WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+16ATL

ATL

30-14

8872

CON

11-33

WNBAWed, Sep 10FinalSeriesATL wins series 4-1

ATL · top performer

Brittney Griner

C · #42

17.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

CON · top performer

Marina Mabrey

G · #3

15.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowATL ↔ CON

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
B. JonesF · #24	16	13	5-7	—	3-4	+4	2	1
N. HillmonF · #0	27	7	3-4	1-2	—	+11	4	1
A. GrayG · #15	20	13	3-5	3-5	4-5	+5	2	5
R. HowardG · #10	27	15	6-11	3-7	—	+7	4	4
T. PaopaoG · #2	31	6	3-9	0-5	—	+18	3	6
Bench
N. CoffeyF · #12	15	10	4-9	2-5	—	+6	3	1
S. KoneF · #23	1	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
B. GrinerC · #42	21	17	7-11	—	3-3	+11	4	1
S. Walker-KimbroughG · #32	4	0	—	—	—	+2	0	1
J. CanadaG · #3	9	4	1-1	—	2-2	0	0	4
M. CaldwellG · #33	29	3	1-4	1-3	—	+16	9	2
Team		88	33-61	10-27	12-14		31	26
DNP: T. Thierry

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. MorrowF · #24	32	11	3-14	0-4	5-8	-4	10	0
T. CharlesC · #31	19	9	4-9	0-1	1-2	-3	1	2
L. AllenG · #15	33	4	1-5	0-1	2-2	-12	8	1
M. MabreyG · #3	36	22	8-15	2-7	4-4	-18	1	5
S. RiversG · #22	36	16	7-16	1-5	1-1	-14	3	5
Bench
H. PetersF · #7	4	0	0-2	—	—	+1	1	0
A. EdwardsF · #8	23	4	1-7	—	2-2	-16	8	1
R. MarshallC · #13	4	2	0-1	—	2-2	-8	1	0
M. ToureG · #28	13	4	2-4	0-2	—	-6	2	0
Team		72	26-73	3-20	17-21		35	14
DNP: O. Nelson-Ododa, B. Hartley, L. Lacan

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

ATL

Away

Stat

CON

Home

33-61

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

26-73

FG %

10-27

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

3-20

12-14

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

17-21

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

ATL wins series 4-1

May 25

CON55@

ATL79

Jun 6

ATL76@

CON84

Sep 1

ATL93@

CON76

Sep 8

CON62@

ATL87

Sep 10

ATL88@

CON72today

How it ended

ATL beat CON 88-72. B. Griner led with 17 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST. ATL outscored the other side 31-13 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CON vs ATL

Starters vs bench

production by unit

ATLstarters 61% of pts

Starters(5)

54 PTS · 15 REB · 17 AST

GS 48

Bench(6)

34 PTS · 16 REB · 9 AST

GS 32

CONstarters 86% of pts

Starters(5)

62 PTS · 23 REB · 13 AST

GS 39

Bench(4)

10 PTS · 12 REB · 1 AST

GS 12

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
ATL	31	20	20	17	88
CON	13	15	30	14	72

