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FINAL+48IND
N

NIGER

0-3

57105
IND

IND

2-1

WNBASat, May 2Final

WNBA · NIGERIA at Indiana Fever · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
1730-13-4-3451
1462-52-3-1540
2042-8-2631
2581-50-26-8-3722
2720-70-32-2-3412
Bench
900-20-2-520
1563-40-10-1-1130
700-30-1-1610
521-3+520
1982-64-7-2041
1583-52-2-1820
27104-110-32-7-2931
Team5718-600-1221-34328

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

30

FG %

54

8

Ast

26

Team stats

NIGER

Away

Stat

IND

Home

18-60

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

36-67

30

FG %

54

0-12

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

14-31

21-34

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

19-21

10

OR

6

22

DR

33

8

Assists

26

24

Turnovers

18

How it ended

IND beat NIGER 105-57. K. Mitchell led with 17 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST. IND outscored the other side 38-11 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Starters vs bench

production by unit
NIGERstarters 40% of pts

Starters(5)

23 PTS · 15 REB · 6 AST

GS 4

Bench(7)

34 PTS · 17 REB · 2 AST

GS 13

INDINDstarters 46% of pts

Starters(5)

48 PTS · 8 REB · 15 AST

GS 50

Bench(9)

57 PTS · 31 REB · 11 AST

GS 40

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
NIGER1811121657
IND32381520105

Period scoring

NIGER won 0 · IND won 4

18
32

Q1

11
38

Q2

12
15

Q3

16
20

Q4

NIGER
IND

Shooting comparison

NIGER
IND

30%

18-60

FG

54%

36-67

0%

0-12

3PT

45%

14-31

62%

21-34

FT

90%

19-21

Play-by-play · 468 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  3. Q4·15.4

    Jemi Klaku out of bounds bad pass turnover

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  4. Q4·18.4

    Nora Ezike defensive rebound

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  5. Q4·21.4

    Jessica Timmons misses 24-foot three point jumper

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  6. Q4·32.6

    Suzie Rafiu offensive foul turnover

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  7. Q4·32.6

    Suzie Rafiu offensive foul

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  8. Q4·32.6

    Megan McConnell bad pass turnover (Suzie Rafiu steals)

    ·

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  9. Q4·49.0

    Regina Donanu enters the game for Shay Ijiwoye

    ·

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  10. Q4·49.0

    Shay Ijiwoye offensive foul turnover

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  11. Q4·49.0

    Shay Ijiwoye offensive charge

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  12. Q4·1:00

    Kayana Traylor makes running layup

    NIGER 57·IND 105

  13. Q4·1:05

    Megan McConnell defensive rebound

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  14. Q4·1:08

    Vera Ojenuwa misses 14-foot turnaround jump shot

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  15. Q4·1:20

    Jemi Klaku defensive rebound

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  16. Q4·1:23

    Megan McConnell misses 29-foot three point jumper

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  17. Q4·1:48

    Nora Ezike enters the game for Pallas Kunaiyi

    ·

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  18. Q4·1:48

    Shay Ijiwoye out of bounds bad pass turnover

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  19. Q4·1:51

    Shay Ijiwoye defensive rebound

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  20. Q4·1:54

    Kayana Traylor misses 26-foot three point jumper

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  21. Q4·2:07

    Suzie Rafiu makes two point shot

    NIGER 57·IND 103

  22. Q4·2:07

    Suzie Rafiu offensive rebound

    NIGER 55·IND 103

  23. Q4·2:09

    Jemi Klaku misses running layup

    NIGER 55·IND 103

  24. Q4·2:13

    Megan McConnell bad pass turnover (Shay Ijiwoye steals)

    ·

    NIGER 55·IND 103

  25. Q4·2:33

    Pallas Kunaiyi makes free throw 2 of 2

    NIGER 55·IND 103

  26. Q4·2:33

    Jemi Klaku enters the game for Promise Amukamara

    ·

    NIGER 54·IND 103

  27. Q4·2:33

    Nigeria offensive team rebound

    NIGER 54·IND 103

  28. Q4·2:33

    Pallas Kunaiyi misses free throw 1 of 2

    NIGER 54·IND 103

  29. Q4·2:33

    Damiris Dantas shooting foul

    NIGER 54·IND 103

  30. Q4·2:40

    Kayana Traylor bad pass turnover (Suzie Rafiu steals)

    ·

    NIGER 54·IND 103

Recap · WNBA

ndiana Fever held off NIGERIA, 105–57. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

NIGER
INDIND

eFG%

shooting

30.0%
64.2%

TOV%

ball control

24.3%
19.1%

OREB%

offensive glass

23.3%
21.4%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

35.0%
28.4%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

4 of 8 players in cohort
  • Caitlin ClarkIND · G
    USG%.30497
  • Aliyah BostonIND · C
    DRB%.28196
  • Sophie CunninghamIND · G
    eFG%.59688
  • Kelsey MitchellIND · G
    USG%.26287

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.0%

ensemble · NIGER favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(IND win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(IND win)

    32%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(IND win)

    35%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

IND vs NIGER.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

65

projections · 20 high confidence

Points

  • Kelsey MitchellIND
    20.4± 4.2high
  • Caitlin ClarkIND
    19.8± 9.1medium
  • Aliyah BostonIND
    16.7± 8.3medium

Rebounds

  • Aliyah BostonIND
    8.9± 2.0medium
  • Monique BillingsIND
    4.8± 3.8medium
  • Caitlin ClarkIND
    4.2± 2.4medium

Assists

  • Caitlin ClarkIND
    7.6± 3.2medium
  • Aliyah BostonIND
    2.9± 2.1medium
  • Kelsey MitchellIND
    2.5± 1.3high

Blocks

  • Aliyah BostonIND
    1.5± 1.4medium
  • Makayla TimpsonIND
    0.8± 1.0high
  • Monique BillingsIND
    0.7± 0.8medium

Steals

  • Aliyah BostonIND
    1.0± 0.9medium
  • Kelsey MitchellIND
    1.0± 1.0high
  • Caitlin ClarkIND
    0.7± 1.1medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · wehoop