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FINAL+2OTT
CHI

CHI

13-16-6

46
OTT

OTT

17-13-4

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 20FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasOTT -278

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators held off Chicago Blackhawks, 6–4.

OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Ryan Greene

Ryan Greene

C · #20

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

OTT · top performer

OTT
Tim Stutzle

Tim Stutzle

C · #18

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
6
CHI13-16-6OTT17-13-4
CHI

CHI

13-16-6

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
OTT

OTT

17-13-4

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

26

PIM

10

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 29OTTOTT3@CHICHI7
Dec 20CHICHI4@OTTOTT6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+22531%
OTTOTT-27874%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

OTT beat CHI 6-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CHI0314
OTT1236

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · OTT won 2

0
1

1

3
2

2

1
3

3

CHI
OTT

Play-by-play · 333 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Artyom Levshunov Wrist Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  4. 3rd·19:54

    Artem Zub shot blocked by Artyom Levshunov

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  5. 3rd·19:43

    Takeaway by Ridly Greig

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  6. 3rd·19:34

    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Artyom Levshunov

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  7. 3rd·19:27

    Andre Burakovsky Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  8. 3rd·19:11

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Ridly Greig

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  9. 3rd·19:11

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  10. 3rd·18:33

    Brady Tkachuk Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  11. 3rd·18:07

    Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  12. 3rd·18:07

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  13. 3rd·17:50

    Jordan Spence hit Louis Crevier

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  14. 3rd·17:42

    Dylan Cozens faceoff won against Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  15. 3rd·17:42

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  16. 3rd·17:39

    Jordan Spence Wrist Shot saved by Arvid Soderblom

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  17. 3rd·17:13

    Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Claude Giroux

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  18. 3rd·17:13

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  19. 3rd·17:11

    Brady Tkachuk Wrist Shot saved by Arvid Soderblom

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  20. 3rd·16:32

    Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  21. 3rd·16:32

    Ryan Donato Misconduct

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  22. 3rd·16:32

    Ryan Donato Slashing against Artem Zub

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  23. 3rd·16:32

    Artem Zub Slashing against Ryan Donato

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  24. 3rd·16:32

    Ryan Donato Roughing against Artem Zub served by Sam Lafferty

    · ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  25. 3rd·16:10

    Tim Stützle faceoff won against Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  26. 3rd·16:10

    Fabian Zetterlund Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Ridly Greig (9), Claude Giroux (16)

    · ·

    CHI 4·OTT 6

  27. 3rd·15:43

    Michael Amadio Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 5

  28. 3rd·15:36

    Claude Giroux faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 5

  29. 3rd·15:36

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 4·OTT 5

  30. 3rd·15:33

    Ryan Greene Wrist Shot saved by Leevi Meriläinen

    ·

    CHI 4·OTT 5

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

OTT

Home

24

Shots

40

33.3

PCT

16.7

26

PIM

10

25

Faceoffs W

37

17

Blocks

8

15

Giveaways

7

5

Takeaways

5

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 5.5·CHI +225/OTT -278

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Alex VlasicCHI · D
    BURSTS7190
  • Ryan DonatoCHI · C
    SHOT MPH91.388
  • Wyatt KaiserCHI · D
    BURSTS6587
  • Matt GrzelcykCHI · D
    SHOT MPH96.786

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · OTT favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+225

Close price

+225

Open no-vig

29.5%

Close no-vig

29.5%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR