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B
WR2026 Draft Prospect

Bryce Lance

North Dakota St.

Measurables

6'3"

204 lb

Scouting report · The One Analytics

Day 1Projected · Round 1-2

Vertical X Receiver

Bryce Lance projects as a vertical x receiver — a WR from North Dakota St. who tested with an elite athletic profile (83th composite). Combine line reads 6'3" · 204 lb, 4.34s 40, 41.5″ vertical, 133″ broad. Career college production: 127 receptions for 2,139 yards and 25 TDs across 3 seasons. Dominance score 79 (overproduced the cohort when adjusted for age of production).

79B+

Dominance score · multi-component

Above-average producer

Blends four cohort percentiles — 35% age-weighted career volume, 40% peak single-season production, 15% breakout (early-career + jump year), 10% position-specific efficiency. Prospects with off-the-chart seasons earn a bonus on top.

Career volume

35%

64th

age-weighted

Peak season

40%

82th

2024

Breakout

15%

98th

early-career + jump year

Efficiency

10%

86th

Y/R · 16.84

Peaked early · trajectory flat/down since

Trait grades · 6 dimensions

A+

Speed

96th percentile · 4.34s 40-yard

A+

Burst

96th percentile · 41.5" vert · 133" broad

B

Lateral Agility

59th percentile · 7s 3-cone · 4.15s shuttle

A+

Vertical Pop

96th percentile · 41.5" vertical

B

Frame

67th percentile · 6'3" · 204 lb

N/A

Strength

No combine number on file — no bench on file

NFL comparisons · top 3 historical

Closest distance · 0.22
  1. #1

    Quentin Johnston

    2023 R1 · #21 · TCU · 6-3/208lb

    89

    sim

  2. #2

    D.J. Chark

    2018 R2 · #61 · LSU · 6-3/199lb · 4.34s 40

    83

    sim

  3. #3

    Bryan Edwards

    2020 R3 · #81 · South Carolina · 6-3/212lb

    82

    sim

Scheme fit

Vertical play-action passing game that demands a true field-stretching boundary X.

X-Factor

Speed grades in the 96th percentile — 4.34s 40-yard.

Primary risk

Athletic profile is balanced — primary risk is positional value, not measurable holes.

Generated by deterministic-v5 · Apr 19, 2026Workout · Combine

Scouting Combine · 2026

Combine percentiles

vs. WR class · 2000–2026 baseline
75

Athletic composite

75thEXCELLENT

5 of 6 metrics graded

3× Elite1× Strong1× Average
4.34s96thELITE
i

40-Yard

vs. 1200

41.596thELITE
i

Vertical

vs. 1054

133.095thELITE
i

Broad

vs. 1017

7.00s46thAVERAGE
i

3-Cone

vs. 745

4.15s72ndSTRONG
i

Shuttle

vs. 768

i

Bench

No data

Frame measurables · arm / hand / wingspan

48

Athletic composite

48thAVERAGE

2 of 3 metrics graded

1× Solid1× Average
32.161stSOLID
i

Arm

vs. 473

9.335thAVERAGE
i

Hand

vs. 474

i

Wingspan

No data

College career · ESPN

Career stats

SeasonTeamRECYDSAVGTDLNG
2023NDSU177.007
2024NDSU751,05314.01774
2025NDSU511,07921.2881
Career1272,13916.82581