reach
med 99.5"
96.5"
p18
Max vertical
med 35.5"
35.5"
p45
Standing vert
med 30.0"
29.5"
p42
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.25s
p38
Lane agility
med 11.09s
11.55s
p17
Shuttle
med 3.05s
3.01s
p58
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionWingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionvia stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Ohio State BuckeyesThornton's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs guards · 2011–2025Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Thornton.
“Top X%” = closer to Thornton than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.8 career VORP · 110 g
College: Hofstra '11 · TS 62.9 · BPM 7.1
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -1.3 career VORP · 371 g
College: Baylor '21 · TS 62.0 · BPM 9.2
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Cincinnati '14 · TS 57.7 · BPM 6.8
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.1 career VORP · 23 g
College: Florida '25 · TS 57.6 · BPM 8.4
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Arkansas '18 · TS 58.3 · BPM 5.3
Comp outcomes · real careers
7/11 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Fringe — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Jalen Brunson2018
Star · 3× All-Star
Floor
Demetri McCamey2011
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (4 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Thornton.
College stats · 2025-26 season
34 games · 90% min
labeled Combo G
Name match to Ohio St., prospect card says Ohio State — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.