Period scoring

ATL won 3 · CON won 1

Howard 8

Charles 6

Griner 6

Rivers 5

Jones 6

Mabrey 9

Howard 5

Mabrey 4

ATL

CON

Shooting comparison

ATL

CON

54%

33-61

36%

26-73

37%

10-27

3PT

15%

3-20

86%

12-14

81%

17-21

Play-by-play · 381 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·2.3
Maya Caldwell defensive rebound
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·2.3
Aneesah Morrow misses 14-foot pullup jump shot
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·3.0
Aneesah Morrow offensive rebound
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·7.0
Haley Peters misses 8-foot step back jumpshot
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·22.4
Lindsay Allen defensive rebound
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·24.5
Rayah Marshall blocks Nia Coffey 's 3-foot driving layup
·
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·49.5
Sika Kone enters the game for Naz Hillmon
·
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·49.5
Dream defensive team rebound
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·50.7
Rayah Marshall misses 11-foot two point shot
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·59.8
Aneesah Morrow defensive rebound
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·1:01
Maya Caldwell misses 25-foot three point jumper
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·1:22
Lindsay Allen makes 16-foot running pullup jump shot
ATL 88·CON 72
Q4·1:25
Lindsay Allen defensive rebound
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·1:28
Te-Hina Paopao misses driving floating jump shot
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·1:36
Haley Peters enters the game for Aaliyah Edwards
·
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·1:36
Rayah Marshall enters the game for Marina Mabrey
·
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·1:55
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough enters the game for Rhyne Howard
·
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·1:55
shot clock turnover
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·1:55
Sun offensive team rebound
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·1:55
Te-Hina Paopao blocks Lindsay Allen 's 10-foot pullup jump shot
·
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·2:22
Maya Caldwell makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rhyne Howard assists)
·
ATL 88·CON 70
Q4·2:30
Nia Coffey enters the game for Brittney Griner
·
ATL 85·CON 70
Q4·2:30
Te-Hina Paopao enters the game for Allisha Gray
·
ATL 85·CON 70
Q4·2:30
Dream Full timeout
ATL 85·CON 70
Q4·2:30
Allisha Gray defensive rebound
ATL 85·CON 70
Q4·2:30
Brittney Griner blocks Aaliyah Edwards 's 2-foot two point shot
·
ATL 85·CON 70
Q4·2:31
Aaliyah Edwards offensive rebound
ATL 85·CON 70
Q4·2:34
Saniya Rivers misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
ATL 85·CON 70

Recap · WNBA

tlanta Dream went into Connecticut Sun and beat them, 88–72.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

ATL33/61 · 54%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim17/23

74%

In the paint1/6

17%

Mid-range5/5

100%

Top-of-arc 37/22

32%

Left corner 32/2

100%

Right corner 31/3

33%

CON26/73 · 36%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim12/25

48%

In the paint3/13

23%

Mid-range8/15

53%

Top-of-arc 33/13

23%

Left corner 30/4

Right corner 30/3

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

ATL

CON

eFG%

shooting

62.3%

37.7%

TOV%

ball control

16.2%

10.8%

OREB%

offensive glass

19.2%

35.0%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

19.7%

23.3%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 11 players in cohort

Aneesah MorrowTOR · F
DRB%.37599+
Marina MabreyTOR · G
USG%.29496
Nia CoffeyMIN · F
eFG%.60991
Rhyne HowardATL · G
AST/TO2.288
Saniya RiversCON · G
AST/TO2.179

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

ATL33/61 · 54%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim17/23

74%

In the paint1/6

17%

Mid-range5/5

100%

Top-of-arc 37/22

32%

Left corner 32/2

100%

Right corner 31/3

33%

CON26/73 · 36%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim12/25

48%

In the paint3/13

23%

Mid-range8/15

53%

Top-of-arc 33/13

23%

Left corner 30/4

Right corner 30/3

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

15.8%

ensemble · ATL favored

Elo Static
28.8%
P(CON win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
28.5%
P(CON win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
29.4%
P(CON win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.37 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CON vs ATL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

135

projections · 105 high confidence

Points

Allisha GrayATL
19.7± 4.1high
Rhyne HowardATL
15.3± 6.9high
Angel ReeseATL
15.2± 7.2high

Rebounds

Angel ReeseATL
10.7± 3.1high
Olivia Nelson-OdodaCON
6.6± 3.1high
Brittney GrinerCON
5.7± 3.7medium

Assists

Jordin CanadaATL
8.1± 3.0high
Leila LacanCON
4.6± 1.5high
Charlisse Leger-WalkerCON
4.0± 2.4high

Blocks

Brittney GrinerCON
1.8± 1.0medium
Olivia Nelson-OdodaCON
1.1± 1.2high
Kennedy BurkeCON
0.8± 0.9high

Steals

Angel ReeseATL
2.2± 1.6high
Jordin CanadaATL
2.2± 0.7high
Rhyne HowardATL
2.2± 1.6high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · wehoop