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FINAL+3ANA
ANA

ANA

20-12-1

41
NYR

NYR

16-14-4

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 15FinalSeriesANA leads series 1-0VegasNYR -112

Recap · NHL

naheim Ducks went into New York Rangers and beat them, 4–1.

ANA +1.5 cashed (NYR lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
1
ANA20-12-1NYR16-14-4
ANA

ANA

20-12-1

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NYR

NYR

16-14-4

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

6

Season series

ANA leads series 1-0

Dec 16ANAANA4@NYRNYR1today
Jan 20NYRNYR3@ANAANA5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANAANA-10852%
NYRNYR-11253%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

ANA beat NYR 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
ANA0134
NYR0101

Period scoring

ANA won 1 · NYR won 0

0
0

1

1
1

2

3
0

3

ANA
NYR

Play-by-play · 300 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    ANA 4·NYR 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    ANA 4·NYR 1

  3. 3rd·19:57

    Sam Carrick faceoff won against Ryan Poehling

    ·

    ANA 4·NYR 1

  4. 3rd·19:57

    Pavel Mintyukov Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Ryan Poehling (8), Ross Johnston (6)

    · ·

    ANA 4·NYR 1

  5. 3rd·19:38

    Sam Carrick faceoff won against Ryan Poehling

    ·

    ANA 3·NYR 1

  6. 3rd·19:38

    Cutter Gauthier Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: Leo Carlsson (24), Alex Killorn (8)

    · ·

    ANA 3·NYR 1

  7. 3rd·19:11

    Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by J.T. Miller

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  8. 3rd·19:04

    J.T. Miller shot blocked by Jacob Trouba

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  9. 3rd·18:16

    Beckett Sennecke Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  10. 3rd·17:57

    Giveaway by Mason McTavish

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  11. 3rd·17:55

    Giveaway by Carson Soucy

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  12. 3rd·17:41

    Noah Laba faceoff won against Mason McTavish

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  13. 3rd·17:41

    Off-side

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  14. 3rd·17:00

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  15. 3rd·17:00

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  16. 3rd·16:59

    Vincent Trocheck Poke Wide Right

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  17. 3rd·16:41

    Leo Carlsson faceoff won against J.T. Miller

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  18. 3rd·16:41

    Puck in Netting

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  19. 3rd·16:26

    Takeaway by Jacob Trouba

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  20. 3rd·16:08

    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Mikael Granlund

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  21. 3rd·15:43

    Giveaway by Carson Soucy

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  22. 3rd·15:31

    Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Carson Soucy

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  23. 3rd·14:55

    Giveaway by Leo Carlsson

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  24. 3rd·14:27

    Matthew Robertson hit Mason McTavish

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  25. 3rd·14:03

    Mason McTavish faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  26. 3rd·14:03

    Icing

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  27. 3rd·13:03

    Ross Johnston hit Urho Vaakanainen

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  28. 3rd·12:58

    Sam Carrick faceoff won against Ryan Poehling

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  29. 3rd·12:58

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 2·NYR 1

  30. 3rd·12:56

    Jackson LaCombe Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    ANA 2·NYR 1

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

26

Shots

27

33.3

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

6

15

Faceoffs W

33

14

Blocks

12

15

Giveaways

13

7

Takeaways

4

Betting line

NYR -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA -108/NYR -112

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • J.T. MillerNYR · LW
    SHOT MPH102.699+
  • Ryan PoehlingANA · C
    SKATE MPH23.498
  • Leo CarlssonANA · C
    BURSTS4996
  • Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
    DIST MI263.494
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-112

Close price

-112

Open no-vig

50.4%

Close no-vig

50.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR