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WRDay 1#8 WR · 2026 class★ R4 · #136
Bryce Lance
North Dakota St.6'3"·204 lb
Vertical X Receiver
ATH
86
DOM
70
draft score86
rank#35
Projected
Round 1-2
Drafted · Round 4 · Pick 136 · 136th overall
Now on the Saints.
Lance suits up at /p/bryce-lance
Scouting report · The One Analytics
Day 1Projected · Round 1-2Vertical X Receiver
Bryce Lance projects as a vertical x receiver. A WR out of North Dakota St. who tested with an elite athletic profile (86th composite). Combine line reads 6'3" · 204 lb, 4.34s 40, 41.5″ vertical, 133″ broad. Career college production: 127 receptions for 2,139 yards and 25 TDs across 3 seasons. Dominance score 70 (matched the cohort when adjusted for age of production).
70B+
Dominance score · college production
Above-average producer
Blends 35% age-weighted career volume, 40% peak single-season production, 15% breakout, and 10% position-specific efficiency.
47pct
Average
Career volume
35% wtage-weighted
76pct
Strong
Peak season
40% wt2024
98pct
Elite
Breakout
15% wtearly-career + jump year
86pct
Strong
Efficiency
10% wtY/R · 16.84
Scouting Combine · 2026
Combine percentiles
Y · PERCENTILE vs WR CLASS · 2000–2026 baseline
75
Athletic composite
75thEXCELLENT
7 of 7 metrics graded
3× Elite1× Strong1× Solid2× Average
40-Yard
4.34s·96th of 1200
Vertical
41.5″·96th of 1054
Broad
133.0″·95th of 1017
3-Cone
7.00s·46th of 745
Shuttle
4.15s·72nd of 768
Arm
32.1″·61st of 473
Hand
9.3″·35th of 474
Not testedBench
4.34s96thELITE
i
40-Yard
vs. 1200
41.596thELITE
i
Vertical
vs. 1054
133.095thELITE
i
Broad
vs. 1017
7.00s46thAVERAGE
i
3-Cone
vs. 745
4.15s72ndSTRONG
i
Shuttle
vs. 768
32.161stSOLID
i
Arm
vs. 473
9.335thAVERAGE
i
Hand
vs. 474
Not testedBench
Trait grades
6 dimensions evaluated
A+
Speed
96th percentile · 4.34s 40-yard
A+
Burst
96th percentile · 41.5" vert · 133" broad
B
Lateral Agility
59th percentile · 7s 3-cone · 4.15s shuttle
A+
Vertical Pop
96th percentile · 41.5" vertical
B
Frame
67th percentile · 6'3" · 204 lb
N/A
Strength
No combine number on file — no bench on file
NFL comparisons
Top 3 historical · similarity-ranked
Closest distance · 0.22
- #1
Quentin Johnston
Rotational2023 R1 · #21 · TCU · 6-3/208lb
89
sim
- #2
D.J. Chark
Rotational2018 R2 · #61 · LSU · 6-3/199lb · 4.34s 40
83
sim
- #3
Bryan Edwards
Rotational2020 R3 · #81 · South Carolina · 6-3/212lb
82
sim
X-Factor
Speed grades in the 96th percentile. 4.34s 40-yard.
Primary risk
Athletic profile is balanced. The primary risk is positional value, not measurable holes.
Scheme fit
Vertical play-action passing game that demands a true field-stretching boundary X.
College career · ESPN
Career stats
| Season | Team | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | NDSU | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2024 | NDSU | 75 | 1,053 | 14.0 | 17 | 74 |
| 2025 | NDSU | 51 | 1,079 | 21.2 | 8 | 81 |
| Career | 127 | 2,139 | 16.8 | 25 | 81 | |
Generated by deterministic-v30 · Jun 2, 2026Workout · Combine