Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
TEDay 2#4 TE · 2026 class★ R5 · #152
Justin Joly
North Carolina St.6'3 5/8"·241 lb
Joker H-Back
ATH
—
DOM
77
draft score82
rank#47
Projected
Round 2-3
Drafted · Round 5 · Pick 152 · 152nd overall
Now on the Broncos.
Joly suits up at /p/justin-joly
Scouting report · The One Analytics
Day 2Projected · Round 2-3Joker H-Back
Justin Joly projects as a joker h-back. A TE out of North Carolina St. who tested with an unmeasured athletic profile. Limited combine sample. Works off 6'3 5/8" · 241 lb and the position film. Career college production: 166 receptions for 1,978 yards and 15 TDs across 4 seasons. Dominance score 77 (overproduced the cohort when adjusted for age of production).
77B+
Dominance score · college production
Above-average producer
Blends 35% age-weighted career volume, 40% peak single-season production, 15% breakout, and 10% position-specific efficiency.
92pct
Elite
Career volume
35% wtage-weighted
65pct
Above avg
Peak season
40% wt2024
85pct
Strong
Breakout
15% wtearly-career + jump year
58pct
Average
Efficiency
10% wtY/R · 11.92
Scouting Combine · 2026
Combine percentiles
Y · PERCENTILE vs TE CLASS · 2000–2026 baseline
0
Athletic composite
0thREPLACEMENT
2 of 2 metrics graded
1× Great1× Below avg
Arm
32.3″·26th of 205
Hand
10.5″·91st of 205
Not tested40-YardVerticalBroad3-ConeShuttleBench
32.326thBELOW AVG
i
Arm
vs. 205
10.591stGREAT
i
Hand
vs. 205
Not tested40-YardVerticalBroad3-ConeShuttleBench
Trait grades
6 dimensions evaluated
N/A
Speed
No combine number on file — —s 40-yard
N/A
Burst
No combine number on file — no vert · no broad
N/A
Vertical Pop
No combine number on file — no vertical jump on file
C-
Frame
9th percentile · 6'3 5/8" · 241 lb
N/A
Strength
No combine number on file — no bench on file
N/A
Athleticism
No combine number on file — Composite of speed + explosion + agility percentiles
NFL comparisons
Top 3 historical · similarity-ranked
Closest distance · 0.28
PB
- #1
Gerald Christian
2015 R7 · #256 · Louisville · 6-3/244lb · 4.87s 40
86
sim
- #2
David Paulson
2012 R7 · #240 · Oregon · 6-3/246lb · 4.79s 40
77
sim
- #3
Brock Bowers
All-Pro2024 R1 · #13 · Georgia · 6-3/243lb
70
sim
X-Factor
Frame grades in the 9th percentile. 6'3 5/8".
Primary risk
Frame sits in the 9th percentile (6'3 5/8"). That's the headline weakness scouts will key on.
Scheme fit
Shanahan-style offense. H-back who serves as fullback, blocker, and seam threat.
College career · ESPN
Career stats
| Season | Team | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | CONN | 18 | 250 | 13.9 | 2 | 62 |
| 2023 | CONN | 56 | 578 | 10.3 | 2 | 59 |
| 2024 | NCSU | 43 | 661 | 15.4 | 4 | 40 |
| 2025 | NCSU | 49 | 489 | 10.0 | 7 | 59 |
| Career | 166 | 1,978 | 11.9 | 15 | 62 | |
Generated by deterministic-v30 · Jun 2, 2026Workout · Combine