Live · 3
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FINAL+2PHI
PHI

PHI

19-10-7

31
CHI

CHI

13-17-6

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLTue, Dec 23FinalSeriesPHI leads series 1-0VegasPHI -120

Recap · NHL

hiladelphia Flyers went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 3–1.

PHI -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PHI · top performer

PHI
Sean Couturier

Sean Couturier

C · #14

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

CHI
Ryan Donato

Ryan Donato

C · #8

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
1
PHI19-10-7CHI13-17-6
PHI

PHI

19-10-7

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

13-17-6

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

10

PIM

10

Season series

PHI leads series 1-0

Dec 24PHIPHI3@CHICHI1today
Mar 26CHICHI1@PHIPHI5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHIPHI-12055%
CHICHI+10050%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHI beat CHI 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
PHI1113
CHI0101

Period scoring

PHI won 2 · CHI won 0

1
0

1

1
1

2

1
0

3

PHI
CHI

Play-by-play · 278 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  3. 3rd·19:51

    Ryan Donato Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  4. 3rd·19:46

    Ryan Donato Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  5. 3rd·19:31

    Noah Cates shot blocked by Colton Dach

    ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  6. 3rd·19:26

    Bobby Brink shot blocked by Wyatt Kaiser

    ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  7. 3rd·19:21

    Giveaway by Louis Crevier

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  8. 3rd·19:10

    Nick Seeler shot blocked by Wyatt Kaiser

    ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  9. 3rd·18:52

    Giveaway by Colton Dach

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  10. 3rd·18:49

    Ryan Greene shot blocked by Bobby Brink

    ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  11. 3rd·17:52

    Ryan Donato faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  12. 3rd·17:52

    Carl Grundstrom Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Sean Couturier (16), Rasmus Ristolainen (1)

    · ·

    PHI 3·CHI 1

  13. 3rd·17:39

    Takeaway by Rasmus Ristolainen

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  14. 3rd·16:46

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  15. 3rd·16:46

    Puck in Netting

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  16. 3rd·16:36

    Teuvo Teravainen shot blocked by Carl Grundstrom

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  17. 3rd·16:24

    Ryan Donato Snap Shot saved by Samuel Ersson

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  18. 3rd·16:13

    Cam York Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  19. 3rd·16:11

    Teuvo Teravainen Snap Shot saved by Samuel Ersson

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  20. 3rd·15:36

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Ryan Donato

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  21. 3rd·15:36

    Sean Couturier Hooking against Sam Lafferty

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  22. 3rd·15:34

    Sam Lafferty Wrist Shot saved by Samuel Ersson

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  23. 3rd·15:34

    Dominic Toninato Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  24. 3rd·15:21

    Louis Crevier hit Noah Cates

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  25. 3rd·14:51

    Emil Andrae shot blocked by Colton Dach

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  26. 3rd·14:48

    Noah Cates faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  27. 3rd·14:48

    Goalie Stopped

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  28. 3rd·14:47

    Nick Seeler Deflected saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  29. 3rd·14:41

    Nick Seeler shot blocked by Christian Dvorak

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

  30. 3rd·14:40

    Nick Seeler Backhand saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    PHI 2·CHI 1

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

26

Shots

21

25.0

PCT

0.0

10

PIM

10

19

Faceoffs W

32

16

Blocks

10

14

Giveaways

17

4

Takeaways

0

Betting line

PHI -1.5·O/U 5.5·PHI -120/CHI +100

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
    SKATE MPH23.098
  • Travis SanheimPHI · D
    SKATE MPH22.795
  • Cam YorkPHI · D
    SKATE MPH22.693
  • Christian DvorakPHI · C
    BURSTS3492

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+100

Close price

+100

Open no-vig

47.8%

Close no-vig

47.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR