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FINAL+1CBJ
CBJ

CBJ

19-19-7

32
UTA

UTA

22-20-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Jan 11FinalSeriesCBJ lead series 1-0VegasUTAH -175

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 3–2 in overtime.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Kirill Marchenko

Kirill Marchenko

RW · #86

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

UTA
Clayton Keller

Clayton Keller

RW · #9

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
3
2
CBJ19-19-7UTA22-20-4
CBJ

CBJ

19-19-7

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

22-20-4

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

CBJ lead series 1-0

Jan 12CBJCBJ3@UTAUTA2today
Mar 8UTAUTA5@CBJCBJ4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJCBJ+14541%
UTAUTA-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat UTA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
CBJ11013
UTA11002

Period scoring

CBJ won 1 · UTA won 0

1
1

1

1
1

2

0
0

3

1
0

OT

CBJ
UTA

Play-by-play · 306 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·1:01

    Game End

    CBJ 3·UTA 2

  2. OT·1:01

    End of OT

    CBJ 3·UTA 2

  3. OT·1:01

    Challenge League - missed stoppage - goal

    CBJ 3·UTA 2

  4. OT·1:01

    Dmitri Voronkov Goal (16) Tip-In, assists: Zach Werenski (31), Kirill Marchenko (21)

    · ·

    CBJ 3·UTA 2

  5. OT·0:51

    Zach Werenski shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  6. OT·0:49

    Zach Werenski Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  7. OT·0:36

    Kirill Marchenko Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  8. OT·0:21

    Zach Werenski Slap Shot saved by Vitek Vanecek

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  9. OT·0:00

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  10. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  11. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  12. 3rd·19:49

    Adam Fantilli shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  13. 3rd·19:39

    Zach Werenski Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  14. 3rd·19:36

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  15. 3rd·19:36

    Daniil But Tripping against Adam Fantilli

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  16. 3rd·19:12

    Sean Durzi shot blocked by Sean Monahan

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  17. 3rd·19:05

    Clayton Keller Backhand Failed Bank Attempt

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  18. 3rd·16:51

    Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Dante Fabbro

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  19. 3rd·16:43

    John Marino hit Cole Sillinger

    · ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  20. 3rd·15:39

    Mikhail Sergachev Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  21. 3rd·15:18

    Nick Schmaltz Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  22. 3rd·15:05

    JJ Peterka shot blocked by Damon Severson

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  23. 3rd·14:44

    Mathieu Olivier hit JJ Peterka

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  24. 3rd·14:38

    Charlie Coyle shot blocked by John Marino

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  25. 3rd·14:30

    Charlie Coyle Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  26. 3rd·14:29

    Charlie Coyle shot blocked by Nate Schmidt

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  27. 3rd·14:20

    Michael Carcone Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  28. 3rd·14:03

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  29. 3rd·14:03

    Goalie Stopped

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

  30. 3rd·14:00

    Brandon Tanev Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 2·UTA 2

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

36

Shots

27

66.7

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

23

Faceoffs W

25

23

Blocks

21

17

Giveaways

11

2

Takeaways

5

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ +145/UTA -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696
  • Denton MateychukCBJ · D
    BURSTS7792

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR