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QBDay 3#12 QB · 2026 class
Luke Altmyer
Illinois6'1 6/8"·210 lb
Compact Distributor
ATH
63
DOM
28
draft score35
rank#261
Projected
Round 5-6
Scouting report · The One Analytics
Day 3Projected · Round 5-6Compact Distributor
Luke Altmyer projects as a compact distributor. A QB out of Illinois who tested with a starter-caliber athletic profile (63th composite). Combine line reads 6'1 6/8" · 210 lb, 4.72s 40, 32″ vertical, 114″ broad. College career: 660/1036 for 7,924 yards · 60 TD · 24 INT across 5 seasons. Dominance score 28 (trailed the cohort when adjusted for age of production).
28C+
Dominance score · college production
Limited college production
Blends 20% age-weighted career volume, 45% peak single-season production, 10% breakout, and 25% position-specific efficiency.
47pct
Average
Career volume
20% wtage-weighted
20pct
Weak
Peak season
45% wt2025
0pct
Bottom
Breakout
10% wtearly-career + jump year
40pct
Average
Efficiency
25% wtY/A · 7.65
Scouting Combine · 2026
Combine percentiles
Y · PERCENTILE vs QB CLASS · 2000–2026 baseline
38
Athletic composite
38thAVERAGE
5 of 5 metrics graded
1× Strong2× Solid2× Replacement
40-Yard
4.72s·70th of 421
Vertical
32.0″·54th of 370
Broad
114.0″·63rd of 371
Arm
29.9″·4th of 160
Hand
9.0″·3rd of 161
Not tested3-ConeShuttleBench
4.72s70thSTRONG
i
40-Yard
vs. 421
32.054thSOLID
i
Vertical
vs. 370
114.063rdSOLID
i
Broad
vs. 371
29.94thREPLACEMENT
Arm
vs. 160
9.03rdREPLACEMENT
Hand
vs. 161
Not tested3-ConeShuttleBench
Trait grades
6 dimensions evaluated
B-
Arm Talent
40th percentile · 7.76 college AYA on 1036 attempts (adj. yards/att, NFL-predictive)
B+
Speed
70th percentile · 4.72s 40-yard
B
Athleticism
62th percentile · Composite of speed + explosion + agility percentiles
C
Frame
12th percentile · 6'1 6/8" · 210 lb
B+
Mobility
70th percentile · 4.72s 40 · —
B
Burst
59th percentile · 32" vert · 114" broad
NFL comparisons
Top 3 historical · similarity-ranked
Closest distance · 0.32
- #1
Johnny Manziel
2014 R1 · #22 · Texas A&M · 6-0/207lb · 4.68s 40
84
sim
- #2
Mac Jones
Rotational2021 R1 · #15 · Alabama · 6-2/217lb · 4.72s 40
80
sim
- #3
Teddy Bridgewater
Rotational2014 R1 · #32 · Louisville · 6-2/214lb
77
sim
X-Factor
Speed grades in the 70th percentile. 4.72s 40-yard.
Primary risk
Frame sits in the 12th percentile (6'1 6/8"). That's the headline weakness scouts will key on.
Scheme fit
Quick-game, rhythm passing offense that gets the ball out before pressure arrives.
College career · ESPN
Career stats
| Season | Team | CMP | ATT | CMP% | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | LNG | SACK | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | MISS | 20 | 37 | 54.1 | 192 | 5.2 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 9 | 95.8 |
| 2022 | MISS | 8 | 17 | 47.1 | 125 | 7.4 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 1 | 135.9 |
| 2023 | ILL | 175 | 270 | 64.8 | 1,883 | 7.0 | 13 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 131.9 |
| 2024 | ILL | 211 | 347 | 60.8 | 2,717 | 7.8 | 22 | 6 | 64 | 32 | 144.0 |
| 2025 | ILL | 246 | 365 | 67.4 | 3,007 | 8.2 | 22 | 5 | 64 | 32 | 153.7 |
| Career | 660 | 1036 | 63.7 | 7,924 | 7.6 | 60 | 24 | 64 | 108 | 142.4 | |
Generated by deterministic-v30 · Jul 21, 2026Workout · Combine
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