Compact Distributor

Projected
Round 3-4
Scouting report · The One Analytics
Day 2Projected · Round 3-4Diego Pavia projects as a compact distributor. A QB out of Vanderbilt who tested with a fringe athletic profile (45th composite). Combine line reads 5'10 1/8" · 207 lb, 4.83s 40. College career: 766/1232 for 10,255 yards · 88 TD · 27 INT across 4 seasons. Dominance score 95 (dominated the cohort when adjusted for age of production).
Dominance score · college production
Dominated the cohort
Blends 20% age-weighted career volume, 45% peak single-season production, 10% breakout, and 25% position-specific efficiency.
Elite
Career volume
20% wtage-weighted
Elite
Peak season
45% wt2025
Elite
Breakout
10% wtearly-career + jump year
Strong
Efficiency
25% wtY/A · 8.32
Scouting Combine · 2026
Y · PERCENTILE vs QB CLASS · 2000–2026 baseline
Athletic composite
4 of 4 metrics graded
40-Yard
4.83s·47th of 421
Shuttle
4.38s·42nd of 346
Arm
28.6″·1st of 160
Hand
9.6″·60th of 161
40-Yard
vs. 421
Shuttle
vs. 346
Arm
vs. 160
Hand
vs. 161
Trait grades
Arm Talent
87th percentile · 8.77 college AYA on 1232 attempts (adj. yards/att, NFL-predictive)
Speed
47th percentile · 4.83s 40-yard
Athleticism
47th percentile · Composite of speed + explosion + agility percentiles
Frame
4th percentile · 5'10 1/8" · 207 lb
Mobility
45th percentile · 4.83s 40 · —
Burst
No combine number on file — no vert · no broad
NFL comparisons
Kyler Murray
Multi Pro Bowler2019 R1 · #1 · Oklahoma · 5-10/207lb
95
sim
Dillon Gabriel
Unknown2025 R3 · #94 · Oregon · 5-11/205lb
70
sim
Bryce Young
Rotational2023 R1 · #1 · Alabama · 5-10/204lb
62
sim
X-Factor
Arm Talent grades in the 87th percentile. 8.77 college AYA on 1232 attempts (adj. yards/att, NFL-predictive).
Primary risk
Frame sits in the 4th percentile (5'10 1/8"). That's the headline weakness scouts will key on.
Scheme fit
Quick-game, rhythm passing offense that gets the ball out before pressure arrives.
College career · ESPN
| Season | Team | CMP | ATT | CMP% | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | LNG | SACK | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | NMSU | 101 | 190 | 53.2 | 1,450 | 7.6 | 13 | 6 | 72 | 10 | 133.5 |
| 2023 | NMSU | 221 | 366 | 60.4 | 2,973 | 8.1 | 26 | 9 | 80 | 24 | 147.1 |
| 2024 | VAN | 177 | 298 | 59.4 | 2,293 | 7.7 | 20 | 4 | 65 | 18 | 143.5 |
| 2025 | VAN | 267 | 378 | 70.6 | 3,539 | 9.4 | 29 | 8 | 75 | 23 | 170.4 |
| Career | 766 | 1232 | 62.2 | 10,255 | 8.3 | 88 | 27 | 80 | 75 | 151.3 | |
Generated by deterministic-v30 · Jun 2, 2026Workout · Pro Day